Grand Canyon
Western Athletic
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.2#215
Expected Predictive Rating-5.1#246
Pace68.0#223
Improvement-0.7#216

Offense
Total Offense-0.9#199
First Shot-0.3#190
After Offensive Rebound-0.6#231
Layup/Dunks+0.0#174
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#67
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.5#292
Freethrows+1.0#102
Improvement-2.4#298

Defense
Total Defense-2.3#239
First Shot-2.3#234
After Offensive Rebounds-0.1#177
Layups/Dunks+0.0#166
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.8#16
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.0#337
Freethrows-0.1#187
Improvement+1.7#85
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.5% 7.4% 5.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.6 15.8
.500 or above 30.7% 40.9% 16.5%
.500 or above in Conference 67.0% 78.8% 50.5%
Conference Champion 1.2% 1.9% 0.4%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four3.0% 2.8% 3.4%
First Round5.3% 6.3% 4.0%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Seattle (Home) - 58.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 40 - 6
Quad 32 - 42 - 10
Quad 412 - 614 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2019 34   Illinois L 71-83 13%     0 - 1 -3.1 -2.0 -0.4
  Nov 13, 2019 12   @ San Diego St. L 61-86 4%     0 - 2 -7.3 +1.6 -10.2
  Nov 16, 2019 347   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 67-54 93%     1 - 2 -6.6 -9.1 +2.8
  Nov 19, 2019 249   Montana St. W 69-56 67%     2 - 2 +5.2 +0.0 +6.6
  Nov 22, 2019 161   Valparaiso L 74-78 37%     2 - 3 -3.7 -3.1 -0.4
  Nov 23, 2019 265   Fordham L 58-70 60%     2 - 4 -17.8 -10.2 -8.2
  Nov 25, 2019 210   Illinois St. W 68-63 49%     3 - 4 +2.0 -3.1 +5.3
  Nov 30, 2019 260   Purdue Fort Wayne L 60-71 69%     3 - 5 -19.3 -9.0 -11.8
  Dec 03, 2019 269   Mount St. Mary's W 75-67 OT 71%     4 - 5 -1.0 -2.7 +1.5
  Dec 08, 2019 65   Liberty L 61-70 15%     4 - 6 -1.2 +0.4 -2.6
  Dec 12, 2019 55   Northern Iowa L 58-82 19%     4 - 7 -18.0 -10.6 -8.9
  Dec 17, 2019 123   @ New Mexico L 71-91 20%     4 - 8 -14.2 -0.3 -14.3
  Dec 21, 2019 218   Eastern Illinois W 85-63 62%     5 - 8 +15.8 +5.5 +9.4
  Jan 04, 2020 216   @ Cal St. Bakersfield L 62-69 39%     5 - 9 0 - 1 -7.4 -8.8 +1.1
  Jan 11, 2020 184   California Baptist L 57-61 52%     5 - 10 0 - 2 -7.7 -23.0 +15.6
  Jan 16, 2020 353   @ Chicago St. W 78-64 91%     6 - 10 1 - 2 -4.4 +5.8 -8.2
  Jan 19, 2020 245   @ UMKC W 69-66 45%     7 - 10 2 - 2 +1.1 +0.2 +1.1
  Jan 23, 2020 198   Seattle W 70-68 58%    
  Jan 25, 2020 276   Utah Valley W 74-68 71%    
  Jan 30, 2020 261   @ UT Rio Grande Valley L 71-72 48%    
  Feb 01, 2020 94   @ New Mexico St. L 61-72 14%    
  Feb 08, 2020 184   @ California Baptist L 71-76 31%    
  Feb 13, 2020 245   UMKC W 70-66 66%    
  Feb 15, 2020 353   Chicago St. W 84-63 98%    
  Feb 20, 2020 198   @ Seattle L 67-71 36%    
  Feb 22, 2020 276   @ Utah Valley W 71-70 50%    
  Feb 27, 2020 94   New Mexico St. L 64-70 31%    
  Feb 29, 2020 261   UT Rio Grande Valley W 74-69 69%    
  Mar 07, 2020 216   Cal St. Bakersfield W 69-66 61%    
Projected Record 13 - 16 8 - 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.4 0.1 1.2 1st
2nd 0.7 3.8 5.0 2.1 0.2 11.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.9 7.7 8.5 2.8 0.2 20.2 3rd
4th 0.5 8.2 9.6 2.2 0.1 20.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 5.8 9.8 1.8 0.0 17.7 5th
6th 0.1 2.9 7.9 1.9 0.0 12.8 6th
7th 0.1 1.5 5.3 2.4 0.1 9.4 7th
8th 0.2 1.3 2.8 1.8 0.1 6.2 8th
9th 9th
Total 0.2 1.3 4.5 10.3 16.7 20.8 19.9 14.6 8.1 2.9 0.6 0.1 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2 100.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0
13-3 60.9% 0.4    0.2 0.2 0.0
12-4 19.4% 0.6    0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0
11-5 2.5% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
10-6 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 1.2% 1.2 0.4 0.6 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2 0.1% 10.0% 10.0% 13.0 0.0 0.1
13-3 0.6% 21.8% 21.8% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.5
12-4 2.9% 15.8% 15.8% 15.1 0.0 0.3 0.1 2.4
11-5 8.1% 12.4% 12.4% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 7.1
10-6 14.6% 9.7% 9.7% 15.7 0.0 0.4 1.0 13.2
9-7 19.9% 6.6% 6.6% 15.9 0.2 1.1 18.6
8-8 20.8% 5.2% 5.2% 16.0 0.0 1.1 19.7
7-9 16.7% 4.2% 4.2% 16.0 0.7 16.0
6-10 10.3% 3.2% 3.2% 16.0 0.3 10.0
5-11 4.5% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.1 4.4
4-12 1.3% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.0 1.3
3-13 0.2% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 0.2
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 6.5% 6.5% 0.0% 15.7 0.0 0.1 1.6 4.8 93.5 0.0%