Northern Iowa
Missouri Valley
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+8.3#59
Expected Predictive Rating+9.6#51
Pace63.9#301
Improvement-2.1#262

Offense
Total Offense+6.5#34
First Shot+5.0#44
After Offensive Rebound+1.5#72
Layup/Dunks-0.6#198
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#129
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.4#26
Freethrows-0.4#216
Improvement+0.0#175

Defense
Total Defense+1.9#119
First Shot-0.1#173
After Offensive Rebounds+2.0#23
Layups/Dunks+0.8#138
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#278
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#244
Freethrows+1.8#63
Improvement-2.2#283
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 18.9% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 18.9% n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.5 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four17.9% n/a n/a
First Round8.9% n/a n/a
Second Round3.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.9% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.2% n/a n/a
Final Four0.1% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 11 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 01 - 1
Quad 23 - 24 - 3
Quad 310 - 314 - 6
Quad 49 - 023 - 6


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 168   Old Dominion W 58-53 85%     1 - 0 +2.2 -12.0 +14.3
  Nov 09, 2019 175   @ Northern Illinois W 64-54 71%     2 - 0 +12.6 +1.3 +12.5
  Nov 13, 2019 263   Cal St. Bakersfield W 67-55 94%     3 - 0 +3.1 +0.6 +4.1
  Nov 16, 2019 99   Northern Colorado W 77-72 OT 73%     4 - 0 +7.1 -4.5 +11.0
  Nov 19, 2019 333   Tennessee Martin W 87-67 97%     5 - 0 +5.2 +12.5 -4.2
  Nov 26, 2019 14   West Virginia L 55-60 28%     5 - 1 +9.4 -6.2 +15.5
  Nov 27, 2019 64   South Carolina W 78-72 51%     6 - 1 +14.1 +12.1 +2.1
  Dec 10, 2019 38   @ Colorado W 79-76 29%     7 - 1 +16.9 +18.2 -1.1
  Dec 12, 2019 250   @ Grand Canyon W 82-58 84%     8 - 1 +21.7 +9.7 +13.6
  Dec 22, 2019 142   Marshall W 88-80 82%     9 - 1 +6.6 +7.6 -1.7
  Dec 31, 2019 217   @ Illinois St. L 70-76 78%     9 - 2 0 - 1 -5.9 +1.7 -7.8
  Jan 04, 2020 109   Bradley W 69-64 75%     10 - 2 1 - 1 +6.3 -0.8 +7.3
  Jan 07, 2020 128   Indiana St. W 68-60 79%     11 - 2 2 - 1 +7.7 +5.5 +3.6
  Jan 11, 2020 119   @ Missouri St. W 80-57 57%     12 - 2 3 - 1 +29.4 +17.0 +14.4
  Jan 15, 2020 146   Valparaiso W 88-78 83%     13 - 2 4 - 1 +8.4 +15.0 -6.4
  Jan 18, 2020 109   @ Bradley W 86-71 54%     14 - 2 5 - 1 +22.3 +17.1 +5.4
  Jan 22, 2020 173   @ Southern Illinois L 66-68 71%     14 - 3 5 - 2 +0.7 +1.4 -0.9
  Jan 26, 2020 106   Loyola Chicago W 67-62 OT 75%     15 - 3 6 - 2 +6.5 -6.7 +12.9
  Jan 29, 2020 119   Missouri St. W 95-66 78%     16 - 3 7 - 2 +29.4 +23.0 +6.6
  Feb 01, 2020 279   @ Evansville W 80-68 87%     17 - 3 8 - 2 +8.4 +8.3 +0.5
  Feb 05, 2020 146   @ Valparaiso W 63-51 65%     18 - 3 9 - 2 +16.4 -7.1 +23.7
  Feb 08, 2020 166   Drake W 83-73 85%     19 - 3 10 - 2 +7.4 +17.1 -8.7
  Feb 12, 2020 217   Illinois St. W 71-63 90%     20 - 3 11 - 2 +2.1 +6.6 -3.4
  Feb 15, 2020 106   @ Loyola Chicago L 73-82 OT 53%     20 - 4 11 - 3 -1.5 +3.1 -4.3
  Feb 20, 2020 128   @ Indiana St. L 64-67 60%     20 - 5 11 - 4 +2.8 +1.9 +0.4
  Feb 23, 2020 173   Southern Illinois W 64-52 86%     21 - 5 12 - 4 +8.7 +0.1 +10.0
  Feb 26, 2020 279   Evansville W 84-64 94%     22 - 5 13 - 4 +10.4 +16.6 -3.9
  Feb 29, 2020 166   @ Drake W 70-43 68%     23 - 5 14 - 4 +30.4 +7.4 +26.2
  Mar 06, 2020 166   Drake L 56-77 78%     23 - 6 -20.6 -11.8 -10.6
Projected Record 23 - 6 14 - 4




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 100.0    100.0
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 18.9% 18.9% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.4 9.3 9.2 0.0 81.1 18.9%
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 18.9% 0.0% 18.9% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.4 9.3 9.2 0.0 81.1 18.9%