Georgia
Southeastern
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+8.4#61
Expected Predictive Rating+10.4#46
Pace73.5#75
Improvement+0.8#144

Offense
Total Offense+4.6#52
First Shot+3.6#69
After Offensive Rebound+1.1#100
Layup/Dunks+6.2#13
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#210
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#227
Freethrows-0.6#214
Improvement-0.7#223

Defense
Total Defense+3.7#81
First Shot+3.9#71
After Offensive Rebounds-0.2#181
Layups/Dunks+1.4#117
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#287
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#186
Freethrows+4.3#6
Improvement+1.6#87
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.6% 1.3% 0.2%
Top 6 Seed 2.7% 5.5% 1.2%
NCAA Tourney Bid 29.3% 43.5% 22.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 27.4% 41.5% 20.2%
Average Seed 9.3 9.0 9.6
.500 or above 85.1% 93.8% 80.6%
.500 or above in Conference 44.9% 62.1% 36.1%
Conference Champion 1.3% 2.7% 0.6%
Last Place in Conference 3.0% 0.9% 4.1%
First Four6.8% 8.0% 6.2%
First Round25.7% 39.1% 18.7%
Second Round11.1% 17.6% 7.6%
Sweet Sixteen3.3% 5.4% 2.2%
Elite Eight1.2% 1.8% 0.9%
Final Four0.3% 0.5% 0.2%
Championship Game0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.1% 0.0%

Next Game: Mississippi St. (Away) - 34.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 61 - 6
Quad 1b2 - 43 - 10
Quad 24 - 37 - 13
Quad 36 - 114 - 14
Quad 44 - 018 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 155   Western Carolina W 91-72 84%     1 - 0 +16.9 +0.9 +13.5
  Nov 12, 2019 292   The Citadel W 95-86 95%     2 - 0 -1.4 -0.8 -2.1
  Nov 15, 2019 348   Delaware St. W 100-66 99%     3 - 0 +13.6 +18.7 -6.3
  Nov 20, 2019 80   Georgia Tech W 82-78 67%     4 - 0 +7.8 +6.1 +1.3
  Nov 25, 2019 9   Dayton L 61-80 24%     4 - 1 -3.3 -8.1 +5.3
  Nov 26, 2019 4   Michigan St. L 85-93 18%     4 - 2 +10.1 +10.1 +0.9
  Dec 04, 2019 295   NC Central W 95-59 95%     5 - 2 +25.4 +16.1 +8.3
  Dec 14, 2019 76   @ Arizona St. L 59-79 44%     5 - 3 -10.1 -14.5 +7.0
  Dec 20, 2019 82   SMU W 87-85 2OT 67%     6 - 3 +5.7 -0.4 +5.8
  Dec 23, 2019 135   Georgia Southern W 73-64 81%     7 - 3 +8.0 -0.1 +8.2
  Dec 30, 2019 173   Austin Peay W 78-48 86%     8 - 3 +26.7 -1.9 +27.9
  Jan 04, 2020 28   @ Memphis W 65-62 26%     9 - 3 +18.2 +1.1 +17.0
  Jan 07, 2020 16   Kentucky L 69-78 39%     9 - 4 0 - 1 +2.3 -0.6 +3.2
  Jan 11, 2020 25   @ Auburn L 60-82 25%     9 - 5 0 - 2 -6.5 -3.5 -3.4
  Jan 15, 2020 57   Tennessee W 80-63 60%     10 - 5 1 - 2 +22.9 +16.8 +7.1
  Jan 18, 2020 50   @ Mississippi St. L 69-73 34%    
  Jan 21, 2020 16   @ Kentucky L 67-76 21%    
  Jan 25, 2020 102   Mississippi W 76-69 74%    
  Jan 28, 2020 64   @ Missouri L 67-70 39%    
  Feb 01, 2020 130   Texas A&M W 70-61 80%    
  Feb 05, 2020 19   @ Florida L 65-73 21%    
  Feb 08, 2020 40   Alabama W 81-80 51%    
  Feb 12, 2020 93   South Carolina W 77-72 70%    
  Feb 15, 2020 130   @ Texas A&M W 67-64 61%    
  Feb 19, 2020 25   Auburn L 73-74 45%    
  Feb 22, 2020 142   @ Vanderbilt W 78-74 63%    
  Feb 26, 2020 93   @ South Carolina L 74-75 48%    
  Feb 29, 2020 37   Arkansas L 72-73 49%    
  Mar 04, 2020 19   Florida L 68-71 41%    
  Mar 07, 2020 31   @ LSU L 75-81 27%    
Projected Record 17 - 13 8 - 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.2 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.3 1st
2nd 0.2 1.1 1.0 0.2 0.0 2.4 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.4 2.0 0.3 0.0 3.8 3rd
4th 0.0 1.0 3.1 1.2 0.0 5.4 4th
5th 0.5 3.9 2.8 0.2 7.4 5th
6th 0.2 2.8 5.2 0.8 8.9 6th
7th 0.1 1.8 6.2 2.7 0.1 10.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.8 5.8 5.1 0.5 12.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 4.4 6.9 1.4 0.0 13.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 2.8 6.6 2.7 0.1 12.4 10th
11th 0.2 2.0 5.2 3.3 0.3 11.1 11th
12th 0.1 1.1 2.9 2.2 0.3 6.6 12th
13th 0.1 0.5 1.5 1.3 0.2 0.0 3.6 13th
14th 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.2 14th
Total 0.0 0.2 1.1 3.3 6.5 10.9 15.5 17.6 16.1 13.3 8.4 4.6 1.9 0.6 0.1 0.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 93.1% 0.1    0.1 0.0
14-4 71.7% 0.4    0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0
13-5 30.4% 0.6    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 3.7% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.3% 1.3 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0
15-3 0.1% 100.0% 13.8% 86.2% 3.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 0.6% 100.0% 11.5% 88.5% 4.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
13-5 1.9% 98.7% 11.3% 87.4% 6.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 98.5%
12-6 4.6% 95.4% 10.4% 85.0% 7.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.2 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.2 94.9%
11-7 8.4% 82.9% 6.3% 76.6% 9.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.2 1.9 1.9 1.1 0.0 1.4 81.8%
10-8 13.3% 60.3% 3.6% 56.6% 9.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.6 2.5 2.7 0.3 5.3 58.8%
9-9 16.1% 33.5% 2.3% 31.2% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.3 2.8 0.6 0.0 10.7 31.9%
8-10 17.6% 9.4% 1.8% 7.7% 10.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 0.4 15.9 7.8%
7-11 15.5% 2.0% 0.8% 1.2% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 15.2 1.2%
6-12 10.9% 0.7% 0.7% 11.4 0.0 0.0 10.8
5-13 6.5% 0.1% 0.1% 13.0 0.0 6.5
4-14 3.3% 0.3% 0.3% 13.0 0.0 3.3
3-15 1.1% 1.1
2-16 0.2% 0.2
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 29.3% 2.7% 26.6% 9.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.4 2.2 3.6 5.1 6.4 8.0 1.4 0.0 70.7 27.4%