Delaware St.
Mid-Eastern
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-16.2#349
Expected Predictive Rating-16.2#337
Pace73.5#91
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-23.9#352
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+7.7#20
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.2% 2.6% 2.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 3.8% 10.3% 3.8%
.500 or above in Conference 26.7% 56.4% 26.5%
Conference Champion 2.5% 2.6% 2.5%
Last Place in Conference 27.6% 12.8% 27.7%
First Four2.2% 2.6% 2.2%
First Round0.7% 0.0% 0.7%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Georgia (Away) - 0.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 30 - 30 - 6
Quad 47 - 167 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2019 167   Rider L 54-81 12%     0 - 1 -30.5 -25.0 -4.3
  Nov 12, 2019 271   @ Manhattan L 74-85 11%     0 - 2 -13.6 -8.4 -3.8
  Nov 15, 2019 66   @ Georgia L 48-75 1%    
  Nov 18, 2019 246   LIU Brooklyn L 55-64 21%    
  Nov 20, 2019 65   @ Virginia Tech L 39-66 1%    
  Nov 23, 2019 70   @ East Tennessee St. L 44-70 1%    
  Nov 30, 2019 195   Coastal Carolina L 55-66 16%    
  Dec 04, 2019 232   Loyola Maryland L 55-64 20%    
  Dec 16, 2019 192   Delaware L 47-61 10%    
  Dec 18, 2019 212   @ Jacksonville St. L 48-64 8%    
  Dec 22, 2019 299   @ St. Francis Brooklyn L 51-62 16%    
  Jan 04, 2020 323   Morgan St. L 59-61 42%    
  Jan 11, 2020 334   NC Central L 58-60 45%    
  Jan 13, 2020 320   N.C. A&T L 53-56 40%    
  Jan 25, 2020 334   @ NC Central L 55-63 26%    
  Jan 27, 2020 320   @ N.C. A&T L 50-59 23%    
  Feb 01, 2020 337   Coppin St. L 61-62 45%    
  Feb 03, 2020 350   Maryland Eastern Shore W 40-36 63%    
  Feb 08, 2020 310   @ Norfolk St. L 51-61 20%    
  Feb 10, 2020 326   @ South Carolina St. L 54-62 24%    
  Feb 15, 2020 344   Florida A&M W 55-54 52%    
  Feb 17, 2020 339   Bethune-Cookman L 58-59 47%    
  Feb 22, 2020 337   @ Coppin St. L 58-65 27%    
  Feb 24, 2020 323   @ Morgan St. L 56-64 24%    
  Feb 29, 2020 350   @ Maryland Eastern Shore L 37-39 41%    
  Mar 02, 2020 310   Norfolk St. L 54-58 39%    
  Mar 05, 2020 340   @ Howard L 58-65 28%    
Projected Record 7 - 20 6 - 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.5 1st
2nd 0.1 1.3 1.8 0.6 0.1 0.0 4.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.5 1.9 0.9 0.0 4.3 3rd
4th 0.0 1.2 3.0 1.1 0.1 5.4 4th
5th 0.8 3.8 1.9 0.1 6.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 4.1 3.2 0.4 0.0 8.1 6th
7th 0.4 3.6 5.1 1.1 0.0 10.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 2.9 5.9 2.0 0.1 11.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 3.0 6.3 3.4 0.2 13.4 9th
10th 0.1 1.1 4.1 6.2 3.8 0.4 15.8 10th
11th 1.1 3.0 5.6 5.4 2.8 0.5 18.5 11th
Total 1.1 3.2 6.8 10.1 12.3 13.9 13.7 12.3 9.3 6.9 4.4 3.4 1.4 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
14-2 94.9% 0.3    0.3 0.0
13-3 82.1% 0.6    0.4 0.3 0.0
12-4 49.8% 0.7    0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0
11-5 18.4% 0.6    0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
10-6 2.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 2.5% 2.5 1.2 0.8 0.2 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 0.0
15-1 0.1% 24.1% 24.1% 16.0 0.0 0.0
14-2 0.3% 17.8% 17.8% 16.0 0.1 0.3
13-3 0.8% 21.4% 21.4% 16.0 0.2 0.6
12-4 1.4% 14.7% 14.7% 16.0 0.2 1.2
11-5 3.4% 11.1% 11.1% 16.0 0.4 3.1
10-6 4.4% 7.6% 7.6% 16.0 0.3 4.1
9-7 6.9% 5.9% 5.9% 16.0 0.4 6.5
8-8 9.3% 3.3% 3.3% 16.0 0.3 9.0
7-9 12.3% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.2 12.1
6-10 13.7% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 13.6
5-11 13.9% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 13.9
4-12 12.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 12.3
3-13 10.1% 10.1
2-14 6.8% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 6.8
1-15 3.2% 3.2
0-16 1.1% 1.1
Total 100% 2.2% 2.2% 0.0% 16.0 2.2 97.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.7%