Delaware St.
Mid-Eastern
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-18.2#349
Expected Predictive Rating-20.4#348
Pace83.8#4
Improvement-1.2#231

Offense
Total Offense-14.8#352
First Shot-11.0#351
After Offensive Rebound-3.8#348
Layup/Dunks-7.0#345
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#95
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.1#304
Freethrows-1.4#284
Improvement-3.3#326

Defense
Total Defense-3.4#273
First Shot-2.9#270
After Offensive Rebounds-0.5#213
Layups/Dunks-1.3#238
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#96
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#214
Freethrows-2.1#293
Improvement+2.2#55
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 2.2% 4.8% 0.8%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 25.3% 12.5% 32.5%
First Four0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Coppin St. (Home) - 36.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 30 - 20 - 5
Quad 44 - 204 - 25


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2019 193   Rider L 54-81 11%     0 - 1 -31.9 -25.6 -5.2
  Nov 12, 2019 247   @ Manhattan L 74-85 7%     0 - 2 -13.0 -5.8 -5.7
  Nov 15, 2019 83   @ Georgia L 66-100 1%     0 - 3 -24.5 -5.6 -17.8
  Nov 18, 2019 240   LIU Brooklyn L 84-92 16%     0 - 4 -15.5 -4.5 -9.9
  Nov 20, 2019 66   @ Virginia Tech L 64-100 1%     0 - 5 -25.2 -3.3 -21.7
  Nov 23, 2019 64   @ East Tennessee St. L 66-98 1%     0 - 6 -21.1 -6.1 -12.6
  Nov 24, 2019 273   Charleston Southern L 61-71 13%     0 - 7 -16.2 -18.6 +2.9
  Nov 30, 2019 187   Coastal Carolina L 77-92 10%     0 - 8 -19.1 -9.1 -8.0
  Dec 04, 2019 281   Loyola Maryland L 76-84 21%     0 - 9 -17.6 -5.7 -11.6
  Dec 16, 2019 192   Delaware L 78-86 7%     0 - 10 -10.0 -8.8 -0.1
  Dec 18, 2019 230   @ Jacksonville St. L 80-92 6%     0 - 11 -13.1 +1.8 -13.9
  Dec 22, 2019 295   @ St. Francis Brooklyn L 62-81 11%     0 - 12 -23.7 -17.7 -4.5
  Jan 04, 2020 320   Morgan St. L 68-81 30%     0 - 13 0 - 1 -25.7 -15.2 -9.6
  Jan 11, 2020 298   NC Central W 68-66 24%     1 - 13 1 - 1 -8.7 -13.9 +5.1
  Jan 13, 2020 291   N.C. A&T L 77-98 22%     1 - 14 1 - 2 -31.2 -9.9 -18.3
  Jan 25, 2020 298   @ NC Central L 45-72 11%     1 - 15 1 - 3 -31.8 -30.2 -0.3
  Jan 27, 2020 291   @ N.C. A&T L 67-82 10%     1 - 16 1 - 4 -19.4 -18.4 +1.8
  Feb 01, 2020 336   Coppin St. L 71-75 36%    
  Feb 03, 2020 351   Maryland Eastern Shore W 62-58 66%    
  Feb 08, 2020 262   @ Norfolk St. L 58-74 7%    
  Feb 10, 2020 325   @ South Carolina St. L 67-78 15%    
  Feb 15, 2020 322   Florida A&M L 67-72 32%    
  Feb 17, 2020 299   Bethune-Cookman L 73-81 25%    
  Feb 22, 2020 336   @ Coppin St. L 68-78 18%    
  Feb 24, 2020 320   @ Morgan St. L 65-76 14%    
  Feb 29, 2020 351   @ Maryland Eastern Shore L 59-61 44%    
  Mar 02, 2020 262   Norfolk St. L 61-71 19%    
  Mar 05, 2020 347   @ Howard L 74-78 36%    
Projected Record 4 - 24 4 - 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.0 0.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 0.8 0.0 1.4 6th
7th 0.1 1.4 2.4 0.5 4.3 7th
8th 0.6 3.9 6.1 2.0 0.2 12.7 8th
9th 0.3 7.2 17.6 14.7 4.3 0.2 44.4 9th
10th 0.3 5.4 12.1 5.8 0.6 0.1 24.3 10th
11th 3.0 6.3 2.6 0.2 12.1 11th
Total 3.4 12.0 21.9 24.2 19.3 11.8 5.2 1.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5 0.0%
10-6 0.0%
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5 0.0% 0.0
10-6 0.1% 0.1
9-7 0.4% 3.1% 3.1% 16.0 0.0 0.4
8-8 1.7% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.0 1.7
7-9 5.2% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 5.1
6-10 11.8% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 11.8
5-11 19.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 19.3
4-12 24.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 24.2
3-13 21.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 21.9
2-14 12.0% 12.0
1-15 3.4% 3.4
0-16
Total 100% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 16.0 0.2 99.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 3.0%