Duquesne
Atlantic 10
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+5.8#89
Expected Predictive Rating+9.2#60
Pace68.2#216
Improvement-4.4#331

Offense
Total Offense+2.0#122
First Shot+0.4#162
After Offensive Rebound+1.7#64
Layup/Dunks+2.1#87
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#307
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#110
Freethrows-0.6#217
Improvement-1.4#257

Defense
Total Defense+3.8#81
First Shot+4.7#49
After Offensive Rebounds-0.9#254
Layups/Dunks+0.8#138
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#225
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#88
Freethrows+2.3#51
Improvement-2.9#315
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.5% 13.7% 6.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 3.8% 7.8% 2.0%
Average Seed 11.0 10.7 11.3
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 96.8% 99.3% 95.6%
Conference Champion 6.7% 12.5% 3.9%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four2.5% 4.6% 1.5%
First Round7.1% 11.4% 5.0%
Second Round1.9% 3.1% 1.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.4% 0.7% 0.3%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Rhode Island (Away) - 32.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b1 - 21 - 3
Quad 22 - 23 - 5
Quad 310 - 313 - 8
Quad 410 - 123 - 9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 175   Princeton W 94-67 81%     1 - 0 +23.6 +21.5 +3.2
  Nov 12, 2019 273   Lamar W 66-56 91%     2 - 0 +0.9 -10.3 +11.0
  Nov 15, 2019 265   Lipscomb W 58-36 91%     3 - 0 +13.2 -20.4 +33.6
  Nov 21, 2019 115   Indiana St. W 74-71 58%     4 - 0 +6.8 +1.0 +5.7
  Nov 22, 2019 150   Air Force W 69-63 67%     5 - 0 +7.1 -3.5 +11.0
  Nov 24, 2019 201   Loyola Marymount W 71-50 79%     6 - 0 +18.3 +6.1 +15.1
  Dec 04, 2019 298   VMI W 71-58 93%     7 - 0 +2.1 -2.5 +6.0
  Dec 09, 2019 251   Columbia W 90-54 89%     8 - 0 +28.1 +15.0 +13.5
  Dec 14, 2019 140   Radford W 71-49 66%     9 - 0 +23.6 +2.6 +22.7
  Dec 21, 2019 172   Austin Peay W 86-77 72%     10 - 0 +8.6 +4.4 +3.7
  Dec 22, 2019 174   UAB L 68-77 73%     10 - 1 -9.4 -5.0 -4.3
  Dec 29, 2019 158   Marshall L 61-83 69%     10 - 2 -21.4 -14.0 -6.3
  Jan 02, 2020 91   Saint Louis W 73-59 62%     11 - 2 1 - 0 +16.7 +1.5 +14.6
  Jan 05, 2020 102   Davidson W 71-64 65%     12 - 2 2 - 0 +8.8 +5.4 +4.1
  Jan 08, 2020 254   @ Saint Joseph's W 78-60 78%     13 - 2 3 - 0 +15.6 +6.2 +10.3
  Jan 11, 2020 211   @ George Washington W 66-61 72%     14 - 2 4 - 0 +4.8 -4.1 +9.1
  Jan 15, 2020 260   Fordham W 58-56 OT 90%     15 - 2 5 - 0 -6.5 -10.7 +4.4
  Jan 22, 2020 69   @ Rhode Island L 67-72 32%    
  Jan 25, 2020 185   @ Massachusetts W 73-69 63%    
  Jan 29, 2020 8   Dayton L 67-74 25%    
  Feb 02, 2020 182   La Salle W 72-63 81%    
  Feb 05, 2020 91   @ Saint Louis L 64-67 40%    
  Feb 08, 2020 107   St. Bonaventure W 66-62 67%    
  Feb 16, 2020 260   @ Fordham W 64-56 78%    
  Feb 19, 2020 211   George Washington W 73-61 86%    
  Feb 22, 2020 8   @ Dayton L 64-77 11%    
  Feb 26, 2020 107   @ St. Bonaventure L 63-64 44%    
  Feb 29, 2020 152   George Mason W 71-63 76%    
  Mar 03, 2020 48   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 63-70 26%    
  Mar 06, 2020 85   Richmond W 69-67 59%    
Projected Record 22 - 8 12 - 6





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.8 2.7 1.4 0.4 0.0 6.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 1.7 7.9 8.0 2.8 0.3 20.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.1 7.2 7.7 1.7 0.1 17.8 3rd
4th 0.5 4.8 8.3 2.1 0.1 15.7 4th
5th 0.1 2.6 7.8 3.4 0.2 14.0 5th
6th 0.0 1.2 5.8 4.1 0.5 0.0 11.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 3.3 3.7 0.8 0.0 8.3 7th
8th 0.1 1.2 1.8 0.5 0.0 3.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.2 0.0 1.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.0 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 0.1 0.6 2.5 6.6 13.1 18.7 21.0 18.1 11.5 5.6 1.8 0.4 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.4    0.3 0.0
16-2 81.8% 1.4    1.0 0.5 0.0
15-3 49.0% 2.7    1.2 1.4 0.2 0.0
14-4 15.8% 1.8    0.3 0.8 0.5 0.1 0.0
13-5 1.6% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.0% 0.0    0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 6.7% 6.7 2.8 2.7 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 81.0% 23.8% 57.1% 6.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 75.0%
17-1 0.4% 78.7% 14.8% 63.9% 8.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 75.0%
16-2 1.8% 61.9% 15.3% 46.6% 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.0 0.7 55.0%
15-3 5.6% 31.9% 11.6% 20.3% 10.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.9 0.3 3.8 23.0%
14-4 11.5% 16.1% 7.9% 8.2% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.1 0.5 0.0 9.6 9.0%
13-5 18.1% 8.6% 6.5% 2.1% 11.4 0.0 0.1 0.8 0.6 0.0 16.5 2.2%
12-6 21.0% 5.1% 4.6% 0.5% 11.7 0.0 0.4 0.7 0.0 19.9 0.5%
11-7 18.7% 2.9% 2.8% 0.1% 11.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.0 18.1 0.1%
10-8 13.1% 1.2% 1.2% 12.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 13.0
9-9 6.6% 1.2% 1.2% 12.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 6.5
8-10 2.5% 0.6% 0.6% 12.5 0.0 0.0 2.5
7-11 0.6% 0.6
6-12 0.1% 0.1
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 8.5% 4.8% 3.6% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 1.0 3.8 2.7 0.1 0.0 91.5 3.8%