Eastern Washington
Big Sky
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.3#188
Expected Predictive Rating+1.3#148
Pace81.7#15
Improvement-3.4#310

Offense
Total Offense+1.3#145
First Shot+3.5#73
After Offensive Rebound-2.2#311
Layup/Dunks+1.7#109
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#286
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.7#41
Freethrows-0.5#209
Improvement-0.4#200

Defense
Total Defense-2.7#250
First Shot-2.4#246
After Offensive Rebounds-0.2#187
Layups/Dunks+1.6#110
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.2#342
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#108
Freethrows-1.5#266
Improvement-3.0#321
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 10.9% 13.0% 8.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.5 14.4 14.8
.500 or above 83.0% 91.2% 75.0%
.500 or above in Conference 80.8% 89.9% 72.0%
Conference Champion 7.6% 11.5% 3.9%
Last Place in Conference 0.5% 0.1% 0.9%
First Four0.3% 0.2% 0.5%
First Round10.7% 12.9% 8.6%
Second Round0.6% 0.8% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Montana St. (Away) - 49.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 35 - 55 - 10
Quad 412 - 418 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2019 197   @ Seattle W 74-66 43%     1 - 0 +8.6 -5.2 +12.9
  Nov 13, 2019 91   @ Saint Louis L 60-82 18%     1 - 1 -13.5 -10.9 -0.8
  Nov 20, 2019 155   @ Boston College L 68-72 31%     1 - 2 -0.2 -3.9 +3.9
  Nov 23, 2019 342   @ High Point W 90-74 80%     2 - 2 +5.9 +6.5 -1.7
  Nov 26, 2019 88   Belmont W 87-82 33%     3 - 2 +8.1 +3.7 +3.8
  Dec 04, 2019 45   @ Washington L 80-90 9%     3 - 3 +3.3 +6.9 -2.4
  Dec 08, 2019 234   North Dakota W 98-82 71%     4 - 3 +8.9 +7.8 -1.0
  Dec 17, 2019 196   Nebraska Omaha W 97-56 65%     5 - 3 +35.8 +7.0 +23.6
  Dec 21, 2019 3   @ Gonzaga L 77-112 3%     5 - 4 -13.6 +1.9 -10.7
  Dec 28, 2019 274   @ Weber St. W 79-77 58%     6 - 4 1 - 0 -1.4 +1.3 -2.9
  Dec 30, 2019 313   @ Idaho St. L 69-75 69%     6 - 5 1 - 1 -12.4 -7.4 -5.0
  Jan 04, 2020 213   Portland St. W 71-69 68%     7 - 5 2 - 1 -4.1 -10.0 +5.9
  Jan 09, 2020 167   Montana L 63-90 56%     7 - 6 2 - 2 -29.9 -13.0 -15.5
  Jan 16, 2020 319   @ Idaho W 78-75 70%     8 - 6 3 - 2 -3.8 +3.8 -7.6
  Jan 18, 2020 236   @ Montana St. L 76-77 49%    
  Jan 25, 2020 176   Southern Utah W 77-75 59%    
  Jan 27, 2020 122   Northern Colorado L 75-76 46%    
  Feb 01, 2020 200   @ Sacramento St. L 68-70 44%    
  Feb 03, 2020 243   @ Northern Arizona W 80-79 51%    
  Feb 06, 2020 167   @ Montana L 73-77 34%    
  Feb 08, 2020 236   Montana St. W 80-74 70%    
  Feb 13, 2020 319   Idaho W 81-70 86%    
  Feb 15, 2020 213   @ Portland St. L 82-83 45%    
  Feb 20, 2020 200   Sacramento St. W 71-67 65%    
  Feb 22, 2020 243   Northern Arizona W 82-76 72%    
  Feb 27, 2020 176   @ Southern Utah L 74-78 37%    
  Feb 29, 2020 122   @ Northern Colorado L 72-79 25%    
  Mar 05, 2020 313   Idaho St. W 81-70 84%    
  Mar 07, 2020 274   Weber St. W 80-72 76%    
Projected Record 16 - 13 11 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big Sky Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 1.9 2.6 1.8 0.6 0.1 7.6 1st
2nd 0.1 1.3 4.6 5.2 2.4 0.5 0.0 14.1 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.2 7.3 7.3 2.7 0.3 0.0 20.0 3rd
4th 0.0 1.9 7.5 7.0 1.7 0.1 18.3 4th
5th 0.0 1.0 5.7 6.0 1.3 0.0 14.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 3.6 5.2 1.2 0.0 10.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 2.1 4.0 1.3 0.1 7.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.0 2.3 1.0 0.1 4.5 8th
9th 0.1 0.4 1.1 0.7 0.0 2.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 11th
Total 0.0 0.3 1.0 2.6 5.6 9.7 14.4 17.1 17.0 14.2 9.9 5.3 2.3 0.6 0.1 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
17-3 95.9% 0.6    0.5 0.1
16-4 78.7% 1.8    1.3 0.5 0.0
15-5 49.5% 2.6    1.3 1.1 0.3 0.0
14-6 19.6% 1.9    0.5 0.9 0.4 0.1
13-7 3.6% 0.5    0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-8 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 7.6% 7.6 3.8 2.7 0.9 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2 0.1% 41.5% 41.5% 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-3 0.6% 32.4% 32.4% 13.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.4
16-4 2.3% 29.1% 29.1% 13.3 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.6
15-5 5.3% 22.8% 22.8% 13.7 0.0 0.4 0.6 0.2 4.1
14-6 9.9% 20.6% 20.6% 14.2 0.3 1.0 0.7 0.0 7.9
13-7 14.2% 15.0% 15.0% 14.6 0.1 0.7 1.2 0.1 12.0
12-8 17.0% 12.1% 12.1% 14.8 0.0 0.5 1.3 0.2 14.9
11-9 17.1% 7.9% 7.9% 15.1 0.0 0.2 0.9 0.3 15.7
10-10 14.4% 4.7% 4.7% 15.4 0.0 0.4 0.3 13.7
9-11 9.7% 3.4% 3.4% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 9.4
8-12 5.6% 1.9% 1.9% 15.8 0.0 0.1 5.5
7-13 2.6% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.1 2.5
6-14 1.0% 4.0% 4.0% 16.0 0.0 1.0
5-15 0.3% 0.3
4-16 0.0% 0.0
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 10.9% 10.9% 0.0% 14.5 0.2 1.3 3.3 4.8 1.3 89.1 0.0%