Portland St.
Big Sky
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.9#273
Expected Predictive Rating-9.0#289
Pace71.5#128
Improvement-0.6#255

Offense
Total Offense+0.1#172
First Shot-5.4#309
After Offensive Rebound+5.5#9
Layup/Dunks-2.0#240
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#208
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.2#292
Freethrows+1.5#93
Improvement-0.4#232

Defense
Total Defense-6.0#327
First Shot-2.3#242
After Offensive Rebounds-3.7#331
Layups/Dunks-2.8#263
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#65
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#175
Freethrows-1.8#270
Improvement-0.2#221
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.4% 6.8% 3.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.5 15.4 15.7
.500 or above 28.0% 36.6% 17.2%
.500 or above in Conference 47.7% 54.4% 39.2%
Conference Champion 5.7% 7.1% 4.0%
Last Place in Conference 8.9% 6.3% 12.1%
First Four2.1% 2.2% 1.9%
First Round4.4% 5.6% 2.9%
Second Round0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Portland (Home) - 55.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 32 - 72 - 11
Quad 411 - 813 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2019 41   @ Indiana L 74-85 4%     0 - 1 +3.1 +8.6 -5.7
  Nov 15, 2019 206   @ Hawaii L 75-83 26%     0 - 2 -7.3 -3.2 -3.5
  Nov 20, 2019 246   Portland W 74-72 56%    
  Nov 23, 2019 323   @ San Jose St. W 77-75 56%    
  Nov 26, 2019 249   Grambling St. L 76-77 46%    
  Nov 27, 2019 171   @ UC Santa Barbara L 70-78 22%    
  Dec 01, 2019 66   @ Oregon St. L 67-84 6%    
  Dec 06, 2019 294   Cal St. Northridge W 84-80 66%    
  Dec 17, 2019 116   @ Pepperdine L 75-87 15%    
  Dec 19, 2019 175   @ Loyola Marymount L 65-73 23%    
  Dec 28, 2019 183   Northern Colorado L 71-73 43%    
  Dec 30, 2019 191   Southern Utah L 75-76 45%    
  Jan 02, 2020 334   @ Idaho W 73-70 61%    
  Jan 04, 2020 201   @ Eastern Washington L 76-83 27%    
  Jan 11, 2020 211   @ Montana St. L 72-78 28%    
  Jan 13, 2020 202   @ Montana L 70-77 29%    
  Jan 18, 2020 308   Idaho St. W 77-71 70%    
  Jan 20, 2020 276   Weber St. W 79-76 61%    
  Jan 23, 2020 268   @ Sacramento St. L 72-75 39%    
  Jan 25, 2020 291   @ Northern Arizona L 76-78 45%    
  Jan 30, 2020 202   Montana L 73-74 48%    
  Feb 08, 2020 191   @ Southern Utah L 72-79 27%    
  Feb 10, 2020 183   @ Northern Colorado L 68-76 25%    
  Feb 15, 2020 201   Eastern Washington L 79-80 47%    
  Feb 17, 2020 334   Idaho W 76-67 78%    
  Feb 20, 2020 211   Montana St. L 74-75 49%    
  Feb 27, 2020 308   @ Idaho St. W 75-74 51%    
  Feb 29, 2020 276   @ Weber St. L 76-79 40%    
  Mar 05, 2020 291   Northern Arizona W 79-75 63%    
  Mar 07, 2020 268   Sacramento St. W 75-72 59%    
Projected Record 12 - 18 9 - 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big Sky Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.4 1.7 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.0 5.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.5 2.2 2.5 1.5 0.5 0.1 0.0 7.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.8 2.6 3.3 1.2 0.3 0.0 8.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.9 3.5 3.6 1.2 0.2 0.0 9.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 0.8 3.2 4.0 1.5 0.2 0.0 9.9 5th
6th 0.1 1.0 3.9 4.3 1.7 0.1 11.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 1.0 3.9 4.5 1.7 0.1 11.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.4 4.1 4.3 1.4 0.1 11.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 1.8 4.1 3.7 1.3 0.1 0.0 11.5 9th
10th 0.1 0.7 2.2 2.8 2.2 0.6 0.1 8.7 10th
11th 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.4 1.6 0.9 0.3 0.0 5.5 11th
Total 0.1 0.3 1.0 2.1 4.1 5.8 8.1 9.5 10.7 10.8 10.3 10.1 8.3 7.1 4.8 3.2 2.3 1.0 0.4 0.2 0.0 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2
18-2 99.1% 0.4    0.4 0.0
17-3 91.5% 0.9    0.8 0.1
16-4 77.5% 1.7    1.1 0.6 0.0
15-5 43.0% 1.4    0.7 0.6 0.1
14-6 18.8% 0.9    0.2 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-7 3.3% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-8 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 5.7% 5.7 3.3 1.9 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0
19-1 0.2% 53.7% 53.7% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
18-2 0.4% 20.5% 20.5% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
17-3 1.0% 24.9% 24.9% 14.2 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.7
16-4 2.3% 22.0% 22.0% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 1.8
15-5 3.2% 20.0% 20.0% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.2 2.6
14-6 4.8% 17.7% 17.7% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.4 3.9
13-7 7.1% 11.8% 11.8% 15.7 0.0 0.2 0.6 6.2
12-8 8.3% 10.2% 10.2% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.7 7.5
11-9 10.1% 6.9% 6.9% 16.0 0.0 0.7 9.4
10-10 10.3% 3.1% 3.1% 16.0 0.0 0.3 10.0
9-11 10.8% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.0 0.2 10.6
8-12 10.7% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 10.6
7-13 9.5% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 9.4
6-14 8.1% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 8.0
5-15 5.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 5.8
4-16 4.1% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 4.1
3-17 2.1% 2.1
2-18 1.0% 1.0
1-19 0.3% 0.3
0-20 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 5.4% 5.4% 0.0% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.5 3.4 94.6 0.0%