Coastal Carolina
Sun Belt
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-0.2#164
Expected Predictive Rating-8.9#286
Pace72.4#114
Improvement+2.2#7

Offense
Total Offense+2.3#110
First Shot-1.2#208
After Offensive Rebound+3.4#38
Layup/Dunks-3.7#281
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#90
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#184
Freethrows+1.3#107
Improvement+0.5#97

Defense
Total Defense-2.5#250
First Shot-2.5#241
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#177
Layups/Dunks+2.3#108
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#83
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.4#313
Freethrows-2.3#284
Improvement+1.8#8
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.3% 11.6% 6.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.9 13.6 14.2
.500 or above 58.2% 73.6% 49.5%
.500 or above in Conference 62.2% 71.4% 57.0%
Conference Champion 9.8% 13.7% 7.5%
Last Place in Conference 4.8% 2.8% 5.9%
First Four0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
First Round8.3% 11.6% 6.4%
Second Round0.9% 1.5% 0.5%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Utah (Home) - 36.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 21 - 31 - 3
Quad 35 - 76 - 10
Quad 49 - 415 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 265   Campbell L 74-75 78%     0 - 1 -9.5 +2.7 -12.3
  Nov 12, 2019 138   Northern Kentucky L 68-69 55%     0 - 2 -2.5 -3.4 +0.8
  Nov 18, 2019 200   Middle Tennessee W 93-72 68%     1 - 2 +15.8 +7.4 +6.0
  Nov 21, 2019 82   Utah L 78-82 36%    
  Nov 30, 2019 348   @ Delaware St. W 70-57 89%    
  Dec 07, 2019 145   @ Winthrop L 74-78 34%    
  Dec 14, 2019 322   NC Central W 79-66 89%    
  Dec 19, 2019 303   @ Troy W 79-74 69%    
  Dec 21, 2019 158   @ South Alabama L 74-77 39%    
  Jan 02, 2020 112   Georgia Southern L 80-81 50%    
  Jan 04, 2020 149   Georgia St. W 79-77 57%    
  Jan 06, 2020 237   Louisiana Monroe W 75-68 73%    
  Jan 09, 2020 132   @ Texas St. L 67-72 33%    
  Jan 11, 2020 126   @ Texas Arlington L 69-74 32%    
  Jan 16, 2020 172   Arkansas Little Rock W 76-73 62%    
  Jan 18, 2020 255   Arkansas St. W 80-72 75%    
  Jan 25, 2020 184   Appalachian St. W 76-72 64%    
  Jan 30, 2020 172   @ Arkansas Little Rock L 73-76 40%    
  Feb 01, 2020 255   @ Arkansas St. W 77-75 56%    
  Feb 06, 2020 132   Texas St. W 70-69 53%    
  Feb 08, 2020 126   Texas Arlington W 72-71 52%    
  Feb 13, 2020 112   @ Georgia Southern L 78-84 29%    
  Feb 15, 2020 149   @ Georgia St. L 76-80 37%    
  Feb 20, 2020 303   Troy W 82-71 83%    
  Feb 22, 2020 158   South Alabama W 77-74 59%    
  Feb 29, 2020 184   @ Appalachian St. L 73-75 44%    
  Mar 03, 2020 224   @ Louisiana W 81-80 50%    
Projected Record 14 - 13 11 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.4 2.3 2.8 1.8 0.8 0.3 0.1 9.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 2.6 3.7 2.4 0.8 0.2 10.2 2nd
3rd 0.5 2.9 4.4 2.2 0.5 0.1 10.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 2.9 4.4 2.1 0.3 0.0 10.2 4th
5th 0.3 2.4 5.0 2.2 0.4 10.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 1.9 4.6 2.6 0.4 0.0 9.8 6th
7th 0.1 1.4 4.3 2.7 0.4 9.0 7th
8th 0.2 1.1 3.6 2.7 0.6 0.0 8.2 8th
9th 0.1 1.0 2.9 2.8 0.9 0.0 7.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 1.0 2.5 2.2 0.7 0.0 6.6 10th
11th 0.1 0.3 1.1 1.6 1.4 0.5 0.0 4.9 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.0 2.7 12th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.9 2.2 3.2 5.2 6.8 8.8 10.2 10.9 11.5 10.6 9.7 7.5 5.2 3.6 2.0 0.8 0.3 0.1 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
19-1 100.0% 0.3    0.3
18-2 100.0% 0.8    0.8 0.0
17-3 91.4% 1.8    1.5 0.3
16-4 76.6% 2.8    1.8 0.9 0.1
15-5 44.4% 2.3    1.0 1.0 0.3 0.1
14-6 18.3% 1.4    0.3 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0
13-7 3.1% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 9.8% 9.8 5.8 2.8 0.8 0.3 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.1% 51.2% 51.2% 8.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.3% 58.4% 58.4% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1
18-2 0.8% 37.2% 37.2% 12.4 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5
17-3 2.0% 40.1% 40.1% 13.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.2
16-4 3.6% 31.4% 31.4% 13.4 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.1 2.5
15-5 5.2% 26.4% 26.4% 13.7 0.0 0.5 0.7 0.1 0.0 3.8
14-6 7.5% 21.2% 21.2% 14.0 0.0 0.4 0.7 0.4 0.0 5.9
13-7 9.7% 13.1% 13.1% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 8.5
12-8 10.6% 7.8% 7.8% 14.7 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.1 9.8
11-9 11.5% 3.9% 3.9% 14.9 0.2 0.2 0.1 11.0
10-10 10.9% 2.1% 2.1% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 10.6
9-11 10.2% 0.7% 0.7% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.1
8-12 8.8% 0.7% 0.7% 15.6 0.0 0.0 8.7
7-13 6.8% 6.8
6-14 5.2% 5.2
5-15 3.2% 3.2
4-16 2.2% 2.2
3-17 0.9% 0.9
2-18 0.4% 0.4
1-19 0.2% 0.2
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 8.3% 8.3% 0.0% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 2.2 3.0 2.0 0.4 91.7 0.0%