Purdue Fort Wayne
Summit League
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.5#245
Expected Predictive Rating-12.5#316
Pace77.8#31
Improvement+1.1#39

Offense
Total Offense+0.3#165
First Shot+1.9#117
After Offensive Rebound-1.5#252
Layup/Dunks+2.0#104
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#286
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#119
Freethrows+0.3#154
Improvement+0.0#166

Defense
Total Defense-4.9#304
First Shot-3.1#260
After Offensive Rebounds-1.7#272
Layups/Dunks-6.1#325
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#59
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.3#76
Freethrows-2.8#297
Improvement+1.1#38
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.8% 12.3% 5.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.6 15.5 15.7
.500 or above 19.6% 38.4% 15.8%
.500 or above in Conference 50.2% 59.6% 48.3%
Conference Champion 6.8% 9.8% 6.2%
Last Place in Conference 11.1% 6.1% 12.2%
First Four2.8% 3.2% 2.8%
First Round5.5% 11.5% 4.3%
Second Round0.1% 0.4% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.4% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Kent St. (Away) - 16.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 32 - 73 - 11
Quad 49 - 612 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 146   @ UNLV L 71-86 21%     0 - 1 -10.9 -2.1 -8.5
  Nov 10, 2019 295   @ Southeast Missouri St. L 78-79 51%     0 - 2 -5.8 -2.9 -2.9
  Nov 13, 2019 159   Miami (OH) L 80-84 45%     0 - 3 -7.1 -0.5 -6.3
  Nov 16, 2019 338   Stetson W 79-55 84%     1 - 3 +8.7 +3.0 +7.6
  Nov 19, 2019 110   @ Kent St. L 73-84 17%    
  Nov 22, 2019 10   @ Ohio St. L 61-86 1%    
  Nov 27, 2019 325   Niagara W 86-77 80%    
  Nov 30, 2019 170   @ Grand Canyon L 75-82 26%    
  Dec 04, 2019 190   Eastern Illinois W 79-78 51%    
  Dec 07, 2019 201   @ Illinois-Chicago L 72-77 31%    
  Dec 14, 2019 252   @ IUPUI L 78-81 39%    
  Dec 22, 2019 44   @ Iowa St. L 72-90 5%    
  Jan 01, 2020 148   South Dakota L 78-80 43%    
  Jan 05, 2020 277   @ North Dakota L 79-80 46%    
  Jan 08, 2020 313   @ Western Illinois W 81-79 58%    
  Jan 11, 2020 223   South Dakota St. W 83-81 56%    
  Jan 18, 2020 180   Oral Roberts L 86-87 48%    
  Jan 23, 2020 148   @ South Dakota L 75-83 24%    
  Jan 25, 2020 195   @ Nebraska Omaha L 76-82 32%    
  Jan 30, 2020 277   North Dakota W 82-77 65%    
  Feb 01, 2020 163   North Dakota St. L 74-75 46%    
  Feb 05, 2020 313   Western Illinois W 84-76 76%    
  Feb 08, 2020 292   @ Denver W 78-77 50%    
  Feb 14, 2020 163   @ North Dakota St. L 71-78 25%    
  Feb 16, 2020 223   @ South Dakota St. L 80-84 34%    
  Feb 20, 2020 195   Nebraska Omaha W 80-79 52%    
  Feb 26, 2020 292   Denver W 81-75 69%    
  Feb 29, 2020 180   @ Oral Roberts L 83-89 30%    
Projected Record 11 - 17 8 - 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Summit League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.4 1.6 1.8 2.0 0.6 0.3 0.1 6.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.9 2.3 4.1 1.7 0.4 0.0 9.4 2nd
3rd 1.0 3.6 4.1 1.9 0.1 0.1 10.8 3rd
4th 1.0 5.5 6.2 1.8 0.1 14.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.8 5.5 6.5 1.5 0.1 14.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 4.8 6.1 1.2 0.1 12.7 6th
7th 0.0 1.0 5.3 4.7 2.0 0.0 13.1 7th
8th 0.4 1.5 4.2 3.2 1.0 0.1 10.5 8th
9th 0.1 0.7 1.5 2.7 1.9 0.6 7.5 9th
Total 0.1 0.7 1.9 4.3 7.1 9.7 11.3 14.7 14.4 12.2 8.7 7.8 3.7 2.4 0.6 0.3 0.1 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
15-1 100.0% 0.3    0.3
14-2 99.2% 0.6    0.6 0.0
13-3 80.9% 2.0    1.6 0.4
12-4 49.4% 1.8    0.9 0.8 0.1
11-5 21.0% 1.6    0.5 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.0
10-6 4.5% 0.4    0.1 0.1 0.2
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 6.8% 6.8 4.0 1.8 0.6 0.4 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.1% 0.1 0.0
15-1 0.3% 26.4% 26.4% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.2
14-2 0.6% 36.7% 36.7% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4
13-3 2.4% 35.2% 35.2% 14.8 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.2 1.6
12-4 3.7% 19.2% 19.2% 15.3 0.1 0.4 0.3 3.0
11-5 7.8% 14.6% 14.6% 15.7 0.1 0.2 0.9 6.7
10-6 8.7% 12.3% 12.3% 15.9 0.1 1.0 7.6
9-7 12.2% 4.9% 4.9% 16.0 0.0 0.6 11.6
8-8 14.4% 5.5% 5.5% 16.0 0.8 13.6
7-9 14.7% 4.6% 4.6% 16.0 0.7 14.1
6-10 11.3% 3.0% 3.0% 16.0 0.3 11.0
5-11 9.7% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.2 9.5
4-12 7.1% 7.1
3-13 4.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 4.3
2-14 1.9% 1.9
1-15 0.7% 0.7
0-16 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 6.8% 6.8% 0.0% 15.6 0.1 0.0 0.4 1.4 4.9 93.2 0.0%