Rice
Conference USA
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-2.3#199
Expected Predictive Rating+6.2#94
Pace80.0#26
Improvement+0.6#101

Offense
Total Offense+1.9#116
First Shot+3.7#77
After Offensive Rebound-1.8#264
Layup/Dunks-3.0#276
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#290
3 Pt Jumpshots+9.0#8
Freethrows+0.1#161
Improvement+2.5#6

Defense
Total Defense-4.2#293
First Shot-4.5#301
After Offensive Rebounds+0.3#165
Layups/Dunks-5.2#315
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#183
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#146
Freethrows-0.1#192
Improvement-1.9#340
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.9% 2.4% 1.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.6 13.4 13.9
.500 or above 48.9% 59.7% 33.8%
.500 or above in Conference 40.0% 44.9% 33.1%
Conference Champion 2.0% 2.6% 1.2%
Last Place in Conference 13.1% 10.9% 16.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round1.9% 2.4% 1.2%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Wisconsin-Milwaukee (Neutral) - 58.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 21 - 4
Quad 34 - 55 - 9
Quad 47 - 312 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 27   @ Arkansas L 43-91 6%     0 - 1 -32.2 -27.5 +3.1
  Nov 09, 2019 134   Penn W 80-61 45%     1 - 1 +18.1 +3.3 +13.9
  Nov 12, 2019 345   @ Northwestern St. W 80-74 80%     2 - 1 -5.3 -2.2 -3.5
  Nov 16, 2019 169   @ UC Santa Barbara W 82-81 32%     3 - 1 +3.5 +8.1 -4.6
  Nov 19, 2019 45   Houston L 89-97 17%     3 - 2 -0.3 +10.5 -10.0
  Nov 22, 2019 248   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 79-77 58%    
  Dec 07, 2019 255   @ Lamar L 78-79 49%    
  Dec 14, 2019 296   Houston Baptist W 97-89 78%    
  Dec 29, 2019 183   Sam Houston St. W 79-77 58%    
  Jan 02, 2020 223   @ Marshall L 85-87 43%    
  Jan 04, 2020 78   @ Western Kentucky L 74-86 14%    
  Jan 09, 2020 185   Florida Atlantic W 77-75 58%    
  Jan 11, 2020 124   Florida International L 89-91 43%    
  Jan 16, 2020 88   @ Louisiana Tech L 71-82 17%    
  Jan 18, 2020 236   @ Southern Miss L 73-74 46%    
  Jan 20, 2020 151   @ North Texas L 67-73 30%    
  Jan 23, 2020 131   UTEP L 74-76 45%    
  Jan 25, 2020 217   Texas San Antonio W 87-83 63%    
  Feb 01, 2020 151   North Texas W 70-69 51%    
  Feb 06, 2020 186   @ UAB L 73-77 37%    
  Feb 08, 2020 209   @ Middle Tennessee L 81-84 41%    
  Feb 13, 2020 129   Old Dominion L 71-73 44%    
  Feb 15, 2020 212   Charlotte W 74-71 61%    
Projected Record 11 - 12 6 - 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Conference USA Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.0 2.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.8 1.7 1.0 0.1 0.0 3.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 2.7 1.5 0.2 0.0 5.0 3rd
4th 0.2 2.6 2.9 0.4 0.0 6.1 4th
5th 0.0 1.6 4.5 1.1 0.0 7.2 5th
6th 0.4 4.8 2.8 0.1 8.1 6th
7th 0.0 2.7 5.3 0.5 0.0 8.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.9 6.0 2.1 0.0 9.1 8th
9th 0.2 3.7 4.9 0.3 9.1 9th
10th 0.0 1.6 5.9 1.6 0.0 9.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.6 4.5 3.8 0.2 9.0 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 2.9 4.6 0.9 0.0 8.6 12th
13th 0.3 1.8 3.9 1.8 0.1 7.9 13th
14th 0.4 1.7 2.8 1.6 0.2 6.6 14th
Total 0.4 2.0 4.8 9.0 12.8 15.3 15.8 14.3 11.0 7.6 4.1 2.0 0.7 0.2 0.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
13-1 96.9% 0.2    0.1 0.0
12-2 77.2% 0.5    0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0
11-3 40.7% 0.8    0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0
10-4 10.5% 0.4    0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-5 0.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
8-6 0.0%
7-7 0.0%
Total 2.0% 2.0 0.8 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.0% 18.2% 13.6% 4.5% 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.3%
13-1 0.2% 27.6% 24.5% 3.1% 11.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 4.1%
12-2 0.7% 16.1% 16.1% 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6
11-3 2.0% 11.8% 11.7% 0.1% 12.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.7 0.1%
10-4 4.1% 8.6% 8.6% 13.3 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 3.8
9-5 7.6% 5.7% 5.7% 13.5 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 7.2
8-6 11.0% 2.8% 2.8% 14.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 10.7
7-7 14.3% 1.3% 1.3% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 14.1
6-8 15.8% 0.8% 0.8% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 15.7
5-9 15.3% 0.4% 0.4% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 15.2
4-10 12.8% 0.1% 0.1% 15.3 0.0 0.0 12.7
3-11 9.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 9.0
2-12 4.8% 4.8
1-13 2.0% 2.0
0-14 0.4% 0.4
Total 100% 1.9% 1.9% 0.0% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.0 98.1 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%