Hampton
Big South
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-10.7#329
Expected Predictive Rating-9.8#310
Pace76.0#41
Improvement+0.6#156

Offense
Total Offense-1.1#204
First Shot+0.1#176
After Offensive Rebound-1.2#272
Layup/Dunks+0.5#157
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#84
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.7#315
Freethrows+2.7#23
Improvement+2.3#54

Defense
Total Defense-9.6#348
First Shot-7.2#346
After Offensive Rebounds-2.4#340
Layups/Dunks-1.5#239
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#230
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#215
Freethrows-4.2#340
Improvement-1.6#268
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.7% 1.2% 0.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.8% 2.3% 0.3%
.500 or above in Conference 16.2% 32.0% 11.4%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 22.7% 9.1% 26.8%
First Four0.7% 1.2% 0.5%
First Round0.3% 0.5% 0.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UNC Asheville (Away) - 23.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 30 - 60 - 11
Quad 49 - 109 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 15, 2019 143   @ William & Mary L 65-78 9%     0 - 1 -8.6 -8.0 -0.5
  Nov 23, 2019 29   @ Illinois L 71-120 2%     0 - 2 -34.1 -1.5 -27.4
  Nov 26, 2019 103   @ San Francisco L 73-89 5%     0 - 3 -8.5 -3.7 -3.8
  Nov 29, 2019 217   @ Cal St. Bakersfield L 57-70 17%     0 - 4 -13.5 -16.9 +3.5
  Dec 03, 2019 85   Richmond L 63-80 10%     0 - 5 -13.4 +0.1 -16.0
  Dec 05, 2019 349   Howard L 91-94 OT 83%     0 - 6 -23.8 -10.4 -12.9
  Dec 07, 2019 280   Norfolk St. W 64-53 45%     1 - 6 +1.5 -6.7 +8.9
  Dec 18, 2019 192   @ Southern Illinois L 53-75 14%     1 - 7 -20.8 -11.9 -11.0
  Dec 21, 2019 104   @ Kent St. L 64-103 5%     1 - 8 -31.5 -5.7 -26.1
  Dec 28, 2019 272   St. Peter's W 70-67 44%     2 - 8 -6.1 +2.1 -7.9
  Jan 04, 2020 301   Charleston Southern W 92-85 52%     3 - 8 1 - 0 -4.1 +9.2 -13.7
  Jan 08, 2020 311   @ South Carolina Upstate L 73-83 34%     3 - 9 1 - 1 -16.4 -13.4 -1.5
  Jan 11, 2020 318   Longwood W 83-80 57%     4 - 9 2 - 1 -9.6 -2.6 -7.3
  Jan 16, 2020 141   Winthrop L 95-116 19%     4 - 10 2 - 2 -22.3 +4.2 -23.1
  Jan 18, 2020 267   @ UNC Asheville L 78-86 23%    
  Jan 20, 2020 231   @ Gardner-Webb L 71-81 18%    
  Jan 23, 2020 261   Campbell L 72-74 42%    
  Jan 25, 2020 140   @ Radford L 67-82 8%    
  Feb 01, 2020 324   Presbyterian W 77-75 59%    
  Feb 06, 2020 342   @ High Point L 74-75 48%    
  Feb 08, 2020 301   @ Charleston Southern L 74-79 31%    
  Feb 10, 2020 267   UNC Asheville L 81-83 43%    
  Feb 13, 2020 261   @ Campbell L 69-77 23%    
  Feb 15, 2020 318   @ Longwood L 75-79 36%    
  Feb 20, 2020 231   Gardner-Webb L 74-78 37%    
  Feb 22, 2020 141   @ Winthrop L 77-92 8%    
  Feb 27, 2020 140   Radford L 70-79 20%    
  Feb 29, 2020 311   South Carolina Upstate W 78-77 56%    
Projected Record 9 - 19 7 - 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big South Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 1.7 1.2 0.5 0.1 4.0 3rd
4th 0.6 3.1 2.3 0.4 0.0 6.4 4th
5th 0.2 3.5 3.7 0.7 0.0 8.1 5th
6th 0.1 2.6 6.2 1.3 0.0 10.3 6th
7th 0.0 1.2 7.5 3.0 0.1 11.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 6.2 6.6 0.4 0.0 13.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 5.2 9.0 1.5 0.0 16.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.9 4.7 8.4 2.7 0.1 16.8 10th
11th 1.0 3.7 5.0 2.1 0.2 0.0 12.0 11th
Total 1.0 4.5 10.3 16.3 19.3 18.5 13.8 8.8 4.7 1.8 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 75.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-4 40.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-5 15.9% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.6% 0.0    0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.0% 0.0
14-4 0.0% 0.0
13-5 0.2% 4.9% 4.9% 16.0 0.0 0.2
12-6 0.7% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.0 0.7
11-7 1.8% 6.3% 6.3% 16.0 0.1 1.7
10-8 4.7% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.1 4.6
9-9 8.8% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.2 8.6
8-10 13.8% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 13.7
7-11 18.5% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 18.4
6-12 19.3% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.1 19.3
5-13 16.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 16.3
4-14 10.3% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 10.3
3-15 4.5% 4.5
2-16 1.0% 1.0
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.7% 0.7% 0.0% 16.0 0.7 99.3 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.8%