Delaware
Colonial Athletic
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.8#207
Expected Predictive Rating+0.7#159
Pace67.5#234
Improvement-7.2#352

Offense
Total Offense+0.7#160
First Shot+3.2#78
After Offensive Rebound-2.5#323
Layup/Dunks+4.8#26
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.9#334
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#101
Freethrows+0.3#150
Improvement-2.2#292

Defense
Total Defense-3.5#276
First Shot-2.4#241
After Offensive Rebounds-1.1#273
Layups/Dunks-1.3#234
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#258
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#148
Freethrows-0.6#218
Improvement-5.0#349
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.3% 5.8% 3.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.9 14.6 15.1
.500 or above 87.9% 96.7% 84.9%
.500 or above in Conference 38.1% 61.2% 30.2%
Conference Champion 0.4% 1.4% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 0.6% 0.1% 0.8%
First Four0.3% 0.2% 0.3%
First Round4.2% 5.7% 3.7%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Hofstra (Away) - 25.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 36 - 86 - 11
Quad 411 - 318 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2019 205   Oakland W 56-53 50%     1 - 0 +0.2 -14.5 +14.9
  Nov 09, 2019 189   Southern Illinois W 56-54 45%     2 - 0 +0.4 -7.6 +8.3
  Nov 10, 2019 175   Texas San Antonio W 91-79 41%     3 - 0 +11.5 +8.9 +1.8
  Nov 16, 2019 193   @ Lafayette W 81-73 36%     4 - 0 +9.0 +11.5 -2.1
  Nov 19, 2019 185   @ St. Francis (PA) W 79-64 33%     5 - 0 +16.8 +9.0 +8.8
  Nov 27, 2019 136   Stony Brook W 75-61 43%     6 - 0 +13.0 +1.3 +11.4
  Nov 29, 2019 352   Maryland Eastern Shore W 75-56 96%     7 - 0 -4.1 +3.1 -6.4
  Dec 02, 2019 249   Columbia W 84-76 69%     8 - 0 +0.1 +7.0 -7.0
  Dec 07, 2019 192   @ George Washington L 56-66 35%     8 - 1 -8.9 -9.3 -0.9
  Dec 14, 2019 23   Villanova L 70-78 8%     8 - 2 +5.1 +3.8 +1.1
  Dec 16, 2019 348   Delaware St. W 86-78 91%     9 - 2 -9.5 -2.6 -8.0
  Dec 20, 2019 247   @ LIU Brooklyn L 75-82 OT 47%     9 - 3 -9.0 -12.6 +4.8
  Dec 28, 2019 321   UNC Wilmington W 82-68 83%     10 - 3 1 - 0 +1.2 +10.2 -7.8
  Dec 30, 2019 124   College of Charleston L 63-75 40%     10 - 4 1 - 1 -12.2 -12.0 -0.2
  Jan 03, 2020 199   @ Drexel L 55-61 38%     10 - 5 1 - 2 -5.6 -11.8 +5.5
  Jan 09, 2020 267   @ James Madison W 80-76 51%     11 - 5 2 - 2 +1.0 -3.9 +4.5
  Jan 11, 2020 178   @ Towson L 68-84 31%     11 - 6 2 - 3 -13.7 +0.6 -15.4
  Jan 16, 2020 163   William & Mary L 68-77 50%     11 - 7 2 - 4 -11.7 -5.2 -6.9
  Jan 18, 2020 307   Elon W 79-78 80%     12 - 7 3 - 4 -10.8 +4.2 -15.0
  Jan 23, 2020 147   @ Hofstra L 70-77 25%    
  Jan 25, 2020 131   @ Northeastern L 67-75 23%    
  Feb 01, 2020 199   Drexel W 73-70 59%    
  Feb 06, 2020 178   Towson W 69-68 53%    
  Feb 08, 2020 267   James Madison W 81-75 71%    
  Feb 13, 2020 307   @ Elon W 73-70 62%    
  Feb 15, 2020 163   @ William & Mary L 70-76 29%    
  Feb 20, 2020 131   Northeastern L 70-72 42%    
  Feb 22, 2020 147   Hofstra L 73-74 46%    
  Feb 27, 2020 124   @ College of Charleston L 66-74 21%    
  Feb 29, 2020 321   @ UNC Wilmington W 71-67 65%    
Projected Record 17 - 13 8 - 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.4 1st
2nd 0.2 0.7 0.3 1.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.3 0.8 0.0 2.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.4 2.7 0.2 5.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.9 4.1 5.8 1.2 0.0 12.0 5th
6th 0.2 2.3 8.3 10.0 3.0 0.0 23.8 6th
7th 0.1 2.2 8.6 14.9 12.4 4.2 0.3 42.6 7th
8th 0.0 1.0 3.4 3.8 1.7 0.3 10.2 8th
9th 0.1 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.0 1.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 10th
Total 0.2 1.8 6.2 12.7 19.0 22.0 18.6 11.7 5.4 1.8 0.5 0.1 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0
13-5 46.7% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-6 4.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.4% 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 0.5% 22.4% 22.4% 13.8 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.4
12-6 1.8% 16.2% 16.2% 14.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 1.5
11-7 5.4% 8.6% 8.6% 14.3 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.0 5.0
10-8 11.7% 7.3% 7.3% 14.6 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.0 10.8
9-9 18.6% 5.7% 5.7% 14.9 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.1 17.6
8-10 22.0% 3.7% 3.7% 15.4 0.0 0.4 0.4 21.2
7-11 19.0% 2.5% 2.5% 15.6 0.2 0.3 18.5
6-12 12.7% 1.5% 1.5% 15.8 0.0 0.2 12.5
5-13 6.2% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 6.2
4-14 1.8% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 1.8
3-15 0.2% 0.2
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 4.3% 4.3% 0.0% 14.9 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.0 1.1 95.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%