Drake
Missouri Valley
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+1.4#140
Expected Predictive Rating+0.7#165
Pace71.5#130
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+1.5#129
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-0.1#159
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 10.2% 11.1% 6.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.3% 0.4% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.1 13.0 13.7
.500 or above 64.2% 69.5% 44.0%
.500 or above in Conference 59.1% 62.1% 47.8%
Conference Champion 13.1% 14.5% 8.0%
Last Place in Conference 9.6% 8.2% 14.7%
First Four0.3% 0.3% 0.1%
First Round10.1% 11.0% 6.9%
Second Round1.5% 1.7% 0.7%
Sweet Sixteen0.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UMKC (Home) - 79.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 32 - 6
Quad 36 - 68 - 11
Quad 48 - 216 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2019 333   Kennesaw St. W 86-55 92%     1 - 0 +16.6 +11.7 +6.6
  Nov 11, 2019 25   @ Cincinnati L 59-81 10%     1 - 1 -6.2 -5.1 -1.0
  Nov 13, 2019 237   UMKC W 76-67 79%    
  Nov 21, 2019 222   Lehigh W 81-73 77%    
  Nov 25, 2019 156   Miami (OH) W 76-75 55%    
  Dec 03, 2019 275   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 79-69 82%    
  Dec 07, 2019 301   Southeast Missouri St. W 81-69 87%    
  Dec 14, 2019 64   @ Dayton L 66-76 20%    
  Dec 21, 2019 178   @ Air Force L 72-73 49%    
  Dec 31, 2019 111   @ Bradley L 67-72 35%    
  Jan 04, 2020 147   Indiana St. W 77-74 62%    
  Jan 07, 2020 139   Loyola Chicago W 70-67 60%    
  Jan 11, 2020 184   @ Valparaiso L 74-75 50%    
  Jan 15, 2020 163   Illinois St. W 74-69 67%    
  Jan 19, 2020 207   @ Southern Illinois W 67-66 53%    
  Jan 22, 2020 130   @ Evansville L 72-75 38%    
  Jan 26, 2020 141   Missouri St. W 71-68 61%    
  Jan 29, 2020 147   @ Indiana St. L 74-77 42%    
  Feb 01, 2020 207   Southern Illinois W 70-63 72%    
  Feb 05, 2020 111   Bradley W 70-69 55%    
  Feb 08, 2020 98   @ Northern Iowa L 63-69 30%    
  Feb 12, 2020 141   @ Missouri St. L 68-71 40%    
  Feb 16, 2020 130   Evansville W 75-72 59%    
  Feb 19, 2020 184   Valparaiso W 78-72 68%    
  Feb 22, 2020 163   @ Illinois St. L 71-72 46%    
  Feb 25, 2020 139   @ Loyola Chicago L 67-70 39%    
  Feb 29, 2020 98   Northern Iowa L 66-67 50%    
Projected Record 15 - 12 9 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.3 1.5 3.1 3.5 2.7 1.5 0.4 0.1 13.1 1st
2nd 0.3 2.3 4.3 3.1 1.3 0.2 0.0 11.6 2nd
3rd 0.3 2.5 4.6 2.9 0.6 0.1 11.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.9 5.3 2.8 0.5 0.0 11.7 4th
5th 0.2 2.4 5.2 2.7 0.3 0.0 10.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 1.9 4.7 2.9 0.3 0.0 9.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.6 4.3 3.1 0.5 0.0 9.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.7 3.6 2.6 0.5 0.0 8.7 8th
9th 0.1 0.4 1.6 2.8 1.9 0.5 0.0 7.3 9th
10th 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.6 1.8 1.0 0.3 6.2 10th
Total 0.1 0.4 1.0 2.0 3.8 5.8 7.4 9.5 10.9 11.8 11.2 10.3 9.2 6.9 4.8 2.9 1.5 0.4 0.1 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.4    0.4
16-2 99.3% 1.5    1.5 0.0
15-3 91.8% 2.7    2.2 0.5
14-4 72.2% 3.5    2.5 0.8 0.1
13-5 45.2% 3.1    1.2 1.5 0.4 0.0
12-6 16.6% 1.5    0.3 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0
11-7 2.7% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 13.1% 13.1 8.3 3.4 1.2 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.4% 63.6% 52.3% 11.4% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 23.8%
16-2 1.5% 54.4% 46.3% 8.1% 11.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.7 15.0%
15-3 2.9% 32.5% 31.2% 1.4% 12.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.2 0.0 2.0 2.0%
14-4 4.8% 25.7% 25.5% 0.2% 12.6 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.0 3.6 0.3%
13-5 6.9% 23.8% 23.7% 0.1% 13.0 0.0 0.5 0.8 0.3 0.1 5.3 0.2%
12-6 9.2% 17.8% 17.8% 13.2 0.0 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.1 7.5
11-7 10.3% 11.3% 11.3% 13.7 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.0 9.1
10-8 11.2% 8.9% 8.9% 14.1 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 10.2
9-9 11.8% 6.6% 6.6% 14.4 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.1 11.0
8-10 10.9% 3.2% 3.2% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 10.6
7-11 9.5% 1.9% 1.9% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 9.3
6-12 7.4% 1.1% 1.1% 15.4 0.1 0.0 7.3
5-13 5.8% 0.5% 0.5% 15.3 0.0 0.0 5.7
4-14 3.8% 0.5% 0.5% 15.5 0.0 0.0 3.8
3-15 2.0% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 2.0
2-16 1.0% 1.0
1-17 0.4% 0.4
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 10.2% 10.0% 0.3% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.7 2.3 3.0 2.4 1.4 0.3 89.8 0.3%