NC Central
Mid-Eastern
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-10.2#317
Expected Predictive Rating-11.7#317
Pace69.2#194
Improvement+0.6#103

Offense
Total Offense-8.6#341
First Shot-8.4#341
After Offensive Rebound-0.2#178
Layup/Dunks-2.0#239
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#296
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#251
Freethrows-1.2#239
Improvement+1.3#36

Defense
Total Defense-1.6#216
First Shot-2.0#224
After Offensive Rebounds+0.3#160
Layups/Dunks+0.6#164
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#62
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#273
Freethrows-1.9#274
Improvement-0.7#275
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 12.9% 18.3% 11.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 28.3% 47.9% 24.0%
.500 or above in Conference 76.3% 84.8% 74.4%
Conference Champion 18.1% 25.5% 16.4%
Last Place in Conference 3.5% 1.4% 3.9%
First Four12.4% 16.9% 11.5%
First Round5.8% 9.5% 5.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Southern Illinois (Away) - 17.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 30 - 40 - 7
Quad 412 - 912 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2019 231   @ Stephen F. Austin L 64-94 19%     0 - 1 -30.9 -18.1 -8.3
  Nov 11, 2019 344   South Carolina Upstate W 73-64 74%     1 - 1 -7.8 -15.5 +6.8
  Nov 15, 2019 134   @ Akron L 47-57 8%     1 - 2 -5.0 -21.9 +17.4
  Nov 17, 2019 3   @ Louisville L 58-87 1%     1 - 3 -6.5 +0.6 -10.1
  Nov 19, 2019 248   @ Youngstown St. L 60-66 21%     1 - 4 -7.7 -8.5 +0.0
  Nov 26, 2019 224   @ Southern Illinois L 57-67 18%    
  Dec 02, 2019 125   @ Wofford L 60-76 7%    
  Dec 04, 2019 68   @ Georgia L 61-82 2%    
  Dec 07, 2019 303   @ Charleston Southern L 64-69 34%    
  Dec 14, 2019 168   @ Coastal Carolina L 64-77 12%    
  Dec 17, 2019 87   @ Louisiana Tech L 56-75 4%    
  Jan 04, 2020 339   Florida A&M W 68-62 72%    
  Jan 11, 2020 348   @ Delaware St. W 58-55 61%    
  Jan 13, 2020 349   @ Maryland Eastern Shore W 52-48 62%    
  Jan 18, 2020 335   @ Bethune-Cookman L 69-70 46%    
  Jan 20, 2020 339   @ Florida A&M W 65-64 51%    
  Jan 25, 2020 348   Delaware St. W 61-52 79%    
  Feb 01, 2020 325   South Carolina St. W 71-67 63%    
  Feb 03, 2020 305   Norfolk St. W 68-66 57%    
  Feb 08, 2020 324   @ Coppin St. L 71-74 43%    
  Feb 10, 2020 311   @ Morgan St. L 68-72 38%    
  Feb 15, 2020 327   @ N.C. A&T L 65-67 43%    
  Feb 22, 2020 349   Maryland Eastern Shore W 55-45 81%    
  Feb 24, 2020 347   Howard W 77-69 74%    
  Feb 29, 2020 325   @ South Carolina St. L 68-70 42%    
  Mar 02, 2020 335   Bethune-Cookman W 72-67 67%    
  Mar 05, 2020 327   N.C. A&T W 68-64 62%    
Projected Record 11 - 16 9 - 7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 2.3 4.9 5.1 3.6 1.5 0.3 18.1 1st
2nd 0.2 2.5 6.5 4.6 1.4 0.3 0.0 15.7 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.5 6.7 3.9 0.8 0.1 14.1 3rd
4th 0.0 1.5 6.2 3.8 0.6 0.0 12.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 4.8 4.1 0.7 0.0 10.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 3.1 4.4 0.8 0.0 8.5 6th
7th 0.1 1.6 3.8 1.4 0.1 6.9 7th
8th 0.1 1.0 3.0 1.4 0.1 5.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 1.9 1.6 0.2 4.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 1.2 1.1 0.2 0.0 3.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.0 1.7 11th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 2.4 4.1 6.6 9.1 12.3 13.9 14.0 13.4 10.4 6.6 3.9 1.5 0.3 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.3    0.3
15-1 98.3% 1.5    1.4 0.1
14-2 92.8% 3.6    3.0 0.7 0.0
13-3 78.0% 5.1    3.5 1.5 0.1
12-4 47.1% 4.9    2.1 2.1 0.6 0.1
11-5 17.4% 2.3    0.4 0.9 0.8 0.3 0.0
10-6 1.6% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1
9-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 18.1% 18.1 10.7 5.3 1.6 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.3% 41.1% 41.1% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.2
15-1 1.5% 42.0% 42.0% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.9
14-2 3.9% 36.6% 36.6% 16.0 0.0 1.4 2.5
13-3 6.6% 31.2% 31.2% 16.0 0.0 2.1 4.5
12-4 10.4% 24.2% 24.2% 16.0 2.5 7.9
11-5 13.4% 16.0% 16.0% 16.0 2.1 11.2
10-6 14.0% 11.9% 11.9% 16.0 1.7 12.3
9-7 13.9% 9.2% 9.2% 16.0 1.3 12.7
8-8 12.3% 4.1% 4.1% 16.0 0.5 11.8
7-9 9.1% 2.8% 2.8% 16.0 0.3 8.9
6-10 6.6% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.2 6.5
5-11 4.1% 2.8% 2.8% 16.0 0.1 4.0
4-12 2.4% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 2.4
3-13 0.9% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 0.9
2-14 0.4% 0.4
1-15 0.1% 0.1
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 12.9% 12.9% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.1 12.8 87.1 0.0%