Cal St. Bakersfield
Western Athletic
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.2#221
Expected Predictive Rating-15.8#340
Pace64.3#307
Improvement+0.1#161

Offense
Total Offense-1.5#222
First Shot-3.3#277
After Offensive Rebound+1.8#85
Layup/Dunks-0.9#201
2 Pt Jumpshots+5.4#14
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.3#320
Freethrows-1.6#257
Improvement-0.1#200

Defense
Total Defense-1.7#211
First Shot-8.1#344
After Offensive Rebounds+6.5#5
Layups/Dunks+3.3#73
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.5#28
3 Pt Jumpshots-11.5#351
Freethrows-3.5#313
Improvement+0.2#132
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.7% 11.0% 7.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.9 14.5 15.1
.500 or above 35.1% 56.2% 31.4%
.500 or above in Conference 66.4% 75.7% 64.8%
Conference Champion 9.8% 13.5% 9.1%
Last Place in Conference 1.3% 0.5% 1.4%
First Four1.5% 1.0% 1.6%
First Round6.9% 10.5% 6.3%
Second Round0.4% 0.5% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: San Francisco (Away) - 14.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 6
Quad 32 - 42 - 10
Quad 411 - 613 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2019 223   South Dakota St. L 91-93 2OT 62%     0 - 1 -8.2 -3.5 -4.4
  Nov 13, 2019 103   @ Northern Iowa L 55-67 16%     0 - 2 -4.7 -4.0 -2.4
  Nov 19, 2019 98   @ San Francisco L 63-74 15%    
  Nov 23, 2019 5   @ Gonzaga L 60-85 1%    
  Nov 26, 2019 185   Sam Houston St. W 67-66 54%    
  Nov 29, 2019 261   Hampton W 76-71 66%    
  Dec 03, 2019 168   UC Santa Barbara W 68-67 51%    
  Dec 07, 2019 46   @ Mississippi L 60-77 7%    
  Dec 14, 2019 336   @ Idaho W 69-63 70%    
  Dec 19, 2019 197   Montana St. W 70-68 56%    
  Dec 21, 2019 311   @ Cal Poly W 69-66 62%    
  Dec 29, 2019 11   @ Texas Tech L 57-79 3%    
  Jan 04, 2020 170   Grand Canyon W 69-68 53%    
  Jan 08, 2020 222   California Baptist W 73-70 60%    
  Jan 16, 2020 266   @ UMKC L 65-66 47%    
  Jan 18, 2020 353   @ Chicago St. W 79-64 90%    
  Jan 23, 2020 233   Utah Valley W 70-66 63%    
  Jan 25, 2020 249   Seattle W 70-66 64%    
  Jan 30, 2020 94   @ New Mexico St. L 61-72 16%    
  Feb 01, 2020 283   @ UT Rio Grande Valley W 68-67 49%    
  Feb 06, 2020 222   @ California Baptist L 70-73 38%    
  Feb 13, 2020 353   Chicago St. W 82-61 96%    
  Feb 15, 2020 266   UMKC W 68-63 67%    
  Feb 20, 2020 233   @ Utah Valley L 67-69 43%    
  Feb 22, 2020 249   @ Seattle L 67-69 46%    
  Feb 27, 2020 283   UT Rio Grande Valley W 71-65 71%    
  Feb 29, 2020 94   New Mexico St. L 64-69 31%    
  Mar 07, 2020 170   @ Grand Canyon L 66-72 32%    
Projected Record 13 - 15 9 - 7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.3 0.9 2.4 3.3 1.7 0.8 0.3 9.8 1st
2nd 0.2 3.4 4.9 3.8 1.8 0.2 14.3 2nd
3rd 0.4 4.6 6.6 2.4 1.3 0.0 15.4 3rd
4th 0.6 4.9 8.4 2.9 0.0 16.7 4th
5th 0.6 2.9 5.7 2.9 0.1 12.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 3.6 6.8 1.8 0.1 12.6 6th
7th 0.1 0.9 2.9 4.6 1.6 0.2 10.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.8 2.3 2.4 1.2 8.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.7 9th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.5 2.1 3.5 5.7 10.0 11.9 13.0 16.2 13.2 8.3 7.5 5.1 2.0 0.8 0.3 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.3    0.3
15-1 100.0% 0.8    0.7 0.1
14-2 88.8% 1.7    1.4 0.3
13-3 65.2% 3.3    1.9 1.2 0.3
12-4 31.9% 2.4    0.9 1.2 0.3 0.1
11-5 10.8% 0.9    0.1 0.4 0.3 0.1
10-6 1.9% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 9.8% 9.8 5.4 3.2 1.0 0.1 0.1 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.3% 1.5% 1.5% 13.0 0.0 0.3
15-1 0.8% 29.9% 29.9% 13.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.6
14-2 2.0% 43.0% 43.0% 14.1 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.0 1.1
13-3 5.1% 23.7% 23.7% 14.3 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.1 3.9
12-4 7.5% 17.4% 17.4% 14.7 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.2 6.2
11-5 8.3% 17.4% 17.4% 15.3 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 6.8
10-6 13.2% 8.6% 8.6% 15.3 0.3 0.3 0.6 12.1
9-7 16.2% 3.0% 3.0% 15.6 0.1 0.1 0.3 15.7
8-8 13.0% 4.5% 4.5% 15.8 0.1 0.5 12.4
7-9 11.9% 2.9% 2.9% 16.0 0.3 11.5
6-10 10.0% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 9.9
5-11 5.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 5.7
4-12 3.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 3.4
3-13 2.1% 2.1
2-14 0.5% 0.5
1-15 0.1% 0.1
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 7.7% 7.7% 0.0% 14.9 0.0 0.8 1.6 2.6 2.7 92.3 0.0%