Vanderbilt
Southeastern
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+0.1#163
Expected Predictive Rating-1.0#187
Pace71.2#123
Improvement-6.5#347

Offense
Total Offense+1.2#144
First Shot+2.5#96
After Offensive Rebound-1.3#271
Layup/Dunks+1.4#115
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.2#321
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.0#69
Freethrows+1.3#86
Improvement-6.0#350

Defense
Total Defense-1.1#198
First Shot-1.6#214
After Offensive Rebounds+0.5#132
Layups/Dunks-1.2#231
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#235
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#102
Freethrows-1.4#269
Improvement-0.4#205
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 n/a 16.0
.500 or above 0.1% 0.4% 0.1%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 87.0% 67.7% 88.1%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Kentucky (Away) - 5.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 50 - 5
Quad 1b0 - 51 - 10
Quad 21 - 82 - 17
Quad 34 - 45 - 22
Quad 45 - 011 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2019 332   Southeast Missouri St. W 83-65 90%     1 - 0 +4.3 +3.1 +1.4
  Nov 11, 2019 290   TX A&M Corpus Christi W 71-66 83%     2 - 0 -5.2 +0.5 -5.3
  Nov 14, 2019 76   @ Richmond L 92-93 OT 18%     2 - 1 +8.9 +8.4 +0.6
  Nov 20, 2019 149   Austin Peay W 90-72 58%     3 - 1 +16.1 +14.0 +2.6
  Nov 22, 2019 324   South Carolina St. W 97-60 88%     4 - 1 +24.3 +15.2 +9.1
  Nov 25, 2019 328   SE Louisiana W 78-70 89%     5 - 1 -5.3 -4.9 -0.9
  Nov 30, 2019 75   Tulsa L 58-67 34%     5 - 2 -4.7 -6.8 +1.5
  Dec 03, 2019 135   Buffalo W 90-76 54%     6 - 2 +13.0 +0.6 +10.1
  Dec 14, 2019 85   Liberty L 56-61 37%     6 - 3 -1.4 -8.7 +6.9
  Dec 18, 2019 90   Loyola Chicago L 70-78 29%     6 - 4 -2.2 +0.3 -2.2
  Dec 21, 2019 302   UNC Wilmington W 88-73 85%     7 - 4 +3.8 +5.1 -2.3
  Dec 30, 2019 92   Davidson W 76-71 39%     8 - 4 +7.9 +4.7 +3.3
  Jan 04, 2020 68   SMU L 81-92 OT 32%     8 - 5 -6.1 +1.3 -6.6
  Jan 08, 2020 27   @ Auburn L 79-83 8%     8 - 6 0 - 1 +11.4 +15.6 -4.2
  Jan 11, 2020 131   Texas A&M L 50-69 54%     8 - 7 0 - 2 -19.8 -15.0 -7.1
  Jan 15, 2020 38   @ Arkansas L 55-75 10%     8 - 8 0 - 3 -5.7 -8.9 +3.1
  Jan 18, 2020 45   Tennessee L 45-66 24%     8 - 9 0 - 4 -13.5 -20.3 +6.0
  Jan 22, 2020 35   Alabama L 62-77 21%     8 - 10 0 - 5 -6.3 -12.3 +7.4
  Jan 25, 2020 88   @ South Carolina L 64-90 19%     8 - 11 0 - 6 -16.7 -5.5 -10.2
  Jan 29, 2020 12   @ Kentucky L 63-81 5%    
  Feb 01, 2020 22   Florida L 65-75 17%    
  Feb 05, 2020 32   LSU L 74-83 20%    
  Feb 08, 2020 41   @ Mississippi St. L 63-77 11%    
  Feb 11, 2020 12   Kentucky L 66-78 14%    
  Feb 15, 2020 22   @ Florida L 62-78 7%    
  Feb 18, 2020 45   @ Tennessee L 61-74 11%    
  Feb 22, 2020 84   Georgia L 73-77 37%    
  Feb 26, 2020 79   Missouri L 67-71 36%    
  Feb 29, 2020 102   @ Mississippi L 68-76 24%    
  Mar 03, 2020 35   @ Alabama L 73-87 9%    
  Mar 07, 2020 88   South Carolina L 73-76 39%    
Projected Record 10 - 21 2 - 16





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 0.0 0.0 7th
8th 0.1 0.0 0.1 8th
9th 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.9 10th
11th 0.3 1.4 0.8 0.1 2.6 11th
12th 0.0 0.8 2.7 2.4 0.5 0.0 6.4 12th
13th 0.1 2.1 6.4 5.5 1.2 0.1 15.4 13th
14th 8.6 23.0 26.0 13.7 3.0 0.2 74.6 14th
Total 8.6 23.1 28.1 21.0 11.5 5.3 1.9 0.5 0.0 0.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0% 0.0
8-10 0.0% 0.0
7-11 0.5% 0.5
6-12 1.9% 1.9
5-13 5.3% 5.3
4-14 11.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 11.5
3-15 21.0% 21.0
2-16 28.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 28.1
1-17 23.1% 23.1
0-18 8.6% 8.6
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 6.7%