Davidson
Atlantic 10
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+4.7#102
Expected Predictive Rating+1.3#147
Pace63.4#319
Improvement-2.6#285

Offense
Total Offense+3.7#68
First Shot+5.3#37
After Offensive Rebound-1.6#292
Layup/Dunks+4.1#45
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.8#332
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.7#26
Freethrows-0.6#220
Improvement-2.0#279

Defense
Total Defense+1.0#137
First Shot+0.3#147
After Offensive Rebounds+0.7#114
Layups/Dunks+0.6#143
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#256
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#97
Freethrows-1.0#241
Improvement-0.6#212
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.5% 2.8% 1.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.3 12.2 12.7
.500 or above 52.7% 59.8% 31.1%
.500 or above in Conference 59.0% 66.4% 36.3%
Conference Champion 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.5% 0.2% 1.5%
First Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
First Round2.5% 2.8% 1.5%
Second Round0.6% 0.7% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Fordham (Away) - 75.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 5
Quad 23 - 53 - 11
Quad 35 - 58 - 15
Quad 48 - 116 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2019 20   Auburn L 66-76 20%     0 - 1 +3.5 -1.4 +5.1
  Nov 12, 2019 171   @ Charlotte L 58-71 58%     0 - 2 -10.4 -4.7 -6.9
  Nov 16, 2019 321   UNC Wilmington W 87-49 94%     1 - 2 +25.1 +13.4 +14.0
  Nov 19, 2019 100   Nevada W 91-71 61%     2 - 2 +21.8 +20.9 +1.4
  Nov 22, 2019 110   Wake Forest L 70-82 64%     2 - 3 -10.9 -3.9 -7.0
  Nov 28, 2019 27   Marquette L 63-73 23%     2 - 4 +2.3 -8.3 +11.3
  Nov 29, 2019 249   Fairfield W 67-56 82%     3 - 4 +6.1 +3.4 +4.2
  Dec 01, 2019 76   Temple L 53-66 41%     3 - 5 -6.0 -12.9 +7.1
  Dec 07, 2019 128   @ Northeastern W 70-63 48%     4 - 5 +12.2 +6.2 +6.9
  Dec 10, 2019 334   Coppin St. W 88-52 95%     5 - 5 +21.7 +16.8 +7.7
  Dec 22, 2019 98   @ Loyola Chicago W 59-56 38%     6 - 5 +10.7 +2.4 +8.8
  Dec 30, 2019 142   @ Vanderbilt L 71-76 51%     6 - 6 -0.6 -0.3 -0.3
  Jan 05, 2020 89   @ Duquesne L 64-71 35%     6 - 7 0 - 1 +1.7 +3.3 -2.4
  Jan 08, 2020 69   @ Rhode Island L 58-69 28%     6 - 8 0 - 2 -0.4 -5.3 +4.5
  Jan 11, 2020 254   Saint Joseph's W 89-83 OT 88%     7 - 8 1 - 2 -2.2 -1.9 -1.1
  Jan 14, 2020 85   Richmond L 64-70 54%     7 - 9 1 - 3 -2.4 -3.5 +0.7
  Jan 19, 2020 260   @ Fordham W 63-56 75%    
  Jan 22, 2020 91   Saint Louis W 66-64 58%    
  Jan 25, 2020 152   George Mason W 70-63 74%    
  Jan 29, 2020 211   @ George Washington W 69-64 68%    
  Feb 01, 2020 185   Massachusetts W 75-66 79%    
  Feb 07, 2020 48   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 62-70 22%    
  Feb 11, 2020 260   Fordham W 66-53 89%    
  Feb 14, 2020 107   @ St. Bonaventure L 62-65 40%    
  Feb 18, 2020 254   @ Saint Joseph's W 76-69 74%    
  Feb 22, 2020 69   Rhode Island L 68-69 50%    
  Feb 25, 2020 182   La Salle W 71-63 78%    
  Feb 28, 2020 8   @ Dayton L 63-77 9%    
  Mar 03, 2020 85   @ Richmond L 65-70 33%    
  Mar 06, 2020 48   Virginia Commonwealth L 65-67 42%    
Projected Record 15 - 15 9 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.1 0.3 0.0 1.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 2.1 0.9 0.1 3.7 3rd
4th 0.4 2.9 2.5 0.2 6.1 4th
5th 0.2 2.7 5.0 0.9 0.0 8.7 5th
6th 0.1 2.3 6.7 3.1 0.1 12.3 6th
7th 0.1 2.1 8.2 6.3 0.7 0.0 17.4 7th
8th 0.3 3.2 9.6 8.4 1.7 0.0 23.1 8th
9th 0.1 1.7 5.7 5.2 0.9 0.0 13.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.7 2.9 2.9 0.6 0.1 7.2 10th
11th 0.2 1.4 1.4 0.4 0.0 3.4 11th
12th 0.1 0.5 0.9 0.3 0.0 1.6 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.5 13th
14th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 14th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.9 3.2 6.5 12.3 17.7 20.1 17.8 12.3 6.1 2.3 0.4 0.1 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 51.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-4 20.5% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0
13-5 1.9% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.1% 27.6% 6.9% 20.7% 8.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 22.2%
14-4 0.4% 10.0% 7.3% 2.7% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 3.0%
13-5 2.3% 11.2% 10.0% 1.1% 11.5 0.1 0.1 2.0 1.3%
12-6 6.1% 8.0% 7.9% 0.1% 11.8 0.1 0.3 0.0 5.6 0.1%
11-7 12.3% 4.1% 4.1% 12.0 0.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 11.8
10-8 17.8% 2.7% 2.7% 12.3 0.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 17.3
9-9 20.1% 1.8% 1.8% 12.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 19.7
8-10 17.7% 1.1% 1.1% 13.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 17.5
7-11 12.3% 0.8% 0.8% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 12.2
6-12 6.5% 0.4% 0.4% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.5
5-13 3.2% 0.3% 0.3% 15.5 0.0 0.0 3.1
4-14 0.9% 0.9
3-15 0.2% 0.2
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 2.5% 2.4% 0.1% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.3 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 97.5 0.1%