Rice
Conference USA
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.5#219
Expected Predictive Rating-1.3#194
Pace74.1#67
Improvement-2.6#287

Offense
Total Offense-0.5#192
First Shot+3.6#68
After Offensive Rebound-4.1#348
Layup/Dunks-2.4#273
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#267
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.5#13
Freethrows+1.4#83
Improvement-1.9#277

Defense
Total Defense-3.0#260
First Shot-2.0#233
After Offensive Rebounds-1.0#261
Layups/Dunks-4.3#323
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#310
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.0#55
Freethrows+1.7#74
Improvement-0.7#218
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.6% 0.8% 0.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.0 14.9 15.3
.500 or above 15.0% 23.6% 6.1%
.500 or above in Conference 13.2% 21.1% 4.9%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 13.4% 4.0% 23.1%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
First Round0.6% 0.7% 0.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Southern Miss (Away) - 50.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 40 - 6
Quad 34 - 54 - 11
Quad 47 - 411 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 36   @ Arkansas L 43-91 6%     0 - 1 -33.5 -27.4 +1.8
  Nov 09, 2019 130   Penn W 80-61 39%     1 - 1 +18.3 +2.4 +15.1
  Nov 12, 2019 325   @ Northwestern St. W 80-74 64%     2 - 1 -1.3 -1.1 -0.6
  Nov 16, 2019 162   @ UC Santa Barbara W 82-81 26%     3 - 1 +4.3 +9.3 -4.9
  Nov 19, 2019 34   Houston L 89-97 13%     3 - 2 +0.9 +9.6 -8.0
  Nov 22, 2019 250   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 75-69 56%     4 - 2 +1.0 -5.7 +6.2
  Nov 23, 2019 59   Liberty L 59-71 13%     4 - 3 -3.4 -5.5 +1.7
  Nov 24, 2019 221   East Carolina W 77-69 50%     5 - 3 +4.4 -1.2 +5.2
  Dec 07, 2019 273   @ Lamar L 60-73 49%     5 - 4 -16.3 -14.8 -1.0
  Dec 14, 2019 345   Houston Baptist W 96-84 89%     6 - 4 -5.2 -2.2 -3.9
  Dec 29, 2019 187   Sam Houston St. L 61-75 52%     6 - 5 -18.0 -13.4 -4.8
  Jan 02, 2020 158   @ Marshall L 69-89 25%     6 - 6 0 - 1 -16.5 -9.3 -4.9
  Jan 04, 2020 111   @ Western Kentucky L 61-68 16%     6 - 7 0 - 2 -0.1 -9.2 +8.9
  Jan 09, 2020 178   Florida Atlantic L 76-81 50%     6 - 8 0 - 3 -8.5 -4.0 -4.1
  Jan 11, 2020 163   Florida International W 92-78 46%     7 - 8 1 - 3 +11.5 +11.3 -0.6
  Jan 16, 2020 86   @ Louisiana Tech L 56-72 12%     7 - 9 1 - 4 -6.7 -9.8 +2.2
  Jan 18, 2020 278   @ Southern Miss W 71-70 51%    
  Jan 20, 2020 94   @ North Texas L 63-75 13%    
  Jan 23, 2020 147   UTEP L 67-69 43%    
  Jan 25, 2020 177   Texas San Antonio L 80-81 50%    
  Feb 01, 2020 94   North Texas L 66-72 30%    
  Feb 06, 2020 174   @ UAB L 64-70 29%    
  Feb 08, 2020 284   @ Middle Tennessee W 76-75 51%    
  Feb 13, 2020 170   Old Dominion L 66-67 49%    
  Feb 15, 2020 171   Charlotte L 66-67 49%    
Projected Record 11 - 14 5 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Conference USA Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.2 0.0 0.2 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 0.3 1.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 1.4 0.1 2.0 5th
6th 0.1 2.2 0.8 3.1 6th
7th 0.0 1.1 3.7 0.2 5.0 7th
8th 0.2 4.2 2.0 0.0 6.4 8th
9th 0.0 2.2 6.8 0.5 9.4 9th
10th 0.8 7.4 3.6 0.0 11.8 10th
11th 0.5 6.4 9.7 0.9 17.4 11th
12th 0.7 7.0 13.1 3.4 0.1 24.2 12th
13th 0.2 3.7 6.9 2.7 0.1 13.6 13th
14th 1.3 2.7 1.1 0.1 5.2 14th
Total 1.5 7.2 15.5 23.0 22.9 16.7 9.0 3.4 0.7 0.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4 18.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
9-5 0.0%
8-6 0.0%
7-7 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4 0.0% 36.4% 36.4% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-5 0.7% 3.3% 3.3% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.7
8-6 3.4% 2.5% 2.5% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.3
7-7 9.0% 1.0% 1.0% 14.6 0.0 0.1 8.9
6-8 16.7% 1.0% 1.0% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 16.5
5-9 22.9% 0.8% 0.8% 15.6 0.1 0.1 22.8
4-10 23.0% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.1 23.0
3-11 15.5% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 15.5
2-12 7.2% 7.2
1-13 1.5% 1.5
0-14
Total 100% 0.6% 0.6% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 99.4 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.5%