Manhattan
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.3#237
Expected Predictive Rating-2.7#214
Pace64.5#299
Improvement+2.7#65

Offense
Total Offense-6.0#322
First Shot-4.1#296
After Offensive Rebound-1.9#302
Layup/Dunks-3.3#298
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#275
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.8#79
Freethrows-1.5#290
Improvement+2.2#63

Defense
Total Defense+1.7#119
First Shot+2.1#109
After Offensive Rebounds-0.4#204
Layups/Dunks+4.2#43
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#261
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#112
Freethrows-2.5#312
Improvement+0.5#157
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 10.4% 11.3% 8.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.6 15.8
.500 or above 70.7% 78.9% 54.9%
.500 or above in Conference 81.5% 88.4% 68.3%
Conference Champion 22.5% 28.1% 11.9%
Last Place in Conference 1.8% 0.5% 4.3%
First Four3.9% 3.8% 4.2%
First Round8.4% 9.4% 6.6%
Second Round0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Marist (Away) - 65.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 32 - 52 - 7
Quad 414 - 816 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2019 348   Delaware St. W 85-74 92%     1 - 0 -9.4 -4.3 -6.5
  Nov 16, 2019 225   Albany W 57-51 59%     2 - 0 -0.6 -12.5 +12.5
  Nov 19, 2019 280   @ Samford L 57-70 49%     2 - 1 -16.9 -17.0 -0.6
  Nov 23, 2019 307   @ Elon W 69-64 57%     3 - 1 -1.0 -3.5 +2.8
  Nov 27, 2019 72   @ Rhode Island L 64-73 9%     3 - 2 +1.3 -1.6 +2.9
  Dec 02, 2019 136   @ Stony Brook L 47-65 20%     3 - 3 -13.2 -17.2 +2.2
  Dec 07, 2019 265   @ Fordham W 54-53 OT 45%     4 - 3 -1.9 -15.0 +13.1
  Dec 14, 2019 230   Western Michigan L 58-59 59%     4 - 4 -7.8 -17.7 +9.9
  Dec 22, 2019 143   @ Hofstra L 51-63 21%     4 - 5 -7.8 -18.8 +10.1
  Jan 03, 2020 223   @ Canisius W 71-67 37%     5 - 5 1 - 0 +3.2 -7.5 +10.3
  Jan 05, 2020 290   @ Niagara W 67-62 51%     6 - 5 2 - 0 +0.4 -3.7 +4.7
  Jan 10, 2020 253   @ Fairfield L 60-68 42%     6 - 6 2 - 1 -10.3 -0.8 -10.8
  Jan 12, 2020 232   Siena W 81-69 60%     7 - 6 3 - 1 +5.1 +4.3 +1.0
  Jan 16, 2020 235   Quinnipiac W 69-57 60%     8 - 6 4 - 1 +5.0 -8.0 +13.1
  Jan 18, 2020 204   Monmouth L 58-65 55%     8 - 7 4 - 2 -12.6 -15.1 +2.5
  Jan 22, 2020 335   @ Marist W 60-56 66%    
  Jan 26, 2020 194   Rider W 69-68 53%    
  Jan 31, 2020 243   @ St. Peter's L 57-60 40%    
  Feb 02, 2020 257   Iona W 68-64 64%    
  Feb 07, 2020 290   Niagara W 69-63 72%    
  Feb 09, 2020 235   @ Quinnipiac L 63-66 38%    
  Feb 14, 2020 257   @ Iona L 65-67 43%    
  Feb 16, 2020 232   @ Siena L 63-66 39%    
  Feb 21, 2020 243   St. Peter's W 60-57 62%    
  Feb 23, 2020 223   Canisius W 66-64 59%    
  Feb 26, 2020 335   Marist W 63-53 83%    
  Mar 01, 2020 204   @ Monmouth L 62-66 34%    
  Mar 04, 2020 194   @ Rider L 66-71 32%    
  Mar 06, 2020 253   Fairfield W 59-55 64%    
Projected Record 15 - 14 11 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 1.5 5.9 7.4 4.9 2.2 0.5 0.1 22.5 1st
2nd 1.0 6.7 6.8 2.3 0.4 0.0 0.0 17.1 2nd
3rd 0.2 4.7 7.0 1.6 0.1 13.6 3rd
4th 0.0 1.8 7.4 1.9 0.1 11.2 4th
5th 0.3 5.4 3.8 0.2 9.7 5th
6th 0.1 1.9 5.2 0.6 0.0 7.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 3.9 1.7 0.0 6.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 2.0 2.8 0.1 5.1 8th
9th 0.1 0.9 2.3 0.6 0.0 3.8 9th
10th 0.1 0.4 1.3 0.6 0.0 2.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.6 11th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.7 2.5 5.5 9.6 14.4 17.5 17.3 14.4 9.8 5.3 2.2 0.5 0.1 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-3 99.3% 0.5    0.5 0.0
16-4 99.7% 2.2    2.1 0.1
15-5 92.8% 4.9    4.1 0.8 0.0
14-6 75.4% 7.4    4.4 2.6 0.3 0.0
13-7 41.0% 5.9    1.5 2.6 1.4 0.3 0.0
12-8 8.7% 1.5    0.1 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.0
11-9 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-10 0.0%
Total 22.5% 22.5 12.8 6.5 2.3 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2 0.1% 32.4% 32.4% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-3 0.5% 31.0% 31.0% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4
16-4 2.2% 21.6% 21.6% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 1.7
15-5 5.3% 21.6% 21.6% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.4 4.1
14-6 9.8% 16.4% 16.4% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.9 8.2
13-7 14.4% 14.6% 14.6% 15.7 0.0 0.5 1.6 12.3
12-8 17.3% 12.8% 12.8% 15.9 0.3 1.9 15.1
11-9 17.5% 8.7% 8.7% 15.9 0.1 1.4 16.0
10-10 14.4% 5.3% 5.3% 16.0 0.0 0.7 13.6
9-11 9.6% 2.6% 2.6% 16.0 0.0 0.2 9.4
8-12 5.5% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.1 5.4
7-13 2.5% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.0 2.5
6-14 0.7% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 0.7
5-15 0.2% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.0 0.2
4-16 0.0% 0.0
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 10.4% 10.4% 0.0% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.4 2.5 7.5 89.6 0.0%