Bradley
Missouri Valley
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+5.0#100
Expected Predictive Rating+4.6#105
Pace67.0#246
Improvement+3.0#53

Offense
Total Offense+2.5#108
First Shot-0.3#185
After Offensive Rebound+2.8#23
Layup/Dunks-3.8#316
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.5#36
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#237
Freethrows+1.6#72
Improvement+2.5#52

Defense
Total Defense+2.5#99
First Shot+2.3#97
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#166
Layups/Dunks+7.8#3
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.1#343
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#232
Freethrows-0.3#200
Improvement+0.5#147
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 17.7% 19.7% 15.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.6 12.4 12.9
.500 or above 99.8% 100.0% 99.5%
.500 or above in Conference 97.2% 99.1% 95.3%
Conference Champion 21.4% 30.4% 12.6%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round17.7% 19.6% 15.8%
Second Round3.2% 3.9% 2.5%
Sweet Sixteen0.8% 0.9% 0.6%
Elite Eight0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Indiana St. (Away) - 49.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 22 - 32 - 5
Quad 310 - 512 - 10
Quad 49 - 121 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 240   @ Saint Joseph's L 81-86 74%     0 - 1 -6.5 -0.9 -5.2
  Nov 09, 2019 323   IUPUI W 90-56 94%     1 - 1 +21.1 +9.2 +11.9
  Nov 16, 2019 198   Illinois-Chicago W 65-56 84%     2 - 1 +3.5 -7.9 +11.6
  Nov 19, 2019 283   Norfolk St. W 69-57 91%     3 - 1 +2.1 -1.9 +4.8
  Nov 22, 2019 162   Radford W 70-61 77%     4 - 1 +6.3 +1.5 +5.7
  Nov 25, 2019 107   Northwestern L 51-78 52%     4 - 2 -22.5 -13.9 -11.4
  Nov 27, 2019 83   Kansas St. W 73-60 44%     5 - 2 +19.6 +4.3 +15.1
  Dec 03, 2019 49   @ Memphis L 56-71 22%     5 - 3 -2.0 -9.8 +8.6
  Dec 07, 2019 287   N.C. A&T W 83-52 91%     6 - 3 +20.8 +12.5 +10.2
  Dec 15, 2019 140   Georgia Southern W 81-51 73%     7 - 3 +28.6 +10.9 +19.0
  Dec 21, 2019 204   @ Miami (OH) L 55-71 68%     7 - 4 -15.8 -17.2 +0.4
  Dec 28, 2019 114   Toledo W 78-66 67%     8 - 4 +12.5 +3.0 +9.3
  Dec 31, 2019 143   Drake W 80-72 74%     9 - 4 1 - 0 +6.4 +7.4 -0.9
  Jan 04, 2020 61   @ Northern Iowa L 64-69 27%     9 - 5 1 - 1 +6.3 -2.6 +8.7
  Jan 08, 2020 272   @ Evansville W 72-52 78%     10 - 5 2 - 1 +16.8 +1.3 +16.4
  Jan 11, 2020 171   Southern Illinois W 67-48 79%     11 - 5 3 - 1 +15.7 +2.3 +15.3
  Jan 15, 2020 144   @ Missouri St. W 91-78 53%     12 - 5 4 - 1 +17.3 +16.8 -0.3
  Jan 18, 2020 61   Northern Iowa L 71-86 48%     12 - 6 4 - 2 -9.6 -0.6 -9.2
  Jan 22, 2020 209   Illinois St. W 75-63 85%     13 - 6 5 - 2 +6.0 +6.0 +1.0
  Jan 25, 2020 132   @ Indiana St. L 70-71 49%    
  Jan 29, 2020 165   Valparaiso W 75-67 76%    
  Feb 01, 2020 90   @ Loyola Chicago L 62-66 36%    
  Feb 05, 2020 143   @ Drake W 68-67 53%    
  Feb 09, 2020 272   Evansville W 75-61 91%    
  Feb 12, 2020 132   Indiana St. W 73-67 70%    
  Feb 15, 2020 171   @ Southern Illinois W 62-60 59%    
  Feb 19, 2020 144   Missouri St. W 69-62 74%    
  Feb 22, 2020 165   @ Valparaiso W 72-70 56%    
  Feb 26, 2020 209   @ Illinois St. W 70-65 68%    
  Feb 29, 2020 90   Loyola Chicago W 65-63 59%    
Projected Record 20 - 10 12 - 6





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 1.5 5.8 8.2 4.8 0.9 21.4 1st
2nd 0.1 2.6 10.4 12.4 4.0 0.3 29.9 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.6 10.9 9.1 2.3 0.1 25.0 3rd
4th 1.0 6.6 4.5 0.6 12.6 4th
5th 0.3 2.8 3.0 0.3 6.3 5th
6th 0.1 1.0 1.8 0.2 3.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 0.9 0.3 1.3 7th
8th 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.0 9th
10th 10th
Total 0.1 0.5 2.3 6.0 12.4 18.4 21.6 20.5 12.3 5.2 0.9 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.9    0.9 0.1
15-3 93.4% 4.8    3.6 1.2 0.0
14-4 66.8% 8.2    4.0 3.8 0.5
13-5 28.3% 5.8    1.5 2.9 1.4 0.1
12-6 7.1% 1.5    0.1 0.5 0.7 0.2 0.0
11-7 0.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 21.4% 21.4 10.0 8.5 2.6 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.9% 33.0% 31.9% 1.1% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.6 1.6%
15-3 5.2% 29.3% 29.3% 11.8 0.4 1.1 0.1 3.6
14-4 12.3% 25.7% 25.7% 12.3 0.3 1.9 1.0 0.1 9.2
13-5 20.5% 22.3% 22.3% 12.5 0.0 2.5 1.9 0.2 15.9
12-6 21.6% 16.3% 16.3% 12.8 0.0 1.1 1.9 0.5 0.0 18.1
11-7 18.4% 14.3% 14.3% 13.1 0.5 1.5 0.6 0.1 15.7
10-8 12.4% 11.9% 11.9% 13.4 0.1 0.8 0.5 0.1 10.9
9-9 6.0% 7.5% 7.5% 13.7 0.2 0.3 0.0 5.5
8-10 2.3% 4.0% 4.0% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 2.2
7-11 0.5% 2.1% 2.1% 15.0 0.0 0.5
6-12 0.1% 0.1
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 17.7% 17.7% 0.0% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.8 7.2 7.3 2.1 0.3 82.3 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.3% 100.0% 10.6 3.3 3.3 6.7 16.7 53.3 16.7
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.3%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.2% 4.8% 12.0 4.8