Delaware
Colonial Athletic
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.1#179
Expected Predictive Rating+11.5#50
Pace62.9#330
Improvement+0.3#134

Offense
Total Offense+0.1#173
First Shot-1.6#221
After Offensive Rebound+1.7#89
Layup/Dunks+2.2#100
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#254
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#209
Freethrows-0.7#205
Improvement+1.8#9

Defense
Total Defense-1.2#201
First Shot-1.1#198
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#182
Layups/Dunks+0.8#158
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#271
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#260
Freethrows+2.0#87
Improvement-1.5#338
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 11.6% 11.8% 11.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.0 13.6 14.3
.500 or above 83.0% 89.4% 77.6%
.500 or above in Conference 69.6% 74.5% 65.4%
Conference Champion 13.3% 17.0% 10.2%
Last Place in Conference 4.0% 2.4% 5.4%
First Four0.3% 0.1% 0.4%
First Round11.4% 11.8% 11.1%
Second Round0.7% 0.9% 0.5%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: St. Francis (PA) (Away) - 45.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 36 - 66 - 8
Quad 414 - 420 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2019 176   Oakland W 56-53 50%     1 - 0 +2.0 -14.2 +16.4
  Nov 09, 2019 225   Southern Illinois W 56-54 59%     2 - 0 -1.3 -8.5 +7.4
  Nov 10, 2019 207   Texas San Antonio W 91-79 55%     3 - 0 +9.6 +8.7 +0.1
  Nov 16, 2019 250   @ Lafayette W 81-73 52%     4 - 0 +6.4 +9.8 -3.0
  Nov 19, 2019 217   @ St. Francis (PA) L 70-71 46%    
  Nov 27, 2019 174   Stony Brook W 67-64 58%    
  Nov 29, 2019 349   Maryland Eastern Shore W 61-42 96%    
  Dec 02, 2019 166   Columbia W 67-65 59%    
  Dec 07, 2019 258   @ George Washington W 66-65 53%    
  Dec 14, 2019 14   Villanova L 59-75 6%    
  Dec 16, 2019 348   Delaware St. W 63-48 91%    
  Dec 20, 2019 246   @ LIU Brooklyn W 72-71 52%    
  Dec 28, 2019 285   UNC Wilmington W 77-68 78%    
  Dec 30, 2019 139   College of Charleston W 67-66 51%    
  Jan 03, 2020 255   @ Drexel W 69-68 55%    
  Jan 09, 2020 240   @ James Madison W 74-73 52%    
  Jan 11, 2020 158   @ Towson L 64-68 33%    
  Jan 16, 2020 165   William & Mary W 71-69 60%    
  Jan 18, 2020 312   Elon W 73-61 84%    
  Jan 23, 2020 191   @ Hofstra L 71-73 43%    
  Jan 25, 2020 147   @ Northeastern L 67-72 33%    
  Feb 01, 2020 255   Drexel W 72-65 73%    
  Feb 06, 2020 158   Towson W 67-65 58%    
  Feb 08, 2020 240   James Madison W 77-71 70%    
  Feb 13, 2020 312   @ Elon W 70-64 69%    
  Feb 15, 2020 165   @ William & Mary L 68-72 36%    
  Feb 20, 2020 147   Northeastern W 70-69 54%    
  Feb 22, 2020 191   Hofstra W 74-70 63%    
  Feb 27, 2020 139   @ College of Charleston L 64-70 32%    
  Feb 29, 2020 285   @ UNC Wilmington W 74-71 57%    
Projected Record 19 - 11 10 - 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.2 0.8 3.1 4.1 2.9 1.4 0.8 0.0 13.3 1st
2nd 0.2 1.7 5.4 4.4 2.1 0.4 14.1 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.8 6.2 4.6 1.4 0.1 14.2 3rd
4th 0.2 2.7 5.1 3.6 1.0 0.0 12.6 4th
5th 0.0 2.6 6.0 3.9 0.8 13.4 5th
6th 0.4 2.0 3.5 3.5 0.6 10.0 6th
7th 0.2 1.9 4.4 2.7 0.5 0.1 9.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.0 3.1 1.8 0.3 6.4 8th
9th 0.2 0.8 1.9 1.0 0.1 0.0 4.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.8 0.5 0.0 2.1 10th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.8 3.6 6.5 8.3 9.3 13.0 11.7 12.5 11.7 8.9 6.3 3.3 1.4 0.8 0.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.8    0.8
16-2 100.0% 1.4    1.3 0.0
15-3 87.7% 2.9    2.1 0.8
14-4 65.6% 4.1    2.7 1.1 0.3
13-5 35.3% 3.1    1.1 1.6 0.4
12-6 6.7% 0.8    0.1 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.0
11-7 1.6% 0.2    0.1 0.0 0.1
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 13.3% 13.3 8.2 3.8 1.0 0.3 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.8% 56.4% 56.4% 12.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.4
16-2 1.4% 38.7% 38.7% 12.5 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.8
15-3 3.3% 34.0% 34.0% 12.8 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.2 2.2
14-4 6.3% 32.1% 32.1% 13.4 0.2 1.0 0.7 0.1 4.3
13-5 8.9% 19.7% 19.7% 13.9 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.5 7.1
12-6 11.7% 13.7% 13.7% 14.2 0.1 0.2 0.7 0.5 0.1 10.1
11-7 12.5% 8.5% 8.5% 14.6 0.0 0.4 0.6 0.1 11.5
10-8 11.7% 10.1% 10.1% 14.8 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.1 10.5
9-9 13.0% 7.9% 7.9% 14.9 0.3 0.5 0.3 11.9
8-10 9.3% 5.8% 5.8% 15.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 8.7
7-11 8.3% 1.0% 1.0% 15.9 0.0 0.1 8.2
6-12 6.5% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.1 6.3
5-13 3.6% 3.6
4-14 1.8% 3.5% 3.5% 16.0 0.1 1.8
3-15 0.8% 0.8
2-16 0.2% 0.2
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 11.6% 11.6% 0.0% 14.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.0 2.6 3.7 3.1 1.0 88.4 0.0%