Rider
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.2#191
Expected Predictive Rating-1.9#199
Pace75.5#45
Improvement-4.2#323

Offense
Total Offense+1.0#152
First Shot+0.3#165
After Offensive Rebound+0.6#124
Layup/Dunks+3.9#49
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.5#328
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#262
Freethrows+2.3#41
Improvement-1.1#235

Defense
Total Defense-3.1#261
First Shot-3.3#283
After Offensive Rebounds+0.1#169
Layups/Dunks-2.4#273
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#88
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.9#325
Freethrows+1.7#75
Improvement-3.1#329
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 16.9% 19.3% 14.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.4 15.2 15.6
.500 or above 86.6% 93.9% 79.9%
.500 or above in Conference 78.2% 88.8% 68.6%
Conference Champion 16.2% 24.9% 8.4%
Last Place in Conference 1.8% 0.7% 2.8%
First Four2.9% 2.3% 3.5%
First Round15.6% 18.3% 13.1%
Second Round0.6% 0.7% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Manhattan (Away) - 47.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 16 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 11 - 3
Quad 32 - 52 - 8
Quad 416 - 618 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 333   @ Coppin St. W 91-84 72%     1 - 0 -1.2 -3.3 +0.6
  Nov 08, 2019 348   @ Delaware St. W 81-54 87%     2 - 0 +12.5 +2.6 +8.7
  Nov 17, 2019 67   @ Arizona St. L 55-92 12%     2 - 1 -26.6 -19.8 -0.7
  Nov 20, 2019 206   @ Massachusetts L 72-82 41%     2 - 2 -10.0 -1.8 -8.2
  Nov 23, 2019 246   Columbia W 87-63 60%     3 - 2 +19.4 +4.2 +12.8
  Nov 24, 2019 89   Vermont W 72-67 22%     4 - 2 +11.0 +4.3 +6.7
  Dec 03, 2019 223   Bucknell W 89-69 67%     5 - 2 +13.4 +10.2 +2.4
  Dec 14, 2019 231   LIU Brooklyn W 89-74 68%     6 - 2 +8.0 +0.3 +5.8
  Dec 16, 2019 336   Marist W 74-64 87%     7 - 2 1 - 0 -4.3 -0.7 -3.3
  Dec 21, 2019 87   @ Temple L 66-78 15%     7 - 3 -2.8 -0.8 -1.6
  Dec 31, 2019 28   @ Wisconsin L 37-65 6%     7 - 4 -12.6 -25.5 +12.1
  Jan 05, 2020 229   Siena W 85-77 68%     8 - 4 2 - 0 +1.1 +3.3 -2.6
  Jan 07, 2020 225   @ Quinnipiac L 61-80 45%     8 - 5 2 - 1 -19.8 -12.1 -8.2
  Jan 10, 2020 255   Iona L 66-69 72%     8 - 6 2 - 2 -11.2 -10.4 -0.9
  Jan 12, 2020 336   @ Marist W 69-52 73%     9 - 6 3 - 2 +8.6 +0.8 +9.2
  Jan 17, 2020 293   @ Niagara L 68-70 60%     9 - 7 3 - 3 -6.8 -1.8 -5.3
  Jan 19, 2020 227   @ Canisius L 86-95 45%     9 - 8 3 - 4 -9.8 +9.0 -18.4
  Jan 24, 2020 236   St. Peter's W 70-66 69%     10 - 8 4 - 4 -3.3 -1.7 -1.6
  Jan 26, 2020 247   @ Manhattan L 68-69 47%    
  Jan 31, 2020 264   Fairfield W 70-64 73%    
  Feb 02, 2020 201   @ Monmouth L 75-77 41%    
  Feb 07, 2020 227   Canisius W 79-74 66%    
  Feb 09, 2020 293   Niagara W 81-73 78%    
  Feb 14, 2020 229   @ Siena L 76-77 46%    
  Feb 16, 2020 225   Quinnipiac W 78-74 67%    
  Feb 21, 2020 255   @ Iona W 78-77 51%    
  Feb 23, 2020 236   @ St. Peter's L 68-69 48%    
  Feb 28, 2020 201   Monmouth W 77-74 63%    
  Mar 01, 2020 264   @ Fairfield W 68-67 53%    
  Mar 04, 2020 247   Manhattan W 71-66 69%    
Projected Record 17 - 13 11 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 2.0 6.0 5.5 2.1 0.5 16.2 1st
2nd 1.2 8.3 6.0 1.3 0.1 16.8 2nd
3rd 0.4 6.2 6.8 1.3 0.1 14.7 3rd
4th 0.0 2.4 8.4 1.6 0.0 12.5 4th
5th 0.5 7.1 3.3 0.1 11.0 5th
6th 0.1 2.7 5.7 0.5 8.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 5.1 1.3 0.0 7.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 2.4 3.1 0.1 5.8 8th
9th 0.1 1.0 2.5 0.5 4.1 9th
10th 0.1 0.5 1.3 0.5 0.0 2.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.6 11th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.7 6.1 12.0 17.0 19.5 18.8 13.4 6.8 2.2 0.5 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 100.0% 0.5    0.5
15-5 96.8% 2.1    1.9 0.2 0.0
14-6 80.8% 5.5    3.4 1.9 0.2
13-7 45.0% 6.0    2.0 2.6 1.3 0.2 0.0 0.0
12-8 10.7% 2.0    0.1 0.4 0.8 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0
10-10 0.0%
Total 16.2% 16.2 7.9 5.1 2.2 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 0.5% 34.0% 34.0% 13.6 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3
15-5 2.2% 35.7% 35.7% 14.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.2 1.4
14-6 6.8% 28.5% 28.5% 14.7 0.1 0.5 1.2 0.1 4.9
13-7 13.4% 24.1% 24.1% 15.2 0.0 0.3 2.0 0.9 10.1
12-8 18.8% 20.7% 20.7% 15.5 0.2 1.7 2.0 14.9
11-9 19.5% 16.7% 16.7% 15.7 0.0 0.9 2.3 16.2
10-10 17.0% 12.6% 12.6% 15.8 0.0 0.5 1.6 14.9
9-11 12.0% 7.6% 7.6% 16.0 0.0 0.9 11.1
8-12 6.1% 5.6% 5.6% 15.9 0.0 0.3 5.8
7-13 2.7% 6.3% 6.3% 16.0 0.2 2.5
6-14 0.9% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 0.9
5-15 0.2% 0.0 0.2
4-16 0.0% 0.0
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 16.9% 16.9% 0.0% 15.4 0.0 0.3 1.6 6.6 8.4 83.2 0.0%