Georgia
Southeastern
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+8.1#69
Expected Predictive Rating+5.1#109
Pace75.2#65
Improvement-1.8#340

Offense
Total Offense+5.7#41
First Shot+5.6#48
After Offensive Rebound+0.1#170
Layup/Dunks+4.6#53
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#129
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#241
Freethrows+2.5#62
Improvement+0.0#167

Defense
Total Defense+2.4#103
First Shot-1.0#195
After Offensive Rebounds+3.4#30
Layups/Dunks+1.1#149
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#259
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#270
Freethrows+1.9#95
Improvement-1.8#349
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.6% 1.0% 0.1%
Top 4 Seed 2.9% 4.1% 0.9%
Top 6 Seed 7.0% 9.7% 2.9%
NCAA Tourney Bid 29.0% 36.2% 17.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 27.4% 34.3% 16.6%
Average Seed 8.2 8.0 8.6
.500 or above 61.0% 70.6% 45.7%
.500 or above in Conference 36.5% 41.6% 28.5%
Conference Champion 2.2% 2.9% 1.1%
Last Place in Conference 11.6% 9.1% 15.6%
First Four4.0% 4.8% 2.9%
First Round26.8% 33.6% 16.1%
Second Round13.9% 17.8% 7.8%
Sweet Sixteen4.6% 6.2% 2.2%
Elite Eight1.6% 2.0% 0.9%
Final Four0.5% 0.7% 0.3%
Championship Game0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
National Champion0.0% 0.1% 0.0%

Next Game: Georgia Tech (Home) - 61.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 51 - 5
Quad 1b2 - 43 - 9
Quad 24 - 48 - 13
Quad 34 - 112 - 14
Quad 45 - 016 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 154   Western Carolina W 91-72 85%     1 - 0 +16.0 +3.0 +10.5
  Nov 12, 2019 317   The Citadel W 95-86 97%     2 - 0 -4.3 -4.7 -1.2
  Nov 15, 2019 348   Delaware St. W 100-66 99%     3 - 0 +14.5 +28.8 -15.4
  Nov 20, 2019 66   Georgia Tech W 74-71 61%    
  Nov 25, 2019 64   Dayton L 75-76 48%    
  Dec 04, 2019 321   NC Central W 83-61 98%    
  Dec 14, 2019 50   @ Arizona St. L 79-84 34%    
  Dec 20, 2019 100   SMU W 76-70 71%    
  Dec 23, 2019 113   Georgia Southern W 86-78 77%    
  Dec 30, 2019 228   Austin Peay W 87-72 90%    
  Jan 04, 2020 16   @ Memphis L 80-89 21%    
  Jan 07, 2020 6   Kentucky L 70-78 26%    
  Jan 11, 2020 25   @ Auburn L 75-83 24%    
  Jan 15, 2020 19   Tennessee L 75-77 42%    
  Jan 18, 2020 56   @ Mississippi St. L 71-75 35%    
  Jan 21, 2020 6   @ Kentucky L 67-81 12%    
  Jan 25, 2020 46   Mississippi W 76-75 52%    
  Jan 28, 2020 47   @ Missouri L 71-76 32%    
  Feb 01, 2020 94   Texas A&M W 77-71 70%    
  Feb 05, 2020 31   @ Florida L 64-71 26%    
  Feb 08, 2020 68   Alabama W 86-83 60%    
  Feb 12, 2020 65   South Carolina W 79-76 59%    
  Feb 15, 2020 94   @ Texas A&M L 73-74 50%    
  Feb 19, 2020 25   Auburn L 78-80 44%    
  Feb 22, 2020 120   @ Vanderbilt W 76-74 58%    
  Feb 26, 2020 65   @ South Carolina L 76-79 39%    
  Feb 29, 2020 32   Arkansas L 77-78 46%    
  Mar 04, 2020 31   Florida L 67-68 46%    
  Mar 07, 2020 34   @ LSU L 79-86 29%    
Projected Record 16 - 13 8 - 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.1 1.4 0.7 0.2 0.0 3.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.4 2.0 0.8 0.1 0.0 4.5 3rd
4th 0.1 1.2 2.8 1.2 0.2 0.0 5.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.8 3.0 1.9 0.2 5.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.8 3.2 0.6 0.0 7.0 6th
7th 0.1 2.1 4.1 1.2 0.1 7.6 7th
8th 0.1 1.4 4.3 2.4 0.2 8.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.7 3.8 3.9 0.5 0.0 9.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.6 3.3 4.8 1.3 0.0 10.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 2.6 4.9 2.2 0.1 10.3 11th
12th 0.0 0.6 2.4 4.4 2.5 0.3 0.0 10.3 12th
13th 0.1 0.7 2.4 3.7 2.2 0.4 0.0 9.4 13th
14th 0.3 1.0 1.9 2.1 1.2 0.3 0.0 6.7 14th
Total 0.3 1.1 2.6 5.0 7.7 10.1 12.0 12.6 12.1 10.7 8.9 6.9 4.5 2.8 1.5 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 93.2% 0.3    0.2 0.0
15-3 77.1% 0.6    0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0
14-4 44.2% 0.6    0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
13-5 16.5% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1
12-6 2.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.2% 2.2 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 100.0% 40.0% 60.0% 1.5 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-1 0.1% 100.0% 36.6% 63.4% 2.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-2 0.3% 100.0% 21.0% 79.0% 2.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-3 0.8% 100.0% 17.6% 82.4% 3.5 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 1.5% 99.7% 13.1% 86.6% 4.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.6%
13-5 2.8% 99.4% 12.9% 86.5% 5.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.3%
12-6 4.5% 95.2% 9.4% 85.9% 7.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.7 1.0 0.8 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.2 94.7%
11-7 6.9% 87.0% 6.0% 81.0% 8.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 1.0 1.3 1.2 0.9 0.6 0.1 0.9 86.1%
10-8 8.9% 68.1% 3.2% 64.9% 9.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 1.1 1.3 1.4 1.4 0.2 0.0 2.8 67.1%
9-9 10.7% 41.5% 1.2% 40.3% 10.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.8 1.1 1.5 0.4 0.0 6.2 40.8%
8-10 12.1% 16.7% 0.9% 15.8% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.9 0.2 0.0 10.1 16.0%
7-11 12.6% 4.7% 0.7% 4.0% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 12.0 4.0%
6-12 12.0% 1.2% 0.4% 0.8% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 11.8 0.8%
5-13 10.1% 10.1
4-14 7.7% 7.7
3-15 5.0% 0.0% 0.0% 14.0 0.0 5.0
2-16 2.6% 2.6
1-17 1.1% 1.1
0-18 0.3% 0.3
Total 100% 29.0% 2.3% 26.8% 8.2 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.3 1.9 2.3 3.2 4.2 4.3 4.4 4.9 1.0 0.0 0.0 71.0 27.4%