Rider
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-0.5#165
Expected Predictive Rating+2.5#142
Pace82.2#15
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+2.0#113
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-2.4#240
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 24.7% 32.4% 23.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.5 13.9 14.6
.500 or above 85.8% 95.4% 84.0%
.500 or above in Conference 90.2% 95.4% 89.2%
Conference Champion 33.3% 45.9% 31.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.6% 0.5% 0.6%
First Four2.2% 0.9% 2.4%
First Round23.7% 31.8% 22.2%
Second Round1.7% 2.7% 1.6%
Sweet Sixteen0.4% 0.8% 0.3%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Arizona St. (Away) - 15.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 16 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 11 - 3
Quad 33 - 43 - 6
Quad 417 - 520 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 336   @ Coppin St. W 91-84 79%     1 - 0 -1.8 -3.7 +0.4
  Nov 08, 2019 349   @ Delaware St. W 81-54 88%     2 - 0 +13.8 +14.1 -1.4
  Nov 17, 2019 73   @ Arizona St. L 79-90 15%    
  Nov 20, 2019 189   @ Massachusetts L 78-80 43%    
  Nov 23, 2019 167   Columbia W 79-78 50%    
  Dec 03, 2019 144   Bucknell W 82-81 55%    
  Dec 14, 2019 245   LIU Brooklyn W 87-80 74%    
  Dec 16, 2019 330   Marist W 80-66 88%    
  Dec 21, 2019 93   @ Temple L 75-84 21%    
  Dec 31, 2019 38   @ Wisconsin L 64-79 10%    
  Jan 05, 2020 197   Siena W 86-81 65%    
  Jan 07, 2020 251   @ Quinnipiac W 80-79 53%    
  Jan 10, 2020 198   Iona W 87-82 65%    
  Jan 12, 2020 330   @ Marist W 77-69 74%    
  Jan 17, 2020 322   @ Niagara W 85-78 72%    
  Jan 19, 2020 305   @ Canisius W 82-77 67%    
  Jan 24, 2020 331   St. Peter's W 76-62 88%    
  Jan 26, 2020 270   @ Manhattan W 80-78 57%    
  Jan 31, 2020 280   Fairfield W 77-68 78%    
  Feb 02, 2020 252   @ Monmouth W 77-76 55%    
  Feb 07, 2020 305   Canisius W 85-74 83%    
  Feb 09, 2020 322   Niagara W 88-75 86%    
  Feb 14, 2020 197   @ Siena L 83-84 45%    
  Feb 16, 2020 251   Quinnipiac W 83-76 72%    
  Feb 21, 2020 198   @ Iona L 84-85 45%    
  Feb 23, 2020 331   @ St. Peter's W 73-65 74%    
  Feb 28, 2020 252   Monmouth W 80-73 73%    
  Mar 01, 2020 280   @ Fairfield W 74-71 59%    
  Mar 04, 2020 270   Manhattan W 83-75 75%    
Projected Record 18 - 11 14 - 6





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.4 1.8 4.7 7.9 8.0 6.3 3.1 1.0 33.3 1st
2nd 0.1 0.6 3.2 6.0 6.4 3.7 1.0 0.1 21.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 3.0 5.0 4.0 1.5 0.2 0.0 14.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 2.5 4.4 2.4 0.5 0.1 10.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 1.9 3.3 1.6 0.2 7.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 1.5 2.3 0.9 0.1 5.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.6 0.7 0.1 3.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.1 0.4 0.1 2.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.3 0.0 1.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 11th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.7 2.6 4.0 5.5 7.4 9.8 11.2 12.3 12.7 11.8 9.0 6.5 3.1 1.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 1.0    1.0
19-1 100.0% 3.1    3.0 0.0
18-2 98.1% 6.3    5.9 0.4
17-3 88.6% 8.0    6.5 1.5 0.1
16-4 66.7% 7.9    5.1 2.4 0.4
15-5 37.0% 4.7    2.1 1.9 0.6 0.1
14-6 14.9% 1.8    0.5 0.9 0.4 0.1
13-7 3.5% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-8 0.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 33.3% 33.3 24.1 7.2 1.6 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 1.0% 73.3% 73.3% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.3
19-1 3.1% 55.5% 55.5% 13.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.5 0.1 1.4
18-2 6.5% 48.9% 48.9% 13.5 0.0 0.4 1.1 1.2 0.4 0.0 3.3
17-3 9.0% 44.6% 44.6% 14.1 0.1 0.9 1.6 1.3 0.2 5.0
16-4 11.8% 34.4% 34.4% 14.4 0.1 0.5 1.5 1.6 0.4 7.7
15-5 12.7% 28.2% 28.2% 14.8 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.9 0.6 9.1
14-6 12.3% 22.1% 22.1% 15.2 0.0 0.4 1.3 1.0 9.6
13-7 11.2% 17.9% 17.9% 15.6 0.1 0.8 1.2 9.2
12-8 9.8% 12.9% 12.9% 15.7 0.0 0.3 0.9 8.5
11-9 7.4% 10.3% 10.3% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.7 6.7
10-10 5.5% 7.3% 7.3% 15.9 0.0 0.4 5.1
9-11 4.0% 5.5% 5.5% 15.9 0.0 0.2 3.8
8-12 2.6% 2.7% 2.7% 16.0 0.1 2.6
7-13 1.7% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 1.7
6-14 0.9% 0.9
5-15 0.4% 0.4
4-16 0.1% 0.1
3-17 0.1% 0.1
2-18 0.0% 0.0
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 24.7% 24.7% 0.0% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.3 3.7 6.1 7.7 5.7 75.3 0.0%