Baylor
Big 12
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+17.3#5
Expected Predictive Rating+20.6#3
Pace64.8#287
Improvement-0.9#216

Offense
Total Offense+7.8#17
First Shot+5.0#45
After Offensive Rebound+2.8#15
Layup/Dunks+0.5#151
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#62
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#100
Freethrows+0.2#161
Improvement+0.1#169

Defense
Total Defense+9.5#5
First Shot+9.5#2
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#186
Layups/Dunks+6.9#6
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#311
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.8#56
Freethrows+2.0#49
Improvement-1.0#235
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 12.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 67.4% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 99.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 1.3 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round95.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen67.8% n/a n/a
Elite Eight43.7% n/a n/a
Final Four25.8% n/a n/a
Championship Game14.0% n/a n/a
National Champion7.5% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 1 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a5 - 25 - 2
Quad 1b6 - 011 - 2
Quad 25 - 216 - 4
Quad 36 - 022 - 4
Quad 44 - 026 - 4


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 296   Central Arkansas W 105-61 99%     1 - 0 +33.2 +14.6 +13.7
  Nov 08, 2019 56   Washington L 64-67 79%     1 - 1 +5.8 -7.4 +13.4
  Nov 15, 2019 102   Texas St. W 72-63 92%     2 - 1 +10.8 -0.4 +11.1
  Nov 21, 2019 158   Ohio W 76-53 93%     3 - 1 +23.6 +7.5 +17.5
  Nov 22, 2019 189   @ Coastal Carolina W 77-65 92%     4 - 1 +13.7 +8.6 +5.9
  Nov 24, 2019 13   Villanova W 87-78 61%     5 - 1 +23.4 +31.5 -7.0
  Dec 03, 2019 350   Maryland Eastern Shore W 78-46 99.8%    6 - 1 +10.4 -3.8 +12.4
  Dec 07, 2019 18   Arizona W 63-58 74%     7 - 1 +15.7 -6.3 +21.8
  Dec 10, 2019 27   Butler W 53-52 77%     8 - 1 +10.6 -8.7 +19.5
  Dec 18, 2019 333   Tennessee Martin W 91-63 99%     9 - 1 +16.2 +2.3 +13.2
  Dec 30, 2019 287   Jackson St. W 83-57 99%     10 - 1 +15.7 +6.9 +8.2
  Jan 04, 2020 62   Texas W 59-44 87%     11 - 1 1 - 0 +20.3 +0.5 +22.1
  Jan 07, 2020 17   @ Texas Tech W 57-52 51%     12 - 1 2 - 0 +22.0 +1.1 +21.5
  Jan 11, 2020 1   @ Kansas W 67-55 27%     13 - 1 3 - 0 +35.7 +15.6 +21.6
  Jan 15, 2020 81   Iowa St. W 68-55 90%     14 - 1 4 - 0 +16.5 -1.2 +18.5
  Jan 18, 2020 49   @ Oklahoma St. W 75-68 68%     15 - 1 5 - 0 +19.5 +13.7 +6.2
  Jan 20, 2020 37   Oklahoma W 61-57 81%     16 - 1 6 - 0 +12.1 +1.4 +11.2
  Jan 25, 2020 32   @ Florida W 72-61 58%     17 - 1 +26.3 +16.8 +11.1
  Jan 29, 2020 81   @ Iowa St. W 67-53 77%     18 - 1 7 - 0 +23.5 +3.5 +21.5
  Feb 01, 2020 76   TCU W 68-52 89%     19 - 1 8 - 0 +19.8 +6.6 +15.2
  Feb 03, 2020 79   @ Kansas St. W 73-67 77%     20 - 1 9 - 0 +15.6 +10.6 +5.2
  Feb 08, 2020 49   Oklahoma St. W 78-70 84%     21 - 1 10 - 0 +14.4 +13.8 +1.1
  Feb 10, 2020 62   @ Texas W 52-45 72%     22 - 1 11 - 0 +18.3 -6.1 +25.2
  Feb 15, 2020 14   West Virginia W 70-59 71%     23 - 1 12 - 0 +22.4 +4.1 +18.0
  Feb 18, 2020 37   @ Oklahoma W 65-54 62%     24 - 1 13 - 0 +25.1 +8.0 +18.4
  Feb 22, 2020 1   Kansas L 61-64 48%     24 - 2 13 - 1 +14.7 +4.3 +10.1
  Feb 25, 2020 79   Kansas St. W 85-66 89%     25 - 2 14 - 1 +22.6 +18.9 +4.1
  Feb 29, 2020 76   @ TCU L 72-75 76%     25 - 3 14 - 2 +6.9 +6.2 +0.6
  Mar 02, 2020 17   Texas Tech W 71-68 OT 73%     26 - 3 15 - 2 +13.9 +7.7 +6.4
  Mar 07, 2020 14   @ West Virginia L 64-76 49%     26 - 4 15 - 3 +5.4 +2.4 +3.2
Projected Record 26 - 4 15 - 3




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.0%
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 1.3 67.4 31.6 1.0 100.0%
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 1.3 67.4 31.6 1.0 100.0%