Wofford
Southern
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+3.5#110
Expected Predictive Rating-8.8#279
Pace65.6#291
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+5.6#42
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-2.2#232
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 12.5% 18.4% 11.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.4% 1.3% 0.2%
Average Seed 12.8 12.0 13.1
.500 or above 75.9% 90.7% 73.1%
.500 or above in Conference 84.0% 90.7% 82.8%
Conference Champion 11.9% 17.1% 11.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.4% 0.1% 0.4%
First Four0.3% 0.6% 0.2%
First Round12.4% 18.1% 11.3%
Second Round2.7% 5.1% 2.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.7% 1.5% 0.5%
Elite Eight0.2% 0.5% 0.1%
Final Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Butler (Away) - 15.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 21 - 5
Quad 21 - 32 - 8
Quad 34 - 36 - 11
Quad 412 - 218 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2019 322   High Point W 89-61 94%     1 - 0 +14.4 +18.2 -2.2
  Nov 12, 2019 174   William & Mary L 79-80 76%     1 - 1 -4.9 +9.8 -14.8
  Nov 16, 2019 39   @ Butler L 63-74 15%    
  Nov 18, 2019 44   @ Missouri L 65-75 18%    
  Nov 21, 2019 136   @ South Florida L 69-70 45%    
  Nov 26, 2019 350   @ Maryland Eastern Shore W 62-45 94%    
  Dec 02, 2019 334   NC Central W 85-67 94%    
  Dec 07, 2019 193   Gardner-Webb W 76-68 77%    
  Dec 15, 2019 6   @ North Carolina L 72-90 5%    
  Dec 19, 2019 2   @ Duke L 67-87 4%    
  Dec 22, 2019 332   @ Kennesaw St. W 78-66 86%    
  Jan 01, 2020 70   @ East Tennessee St. L 69-76 27%    
  Jan 04, 2020 89   UNC Greensboro W 72-71 52%    
  Jan 08, 2020 185   @ Samford W 77-75 58%    
  Jan 11, 2020 306   The Citadel W 91-76 91%    
  Jan 15, 2020 245   @ Chattanooga W 73-68 66%    
  Jan 17, 2020 57   Furman L 71-73 42%    
  Jan 22, 2020 327   VMI W 81-64 93%    
  Jan 25, 2020 183   @ Western Carolina W 78-76 56%    
  Jan 29, 2020 306   @ The Citadel W 88-79 79%    
  Feb 01, 2020 185   Samford W 80-72 76%    
  Feb 05, 2020 327   @ VMI W 78-67 83%    
  Feb 08, 2020 245   Chattanooga W 76-65 83%    
  Feb 12, 2020 235   Mercer W 83-73 82%    
  Feb 15, 2020 183   Western Carolina W 81-73 74%    
  Feb 19, 2020 89   @ UNC Greensboro L 69-74 32%    
  Feb 22, 2020 57   @ Furman L 68-76 23%    
  Feb 26, 2020 70   East Tennessee St. L 72-73 47%    
  Feb 29, 2020 235   @ Mercer W 80-76 65%    
Projected Record 17 - 12 11 - 7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.6 2.4 4.1 3.2 1.4 0.2 11.9 1st
2nd 0.5 2.3 5.7 6.2 2.9 0.4 18.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.9 4.0 7.3 5.5 1.5 0.1 19.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 1.4 5.7 7.4 4.0 1.0 0.0 19.9 4th
5th 0.3 2.3 5.1 4.8 1.7 0.2 14.4 5th
6th 0.4 1.8 3.1 2.5 0.7 0.1 8.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.1 2.0 1.2 0.2 0.0 4.8 7th
8th 0.2 0.7 0.9 0.5 0.0 2.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.8 9th
10th 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 10th
Total 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.2 2.5 4.6 6.9 9.2 12.2 13.6 13.9 12.9 10.1 7.1 3.7 1.4 0.2 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
17-1 100.0% 1.4    1.3 0.1
16-2 88.0% 3.2    2.4 0.8 0.0
15-3 57.5% 4.1    2.1 1.7 0.2
14-4 23.9% 2.4    0.8 1.1 0.5 0.0
13-5 4.6% 0.6    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1
12-6 0.4% 0.1    0.1
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 11.9% 11.9 7.0 3.9 1.0 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.2% 85.9% 71.7% 14.1% 9.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 50.0%
17-1 1.4% 56.5% 50.3% 6.2% 11.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.6 12.4%
16-2 3.7% 47.4% 43.6% 3.8% 11.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.9 0.3 0.0 1.9 6.8%
15-3 7.1% 29.2% 28.0% 1.2% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.0 5.0 1.7%
14-4 10.1% 22.2% 22.0% 0.2% 12.8 0.1 0.7 1.0 0.4 0.0 7.9 0.2%
13-5 12.9% 17.4% 17.4% 13.2 0.0 0.5 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.0 10.6
12-6 13.9% 10.7% 10.7% 13.6 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.3 12.4
11-7 13.6% 7.4% 7.4% 14.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.0 12.6
10-8 12.2% 3.2% 3.2% 14.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 11.8
9-9 9.2% 3.1% 3.1% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 8.9
8-10 6.9% 0.6% 0.6% 15.3 0.0 0.0 6.8
7-11 4.6% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 4.5
6-12 2.5% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 2.5
5-13 1.2% 1.2
4-14 0.6% 0.6
3-15 0.2% 0.2
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 12.5% 12.2% 0.4% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 1.1 3.6 3.7 2.3 1.1 0.3 87.5 0.4%