Wofford
Southern
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+1.9#136
Expected Predictive Rating+2.8#126
Pace63.6#315
Improvement+0.7#142

Offense
Total Offense+2.0#119
First Shot+3.7#67
After Offensive Rebound-1.7#294
Layup/Dunks-1.7#231
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#173
3 Pt Jumpshots+7.7#9
Freethrows-2.1#315
Improvement-6.1#351

Defense
Total Defense-0.1#164
First Shot-1.1#196
After Offensive Rebounds+1.0#97
Layups/Dunks+0.0#174
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#212
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#247
Freethrows+0.5#146
Improvement+6.8#1
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.7% 7.1% 5.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.3 13.2 13.6
.500 or above 94.1% 97.0% 84.9%
.500 or above in Conference 93.6% 96.7% 83.8%
Conference Champion 2.7% 3.4% 0.6%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round6.7% 7.1% 5.4%
Second Round0.8% 0.8% 0.8%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: The Citadel (Away) - 76.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b1 - 21 - 4
Quad 22 - 43 - 8
Quad 33 - 46 - 11
Quad 412 - 218 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2019 342   High Point W 89-61 95%     1 - 0 +11.6 +11.8 +1.5
  Nov 12, 2019 174   William & Mary L 79-80 70%     1 - 1 -4.5 +10.2 -14.8
  Nov 16, 2019 21   @ Butler L 61-80 10%     1 - 2 -2.9 -0.4 -3.3
  Nov 18, 2019 79   @ Missouri L 56-75 23%     1 - 3 -9.3 -3.8 -7.9
  Nov 21, 2019 117   @ South Florida L 55-69 34%     1 - 4 -7.9 -3.9 -6.0
  Nov 26, 2019 351   @ Maryland Eastern Shore W 67-42 95%     2 - 4 +8.4 +2.2 +8.7
  Dec 02, 2019 298   NC Central W 77-59 88%     3 - 4 +7.3 +3.8 +4.1
  Dec 07, 2019 248   Gardner-Webb W 81-77 82%     4 - 4 -3.9 +3.1 -7.0
  Dec 15, 2019 57   @ North Carolina W 68-64 17%     5 - 4 +16.1 +5.6 +10.7
  Dec 19, 2019 2   @ Duke L 57-86 3%     5 - 5 -5.6 +5.1 -15.6
  Dec 22, 2019 346   @ Kennesaw St. W 83-70 92%     6 - 5 -0.4 +8.9 -8.9
  Jan 01, 2020 64   @ East Tennessee St. L 48-49 20%     6 - 6 0 - 1 +9.9 -9.8 +19.5
  Jan 04, 2020 84   UNC Greensboro W 98-92 2OT 43%     7 - 6 1 - 1 +9.6 +11.5 -2.9
  Jan 08, 2020 287   @ Samford W 67-62 71%     8 - 6 2 - 1 +1.0 -5.6 +6.9
  Jan 11, 2020 309   The Citadel W 73-71 89%     9 - 6 3 - 1 -9.6 -12.0 +2.3
  Jan 15, 2020 156   @ Chattanooga L 59-72 45%     9 - 7 3 - 2 -9.8 -5.1 -6.4
  Jan 17, 2020 80   Furman W 66-52 42%     10 - 7 4 - 2 +17.9 -0.6 +19.5
  Jan 22, 2020 297   VMI W 66-54 87%     11 - 7 5 - 2 +1.4 -12.6 +14.3
  Jan 25, 2020 158   @ Western Carolina L 72-81 45%     11 - 8 5 - 3 -5.9 -7.5 +2.1
  Jan 29, 2020 309   @ The Citadel W 79-71 76%    
  Feb 01, 2020 287   Samford W 78-66 87%    
  Feb 05, 2020 297   @ VMI W 73-66 73%    
  Feb 08, 2020 156   Chattanooga W 70-65 66%    
  Feb 12, 2020 221   Mercer W 72-64 79%    
  Feb 15, 2020 158   Western Carolina W 78-73 66%    
  Feb 19, 2020 84   @ UNC Greensboro L 60-68 24%    
  Feb 22, 2020 80   @ Furman L 64-72 23%    
  Feb 26, 2020 64   East Tennessee St. L 64-67 39%    
  Feb 29, 2020 221   @ Mercer W 70-67 59%    
Projected Record 17 - 12 11 - 7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.7 1.7 0.3 2.7 1st
2nd 0.1 2.2 5.6 2.0 0.1 9.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 5.0 11.7 5.1 0.1 22.3 3rd
4th 0.0 1.2 8.4 16.4 7.0 0.3 33.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 5.3 9.5 3.6 0.1 19.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 2.4 4.4 1.9 0.1 9.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 1.1 1.4 0.5 0.0 3.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.1 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 0.0 0.2 1.6 4.6 11.5 20.2 25.2 21.0 11.7 3.8 0.3 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 82.1% 0.3    0.2 0.1
14-4 45.5% 1.7    0.4 1.0 0.3 0.0
13-5 5.7% 0.7    0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 0.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.7% 2.7 0.6 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.3% 16.7% 16.7% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.3
14-4 3.8% 17.2% 17.2% 12.4 0.0 0.4 0.2 0.0 3.2
13-5 11.7% 12.8% 12.8% 12.8 0.5 0.8 0.2 0.0 10.2
12-6 21.0% 9.1% 9.1% 13.2 0.3 1.0 0.6 0.0 19.0
11-7 25.2% 5.7% 5.7% 13.6 0.1 0.5 0.8 0.1 23.8
10-8 20.2% 3.5% 3.5% 13.9 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.1 19.5
9-9 11.5% 3.0% 3.0% 14.5 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0 11.1
8-10 4.6% 1.8% 1.8% 15.4 0.0 0.0 4.5
7-11 1.6% 2.4% 2.4% 15.0 0.0 1.5
6-12 0.2% 0.2
5-13 0.0% 0.0
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 6.7% 6.7% 0.0% 13.3 0.0 1.3 2.7 2.1 0.5 0.1 93.3 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1% 100.0% 11.8 25.0 75.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.0%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.2%