Campbell
Big South
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.5#256
Expected Predictive Rating-2.6#210
Pace65.2#289
Improvement-3.1#300

Offense
Total Offense-4.2#290
First Shot-1.2#215
After Offensive Rebound-3.1#332
Layup/Dunks+0.7#144
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#137
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#171
Freethrows-2.4#325
Improvement-3.7#337

Defense
Total Defense-1.2#199
First Shot-2.8#263
After Offensive Rebounds+1.6#53
Layups/Dunks-0.4#190
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#309
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.5#38
Freethrows-3.5#335
Improvement+0.6#154
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.8% 5.6% 3.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.8 15.9
.500 or above 81.1% 89.5% 70.0%
.500 or above in Conference 51.9% 64.8% 34.9%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 3.3% 1.4% 5.7%
First Four2.5% 2.7% 2.3%
First Round3.5% 4.3% 2.5%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Presbyterian (Away) - 56.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 10 - 1
Quad 33 - 53 - 5
Quad 414 - 817 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 164   @ Coastal Carolina W 75-74 21%     1 - 0 +3.9 +9.8 -5.8
  Nov 12, 2019 321   @ UNC Wilmington L 76-81 OT 56%     1 - 1 -12.0 -2.0 -9.9
  Nov 16, 2019 292   @ The Citadel W 87-73 47%     2 - 1 +9.4 +3.7 +4.7
  Nov 25, 2019 242   Jacksonville W 62-57 57%     3 - 1 -2.3 -6.3 +4.3
  Nov 29, 2019 135   Georgia Southern L 74-84 24%     3 - 2 -8.1 -6.4 -0.5
  Nov 30, 2019 304   @ Florida Gulf Coast W 51-46 50%     4 - 2 -0.5 -15.7 +15.7
  Dec 01, 2019 233   North Dakota W 58-56 45%     5 - 2 -2.2 -12.2 +10.3
  Dec 14, 2019 222   @ East Carolina L 67-79 32%     5 - 3 -12.6 -12.0 +0.4
  Dec 17, 2019 307   Elon W 60-46 73%     6 - 3 +2.2 -13.6 +17.3
  Dec 29, 2019 202   @ Ohio W 63-55 29%     7 - 3 +8.3 -3.5 +12.6
  Jan 02, 2020 229   Gardner-Webb L 65-67 56%     7 - 4 0 - 1 -8.9 -6.8 -2.3
  Jan 04, 2020 144   Winthrop L 72-87 35%     7 - 5 0 - 2 -16.5 -4.2 -12.1
  Jan 08, 2020 279   @ UNC Asheville W 64-62 43%     8 - 5 1 - 2 -1.6 -14.5 +12.8
  Jan 11, 2020 141   @ Radford L 63-68 17%     8 - 6 1 - 3 -0.5 -6.6 +5.8
  Jan 16, 2020 287   Charleston Southern L 62-77 68%     8 - 7 1 - 4 -25.2 -9.5 -17.3
  Jan 18, 2020 320   Longwood W 68-58 76%     9 - 7 2 - 4 -2.7 -5.9 +3.8
  Jan 20, 2020 326   @ Presbyterian W 66-64 57%    
  Jan 23, 2020 325   @ Hampton W 75-73 56%    
  Jan 30, 2020 344   High Point W 70-58 86%    
  Feb 01, 2020 310   @ South Carolina Upstate W 67-66 52%    
  Feb 06, 2020 144   @ Winthrop L 67-77 18%    
  Feb 08, 2020 326   Presbyterian W 69-61 77%    
  Feb 10, 2020 320   @ Longwood W 66-65 55%    
  Feb 13, 2020 325   Hampton W 77-70 76%    
  Feb 15, 2020 141   Radford L 62-66 35%    
  Feb 20, 2020 287   @ Charleston Southern L 65-66 46%    
  Feb 22, 2020 229   @ Gardner-Webb L 63-67 34%    
  Feb 29, 2020 279   UNC Asheville W 72-68 64%    
Projected Record 16 - 12 9 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big South Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 0.8 0.5 0.1 1.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.0 5.3 6.9 3.0 0.6 0.0 16.8 3rd
4th 0.8 6.7 8.2 2.6 0.2 18.5 4th
5th 0.1 4.7 9.1 2.6 0.1 16.6 5th
6th 0.0 2.1 8.7 3.3 0.2 14.2 6th
7th 0.6 5.8 4.6 0.3 11.2 7th
8th 0.2 2.9 5.4 0.7 0.0 9.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 1.3 3.9 1.3 0.0 6.6 9th
10th 0.1 0.7 1.9 1.2 0.1 3.9 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.4 0.0 1.2 11th
Total 0.0 0.2 1.4 3.7 8.5 14.8 19.5 20.3 16.3 10.0 4.0 1.1 0.2 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 30.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 5.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.8% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.2% 20.0% 20.0% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
13-5 1.1% 15.3% 15.3% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.9
12-6 4.0% 13.1% 13.1% 15.5 0.0 0.2 0.3 3.5
11-7 10.0% 9.0% 9.0% 15.8 0.2 0.7 9.1
10-8 16.3% 7.0% 7.0% 15.9 0.1 1.0 15.2
9-9 20.3% 5.0% 5.0% 16.0 0.1 1.0 19.3
8-10 19.5% 2.9% 2.9% 16.0 0.6 18.9
7-11 14.8% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.3 14.5
6-12 8.5% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.1 8.4
5-13 3.7% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.1 3.7
4-14 1.4% 1.4
3-15 0.2% 0.2
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 4.8% 4.8% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.7 4.1 95.2 0.0%