Fordham
Atlantic 10
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.4#226
Expected Predictive Rating+2.9#138
Pace63.7#317
Improvement+0.0#182

Offense
Total Offense-6.4#328
First Shot-9.0#345
After Offensive Rebound+2.7#55
Layup/Dunks-5.3#316
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#197
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#262
Freethrows-0.2#181
Improvement-0.8#295

Defense
Total Defense+2.9#90
First Shot-0.3#176
After Offensive Rebounds+3.3#39
Layups/Dunks+1.1#152
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#211
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#195
Freethrows-0.6#203
Improvement+0.8#60
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.4% 0.3% 0.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.4 11.4 12.7
.500 or above 40.6% 62.8% 32.1%
.500 or above in Conference 15.7% 21.7% 13.4%
Conference Champion 0.3% 0.5% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 23.9% 16.8% 26.7%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.4% 0.3% 0.5%
Second Round0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Nevada (Neutral) - 27.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 41 - 6
Quad 33 - 64 - 12
Quad 410 - 314 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 303   St. Francis Brooklyn W 68-59 77%     1 - 0 -2.3 -7.5 +5.5
  Nov 13, 2019 248   Fairleigh Dickinson W 53-50 66%     2 - 0 -4.6 -20.0 +15.6
  Nov 16, 2019 334   Marist W 58-41 85%     3 - 0 +2.4 -9.5 +14.8
  Nov 22, 2019 111   Nevada L 62-69 28%    
  Dec 01, 2019 349   Maryland Eastern Shore W 55-38 94%    
  Dec 07, 2019 254   Manhattan W 62-58 65%    
  Dec 10, 2019 256   Bryant W 69-64 65%    
  Dec 15, 2019 242   Tennessee St. W 67-63 65%    
  Dec 20, 2019 240   James Madison W 71-67 62%    
  Dec 30, 2019 332   Coppin St. W 74-63 83%    
  Jan 02, 2020 40   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 55-73 5%    
  Jan 05, 2020 203   La Salle W 63-61 57%    
  Jan 11, 2020 144   @ St. Bonaventure L 56-64 24%    
  Jan 15, 2020 97   @ Duquesne L 58-69 16%    
  Jan 19, 2020 70   Davidson L 57-65 21%    
  Jan 22, 2020 258   George Washington W 63-58 64%    
  Jan 26, 2020 116   @ Saint Louis L 57-66 22%    
  Jan 29, 2020 144   St. Bonaventure L 59-61 46%    
  Feb 01, 2020 64   @ Dayton L 56-71 10%    
  Feb 08, 2020 105   Richmond L 64-68 34%    
  Feb 11, 2020 70   @ Davidson L 54-68 11%    
  Feb 16, 2020 97   Duquesne L 61-66 32%    
  Feb 19, 2020 203   @ La Salle L 60-64 35%    
  Feb 22, 2020 167   Massachusetts W 64-63 52%    
  Feb 26, 2020 76   Rhode Island L 60-67 26%    
  Feb 29, 2020 188   @ Saint Joseph's L 70-75 32%    
  Mar 04, 2020 258   @ George Washington L 60-61 44%    
  Mar 07, 2020 142   George Mason L 62-64 44%    
Projected Record 13 - 15 6 - 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 0.8 0.3 0.0 1.6 3rd
4th 0.4 0.6 0.3 0.0 1.4 4th
5th 0.5 1.4 1.0 0.0 0.1 3.0 5th
6th 0.2 1.7 1.7 0.4 4.0 6th
7th 0.2 1.4 2.6 0.7 5.0 7th
8th 0.0 1.8 3.2 1.5 0.1 6.6 8th
9th 0.1 1.5 4.2 3.2 0.4 0.0 9.3 9th
10th 0.1 0.8 4.6 4.7 1.1 11.2 10th
11th 0.0 1.1 4.7 5.5 1.4 0.1 12.9 11th
12th 0.0 0.8 4.3 5.1 2.3 0.1 0.0 12.5 12th
13th 0.3 1.7 4.3 6.4 3.0 0.5 16.2 13th
14th 0.9 2.9 5.3 4.7 1.7 0.3 15.8 14th
Total 0.9 3.3 7.0 9.8 13.6 13.9 14.4 12.4 9.2 6.7 4.3 2.4 1.3 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 0.0%
16-2
15-3 93.8% 0.1    0.1
14-4 44.4% 0.1    0.1 0.1
13-5 10.4% 0.1    0.1 0.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.3% 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2
15-3 0.1% 0.1 0.0
14-4 0.3% 44.4% 44.4% 12.5 0.1 0.1 0.2
13-5 0.6% 0.6
12-6 1.3% 12.1% 12.1% 12.5 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.2
11-7 2.4% 3.1% 3.1% 12.9 0.0 0.1 2.3
10-8 4.3% 0.2% 0.2% 14.0 0.0 4.2
9-9 6.7% 6.7
8-10 9.2% 9.2
7-11 12.4% 0.0% 0.0% 13.0 0.0 12.4
6-12 14.4% 14.4
5-13 13.9% 13.9
4-14 13.6% 13.6
3-15 9.8% 9.8
2-16 7.0% 7.0
1-17 3.3% 3.3
0-18 0.9% 0.9
Total 100% 0.4% 0.4% 0.1% 12.4 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0 99.6 0.1%