Niagara
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-7.7#293
Expected Predictive Rating-5.1#247
Pace66.7#254
Improvement+2.6#71

Offense
Total Offense+0.1#176
First Shot+3.8#66
After Offensive Rebound-3.7#346
Layup/Dunks+1.6#104
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#128
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.4#61
Freethrows-1.9#309
Improvement+2.5#51

Defense
Total Defense-7.8#342
First Shot-5.6#329
After Offensive Rebounds-2.2#334
Layups/Dunks-2.0#258
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#83
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.0#337
Freethrows+0.0#184
Improvement+0.0#174
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.0% 4.3% 2.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 3.4% 7.9% 1.7%
.500 or above in Conference 45.2% 66.6% 37.0%
Conference Champion 4.3% 8.5% 2.6%
Last Place in Conference 10.9% 4.1% 13.4%
First Four2.3% 2.8% 2.1%
First Round1.7% 2.8% 1.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: St. Peter's (Away) - 27.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 32 - 82 - 12
Quad 410 - 912 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2019 221   @ Drexel L 64-72 25%     0 - 1 -8.6 -9.0 +0.4
  Nov 10, 2019 32   @ Rutgers L 39-86 3%     0 - 2 -31.9 -20.1 -16.1
  Nov 13, 2019 138   @ Stephen F. Austin L 80-89 13%     0 - 3 -4.5 +4.5 -8.2
  Nov 18, 2019 235   Bryant L 62-73 48%     0 - 4 -18.3 -16.6 -1.2
  Nov 27, 2019 271   @ Purdue Fort Wayne L 54-77 33%     0 - 5 -26.2 -18.8 -7.9
  Dec 01, 2019 283   @ Norfolk St. W 65-61 36%     1 - 5 +0.0 -4.0 +4.2
  Dec 08, 2019 124   Colgate W 93-82 OT 24%     2 - 5 +10.8 +7.0 +2.5
  Dec 14, 2019 205   @ Albany L 80-84 23%     2 - 6 -4.0 +11.5 -15.6
  Dec 18, 2019 119   @ St. Bonaventure L 70-87 10%     2 - 7 -10.8 +3.1 -14.3
  Dec 21, 2019 136   @ Buffalo L 72-92 12%     2 - 8 -15.2 -0.8 -14.0
  Dec 28, 2019 50   @ Syracuse L 57-71 4%     2 - 9 -1.0 -8.5 +6.8
  Jan 03, 2020 264   Fairfield W 75-66 54%     3 - 9 1 - 0 +0.4 +9.0 -7.6
  Jan 05, 2020 247   Manhattan L 62-67 50%     3 - 10 1 - 1 -12.6 -2.9 -10.4
  Jan 10, 2020 225   @ Quinnipiac L 56-67 25%     3 - 11 1 - 2 -11.8 -18.2 +6.3
  Jan 12, 2020 255   @ Iona W 70-69 30%     4 - 11 2 - 2 -1.4 -3.5 +2.2
  Jan 17, 2020 191   Rider W 70-68 40%     5 - 11 3 - 2 -3.1 +2.3 -5.1
  Jan 19, 2020 229   Siena W 72-71 47%     6 - 11 4 - 2 -5.9 +9.0 -14.6
  Jan 24, 2020 201   @ Monmouth L 71-82 22%     6 - 12 4 - 3 -10.7 -3.2 -6.9
  Jan 26, 2020 236   @ St. Peter's L 64-70 28%    
  Jan 31, 2020 336   Marist W 69-62 74%    
  Feb 02, 2020 225   Quinnipiac L 73-74 47%    
  Feb 07, 2020 247   @ Manhattan L 63-69 29%    
  Feb 09, 2020 191   @ Rider L 73-81 22%    
  Feb 12, 2020 227   Canisius L 73-74 47%    
  Feb 16, 2020 201   Monmouth L 72-74 42%    
  Feb 21, 2020 264   @ Fairfield L 63-68 33%    
  Feb 23, 2020 336   @ Marist W 66-65 53%    
  Feb 27, 2020 236   St. Peter's L 66-67 49%    
  Feb 29, 2020 255   Iona W 75-74 53%    
  Mar 04, 2020 229   @ Siena L 70-77 27%    
  Mar 06, 2020 227   @ Canisius L 70-77 26%    
Projected Record 11 - 20 9 - 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.9 1.8 1.1 0.3 0.1 4.3 1st
2nd 0.7 3.3 1.7 0.4 0.0 6.1 2nd
3rd 0.2 3.9 3.3 0.4 0.0 0.0 8.0 3rd
4th 0.0 2.2 5.3 0.6 0.0 8.2 4th
5th 0.7 7.5 2.5 0.1 10.7 5th
6th 0.1 4.1 6.5 0.3 10.9 6th
7th 0.1 1.7 8.3 1.8 0.0 11.9 7th
8th 0.8 6.3 4.7 0.1 11.9 8th
9th 0.5 4.1 6.8 1.1 0.0 12.5 9th
10th 0.4 2.8 5.6 2.0 0.0 10.8 10th
11th 0.2 1.3 2.2 1.0 0.1 4.8 11th
Total 0.2 1.7 5.5 11.5 17.0 18.9 18.4 12.7 8.3 4.0 1.5 0.4 0.1 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 100.0% 0.1    0.1
15-5 94.4% 0.3    0.3 0.1
14-6 75.8% 1.1    0.6 0.5 0.1
13-7 44.6% 1.8    0.5 0.7 0.5 0.1
12-8 10.8% 0.9    0.0 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
11-9 0.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-10 0.0%
Total 4.3% 4.3 1.5 1.4 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 0.1% 0.0 0.1
15-5 0.4% 19.4% 19.4% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.3
14-6 1.5% 13.4% 13.4% 15.7 0.1 0.1 1.3
13-7 4.0% 7.6% 7.6% 15.9 0.0 0.3 3.7
12-8 8.3% 8.2% 8.2% 16.0 0.0 0.7 7.6
11-9 12.7% 4.9% 4.9% 16.0 0.6 12.1
10-10 18.4% 2.9% 2.9% 16.0 0.5 17.8
9-11 18.9% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.3 18.7
8-12 17.0% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 16.9
7-13 11.5% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 11.4
6-14 5.5% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 5.5
5-15 1.7% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.0 1.6
4-16 0.2% 0.2
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 3.0% 3.0% 0.0% 15.9 0.2 2.8 97.0 0.0%