Eastern Washington
Big Sky
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.2#201
Expected Predictive Rating+2.3#148
Pace78.6#29
Improvement-0.3#217

Offense
Total Offense-1.0#207
First Shot+5.2#61
After Offensive Rebound-6.2#350
Layup/Dunks-1.3#215
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#86
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#166
Freethrows+4.5#18
Improvement-0.1#179

Defense
Total Defense-1.2#203
First Shot-4.1#289
After Offensive Rebounds+2.9#37
Layups/Dunks-3.7#288
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#292
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#193
Freethrows+2.3#64
Improvement-0.2#219
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 14.2% 20.0% 13.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.6 14.1 14.8
.500 or above 64.1% 83.9% 60.0%
.500 or above in Conference 76.9% 88.2% 74.5%
Conference Champion 18.8% 28.2% 16.8%
Last Place in Conference 2.2% 0.7% 2.5%
First Four1.3% 0.6% 1.4%
First Round13.6% 19.7% 12.3%
Second Round1.0% 2.4% 0.7%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.7% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Boston College (Away) - 17.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 33 - 43 - 9
Quad 414 - 517 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2019 240   @ Seattle W 74-66 46%     1 - 0 +6.7 -5.9 +11.7
  Nov 13, 2019 115   @ Saint Louis L 60-82 22%     1 - 1 -16.2 -13.5 -0.8
  Nov 20, 2019 97   @ Boston College L 72-82 17%    
  Nov 23, 2019 330   @ High Point W 74-68 72%    
  Nov 26, 2019 55   Belmont L 79-88 21%    
  Dec 04, 2019 60   @ Washington L 63-77 10%    
  Dec 08, 2019 288   North Dakota W 81-73 75%    
  Dec 17, 2019 208   Nebraska Omaha W 79-76 61%    
  Dec 21, 2019 5   @ Gonzaga L 68-91 2%    
  Dec 28, 2019 276   @ Weber St. W 78-77 52%    
  Dec 30, 2019 308   @ Idaho St. W 77-73 64%    
  Jan 04, 2020 273   Portland St. W 83-76 73%    
  Jan 09, 2020 202   Montana W 75-72 61%    
  Jan 16, 2020 334   @ Idaho W 76-69 72%    
  Jan 18, 2020 211   @ Montana St. L 73-76 40%    
  Jan 25, 2020 191   Southern Utah W 77-75 58%    
  Jan 27, 2020 183   Northern Colorado W 73-71 57%    
  Feb 01, 2020 268   @ Sacramento St. W 74-73 51%    
  Feb 03, 2020 291   @ Northern Arizona W 79-77 57%    
  Feb 06, 2020 202   @ Montana L 72-75 41%    
  Feb 08, 2020 211   Montana St. W 76-73 61%    
  Feb 13, 2020 334   Idaho W 79-66 87%    
  Feb 15, 2020 273   @ Portland St. W 80-79 53%    
  Feb 20, 2020 268   Sacramento St. W 77-71 70%    
  Feb 22, 2020 291   Northern Arizona W 82-74 75%    
  Feb 27, 2020 191   @ Southern Utah L 74-78 38%    
  Feb 29, 2020 183   @ Northern Colorado L 70-74 37%    
  Mar 05, 2020 308   Idaho St. W 80-70 81%    
  Mar 07, 2020 276   Weber St. W 81-74 71%    
Projected Record 16 - 13 12 - 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big Sky Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 1.7 3.8 4.7 4.3 2.7 0.9 0.2 18.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.7 3.3 5.0 3.9 1.9 0.5 0.1 15.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 3.7 5.6 3.2 0.8 0.1 0.0 14.1 3rd
4th 0.1 0.8 3.6 4.9 2.1 0.4 0.0 11.9 4th
5th 0.1 0.6 3.0 4.5 1.7 0.3 0.0 10.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 2.8 4.0 1.6 0.2 0.0 9.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 2.0 3.2 1.4 0.1 7.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.7 2.4 1.1 0.1 5.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 1.4 1.5 0.7 0.1 0.0 4.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 0.9 0.3 0.0 2.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.3 11th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.6 2.7 4.1 5.6 7.7 9.2 10.6 11.2 11.7 10.3 8.6 6.7 4.7 2.7 0.9 0.2 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
19-1 100.0% 0.9    0.9
18-2 98.0% 2.7    2.5 0.2
17-3 90.3% 4.3    3.5 0.7 0.0
16-4 70.3% 4.7    3.1 1.5 0.2 0.0
15-5 44.8% 3.8    1.8 1.6 0.4 0.0
14-6 16.7% 1.7    0.7 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0
13-7 3.5% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-8 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 18.8% 18.8 12.6 4.8 1.1 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.2% 73.2% 72.4% 0.8% 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 2.9%
19-1 0.9% 48.5% 48.5% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5
18-2 2.7% 44.6% 44.6% 13.5 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 1.5
17-3 4.7% 34.5% 34.5% 13.8 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.8 0.3 0.0 3.1
16-4 6.7% 30.1% 30.1% 14.1 0.0 0.4 1.0 0.6 0.1 4.7
15-5 8.6% 26.6% 26.6% 14.5 0.0 0.1 1.0 1.0 0.2 6.3
14-6 10.3% 18.2% 18.2% 14.9 0.1 0.4 0.9 0.4 8.4
13-7 11.7% 15.0% 15.0% 15.3 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.7 10.0
12-8 11.2% 10.7% 10.7% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 10.0
11-9 10.6% 7.4% 7.4% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.6 9.8
10-10 9.2% 5.5% 5.5% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 8.7
9-11 7.7% 2.2% 2.2% 15.9 0.0 0.2 7.6
8-12 5.6% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.0 0.1 5.5
7-13 4.1% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 0.0 4.1
6-14 2.7% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 2.7
5-15 1.6% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 1.5
4-16 0.7% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 0.7
3-17 0.4% 0.4
2-18 0.2% 0.2
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 14.2% 14.2% 0.0% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.9 4.0 4.4 3.5 85.8 0.0%