UTEP
Conference USA
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+1.8#134
Expected Predictive Rating+15.1#26
Pace69.3#190
Improvement+0.1#168

Offense
Total Offense-1.7#231
First Shot+0.8#142
After Offensive Rebound-2.5#292
Layup/Dunks+6.1#32
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#304
3 Pt Jumpshots-7.3#330
Freethrows+4.8#16
Improvement-0.1#188

Defense
Total Defense+3.5#75
First Shot+7.3#20
After Offensive Rebounds-3.8#333
Layups/Dunks+0.5#171
2 Pt Jumpshots-5.2#340
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.9#24
Freethrows+6.1#4
Improvement+0.1#156
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 11.2% 15.2% 7.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 1.4% 2.6% 0.3%
Average Seed 12.2 12.0 12.6
.500 or above 71.9% 83.4% 61.1%
.500 or above in Conference 71.2% 77.6% 65.1%
Conference Champion 11.8% 16.1% 7.8%
Last Place in Conference 3.9% 2.4% 5.4%
First Four1.0% 1.8% 0.3%
First Round10.5% 14.1% 7.1%
Second Round2.8% 4.0% 1.6%
Sweet Sixteen0.7% 0.9% 0.5%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: New Mexico (Home) - 48.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 21 - 4
Quad 35 - 57 - 8
Quad 47 - 113 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2019 94   New Mexico St. W 65-50 49%     1 - 0 +17.1 -2.0 +20.4
  Nov 19, 2019 91   New Mexico L 76-77 49%    
  Dec 03, 2019 94   @ New Mexico St. L 64-70 29%    
  Dec 07, 2019 344   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 74-55 96%    
  Dec 16, 2019 322   N.C. A&T W 74-59 92%    
  Dec 19, 2019 42   @ Houston L 60-72 13%    
  Dec 22, 2019 206   @ Hawaii W 69-68 52%    
  Jan 02, 2020 162   @ Florida International L 76-77 47%    
  Jan 04, 2020 175   @ Florida Atlantic L 66-67 49%    
  Jan 09, 2020 231   Southern Miss W 68-60 76%    
  Jan 11, 2020 88   Louisiana Tech L 66-67 48%    
  Jan 15, 2020 207   Texas San Antonio W 77-70 73%    
  Jan 18, 2020 207   @ Texas San Antonio W 74-73 53%    
  Jan 23, 2020 210   @ Rice W 74-73 54%    
  Jan 25, 2020 155   @ North Texas L 58-59 45%    
  Jan 30, 2020 164   Middle Tennessee W 69-64 67%    
  Feb 01, 2020 189   UAB W 68-62 71%    
  Feb 06, 2020 215   @ Charlotte W 64-62 57%    
  Feb 08, 2020 114   @ Old Dominion L 59-63 35%    
  Feb 13, 2020 78   Western Kentucky L 68-70 44%    
  Feb 15, 2020 219   Marshall W 79-71 75%    
Projected Record 12 - 9 8 - 6





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Conference USA Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.2 0.8 3.5 4.3 2.4 0.6 11.8 1st
2nd 0.1 1.8 5.5 4.3 1.3 0.2 13.2 2nd
3rd 0.9 5.0 3.8 1.2 10.9 3rd
4th 0.1 3.7 5.0 0.9 9.7 4th
5th 0.1 1.7 5.7 1.9 0.0 9.4 5th
6th 0.3 5.0 2.9 0.2 8.3 6th
7th 2.1 5.2 0.4 7.7 7th
8th 0.6 3.9 2.0 0.1 6.6 8th
9th 0.1 1.6 2.9 0.4 5.0 9th
10th 0.5 2.4 1.1 0.0 4.0 10th
11th 0.2 2.0 2.5 0.2 4.9 11th
12th 0.0 1.3 1.9 0.7 3.9 12th
13th 0.7 1.5 0.9 0.1 3.2 13th
14th 0.0 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.0 1.4 14th
Total 0.0 0.4 1.2 3.4 5.3 7.9 10.6 14.4 13.9 14.2 11.0 9.0 5.6 2.6 0.6 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.6    0.6
13-1 93.0% 2.4    2.1 0.3
12-2 77.2% 4.3    3.0 1.2 0.1
11-3 38.6% 3.5    1.0 1.6 0.8 0.1
10-4 7.5% 0.8    0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2
9-5 1.5% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1
8-6 0.0%
7-7 0.0%
Total 11.8% 11.8 6.8 3.2 1.3 0.2 0.2 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.6% 98.4% 46.1% 52.3% 8.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 97.1%
13-1 2.6% 47.2% 25.7% 21.4% 11.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 0.3 0.0 0.0 1.4 28.9%
12-2 5.6% 32.9% 31.4% 1.5% 11.9 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.8 0.4 0.1 3.7 2.2%
11-3 9.0% 32.1% 29.4% 2.7% 12.3 0.3 1.6 0.9 0.1 6.1 3.8%
10-4 11.0% 15.5% 15.5% 12.9 0.1 0.5 0.8 0.3 0.1 9.3
9-5 14.2% 10.0% 9.5% 0.5% 13.0 0.2 0.9 0.3 0.0 12.7 0.5%
8-6 13.9% 5.9% 5.9% 13.4 0.1 0.5 0.1 0.1 13.1
7-7 14.4% 3.5% 3.5% 13.8 0.2 0.2 0.1 13.9
6-8 10.6% 0.7% 0.7% 14.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 10.5
5-9 7.9% 0.9% 0.9% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 7.8
4-10 5.3% 0.1% 0.1% 15.0 0.0 5.3
3-11 3.4% 3.4
2-12 1.2% 1.2
1-13 0.4% 0.4
0-14 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 11.2% 9.9% 1.3% 12.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 1.8 3.5 3.7 1.1 0.3 0.1 88.9 1.4%