Coastal Carolina
Sun Belt
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.2#187
Expected Predictive Rating-2.3#204
Pace76.5#34
Improvement-4.8#334

Offense
Total Offense+0.2#172
First Shot+0.4#161
After Offensive Rebound-0.2#190
Layup/Dunks-1.9#246
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#66
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#168
Freethrows+0.0#170
Improvement-6.5#352

Defense
Total Defense-1.4#209
First Shot-2.0#230
After Offensive Rebounds+0.6#123
Layups/Dunks+4.8#26
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#61
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.8#351
Freethrows-1.8#282
Improvement+1.7#76
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.6% 2.5% 1.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.3 14.1 14.5
.500 or above 33.1% 52.2% 25.5%
.500 or above in Conference 26.8% 46.5% 18.9%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 3.3% 1.0% 4.2%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round1.6% 2.5% 1.3%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Arkansas Little Rock (Away) - 28.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 22 - 32 - 4
Quad 36 - 88 - 11
Quad 46 - 514 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 273   Campbell L 74-75 78%     0 - 1 -10.4 +4.4 -14.9
  Nov 12, 2019 127   Northern Kentucky L 68-69 47%     0 - 2 -1.5 -2.3 +0.7
  Nov 18, 2019 287   Middle Tennessee W 93-72 79%     1 - 2 +11.2 +4.0 +4.7
  Nov 21, 2019 109   Utah W 79-57 40%     2 - 2 +23.4 +5.1 +18.6
  Nov 22, 2019 4   Baylor L 65-77 8%     2 - 3 +2.7 +5.0 -3.2
  Nov 24, 2019 41   Mississippi St. L 56-81 19%     2 - 4 -17.0 -14.3 -2.7
  Nov 30, 2019 349   @ Delaware St. W 92-77 90%     3 - 4 -0.2 +4.7 -7.0
  Dec 07, 2019 128   @ Winthrop W 92-88 27%     4 - 4 +9.2 +12.4 -3.5
  Dec 14, 2019 298   NC Central W 91-71 81%     5 - 4 +9.4 +13.9 -4.7
  Dec 19, 2019 283   @ Troy L 59-77 60%     5 - 5 0 - 1 -21.8 -20.0 -0.3
  Dec 21, 2019 179   @ South Alabama W 81-69 37%     6 - 5 1 - 1 +14.2 +3.3 +10.2
  Jan 02, 2020 147   Georgia Southern L 67-70 52%     6 - 6 1 - 2 -4.8 -10.0 +5.4
  Jan 04, 2020 108   Georgia St. W 74-72 40%     7 - 6 2 - 2 +3.5 -5.5 +8.8
  Jan 06, 2020 274   Louisiana Monroe W 93-64 78%     8 - 6 3 - 2 +19.6 +10.4 +7.7
  Jan 09, 2020 134   @ Texas St. L 66-78 28%     8 - 7 3 - 3 -7.2 -4.6 -2.4
  Jan 11, 2020 114   @ Texas Arlington W 82-77 24%     9 - 7 4 - 3 +11.3 +5.1 +5.7
  Jan 16, 2020 140   Arkansas Little Rock L 55-71 50%     9 - 8 4 - 4 -17.3 -21.0 +4.8
  Jan 18, 2020 197   Arkansas St. L 75-80 65%     9 - 9 4 - 5 -10.2 -5.2 -4.9
  Jan 25, 2020 188   Appalachian St. L 58-78 62%     9 - 10 4 - 6 -24.3 -15.4 -9.2
  Jan 30, 2020 140   @ Arkansas Little Rock L 70-76 28%    
  Feb 01, 2020 197   @ Arkansas St. L 74-76 43%    
  Feb 06, 2020 134   Texas St. L 70-71 50%    
  Feb 08, 2020 114   Texas Arlington L 73-75 45%    
  Feb 13, 2020 147   @ Georgia Southern L 76-81 31%    
  Feb 15, 2020 108   @ Georgia St. L 75-83 21%    
  Feb 20, 2020 283   Troy W 78-70 78%    
  Feb 22, 2020 179   South Alabama W 74-72 60%    
  Feb 29, 2020 188   @ Appalachian St. L 71-74 39%    
  Mar 03, 2020 246   @ Louisiana W 78-77 53%    
Projected Record 13 - 16 8 - 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.6 2nd
3rd 0.5 1.1 0.2 1.8 3rd
4th 0.3 2.3 1.1 0.0 3.7 4th
5th 0.2 2.7 4.0 0.2 7.1 5th
6th 0.0 1.7 6.5 1.7 9.9 6th
7th 0.0 1.0 7.6 4.5 0.1 13.2 7th
8th 1.0 7.9 9.7 0.9 19.4 8th
9th 0.0 1.2 8.6 11.8 2.9 0.1 24.5 9th
10th 0.6 4.6 6.1 1.8 0.0 13.1 10th
11th 0.2 1.7 2.9 0.9 0.0 5.8 11th
12th 0.3 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.9 12th
Total 0.5 2.8 8.8 16.6 22.5 22.1 15.0 8.6 2.7 0.5 0.1 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 16.7% 0.0    0.0
13-7 8.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.5% 14.9% 14.9% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4
12-8 2.7% 7.1% 7.1% 13.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 2.5
11-9 8.6% 5.0% 5.0% 14.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 8.2
10-10 15.0% 2.7% 2.7% 14.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 14.6
9-11 22.1% 1.0% 1.0% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 21.8
8-12 22.5% 0.8% 0.8% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 22.4
7-13 16.6% 0.5% 0.5% 15.7 0.0 0.1 16.5
6-14 8.8% 8.8
5-15 2.8% 2.8
4-16 0.5% 0.5
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 1.6% 1.6% 0.0% 14.3 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.5 0.2 98.4 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.5%