UNLV
Mountain West
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+1.5#138
Expected Predictive Rating-3.6#238
Pace67.1#260
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+1.7#125
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-0.2#161
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.9% 4.7% 2.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.5% 1.2% 0.2%
Average Seed 12.3 11.8 12.6
.500 or above 48.2% 68.7% 41.6%
.500 or above in Conference 46.1% 57.2% 42.6%
Conference Champion 1.7% 3.1% 1.2%
Last Place in Conference 2.3% 1.3% 2.6%
First Four0.3% 0.6% 0.2%
First Round2.7% 4.4% 2.2%
Second Round0.5% 1.1% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UCLA (Away) - 24.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 31 - 5
Quad 22 - 62 - 10
Quad 34 - 57 - 15
Quad 49 - 216 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 265   Purdue Fort Wayne W 86-71 82%     1 - 0 +6.6 +4.3 +2.0
  Nov 09, 2019 51   Kansas St. L 56-60 OT 31%     1 - 1 +2.8 -8.6 +11.4
  Nov 12, 2019 135   @ California L 75-79 OT 38%     1 - 2 +0.7 +3.8 -3.1
  Nov 15, 2019 88   @ UCLA L 69-76 24%    
  Nov 18, 2019 283   Abilene Christian W 73-62 85%    
  Nov 20, 2019 147   Texas St. W 68-65 63%    
  Nov 23, 2019 97   SMU L 68-69 48%    
  Nov 26, 2019 316   Jackson St. W 77-62 91%    
  Nov 30, 2019 24   @ Cincinnati L 61-75 9%    
  Dec 04, 2019 122   @ Fresno St. L 68-72 36%    
  Dec 07, 2019 75   BYU L 73-78 32%    
  Dec 18, 2019 241   Pacific W 71-62 79%    
  Dec 21, 2019 291   Robert Morris W 73-61 85%    
  Dec 28, 2019 221   Eastern Michigan W 68-60 76%    
  Jan 01, 2020 23   Utah St. L 67-75 23%    
  Jan 04, 2020 179   Air Force W 74-68 69%    
  Jan 08, 2020 105   @ Boise St. L 69-74 30%    
  Jan 11, 2020 290   @ Wyoming W 63-57 70%    
  Jan 15, 2020 324   San Jose St. W 79-64 91%    
  Jan 18, 2020 82   New Mexico L 78-80 43%    
  Jan 22, 2020 104   @ Nevada L 72-77 31%    
  Jan 26, 2020 49   San Diego St. L 66-71 32%    
  Feb 01, 2020 171   @ Colorado St. L 70-71 48%    
  Feb 05, 2020 23   @ Utah St. L 64-78 10%    
  Feb 08, 2020 122   Fresno St. W 71-69 56%    
  Feb 12, 2020 104   Nevada W 75-74 51%    
  Feb 15, 2020 82   @ New Mexico L 75-83 26%    
  Feb 18, 2020 171   Colorado St. W 73-68 67%    
  Feb 22, 2020 49   @ San Diego St. L 63-74 16%    
  Feb 26, 2020 105   Boise St. W 72-71 51%    
  Feb 29, 2020 324   @ San Jose St. W 76-67 78%    
Projected Record 15 - 16 8 - 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Mountain West Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.1 1.7 1st
2nd 0.2 0.9 1.6 1.2 0.4 0.1 4.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 1.7 2.9 1.5 0.2 6.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 3.0 4.5 1.9 0.2 10.1 4th
5th 0.1 1.0 4.2 5.4 2.1 0.2 13.0 5th
6th 0.1 1.2 4.7 6.5 2.2 0.2 0.0 14.9 6th
7th 0.2 1.9 5.4 6.0 2.2 0.1 15.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 2.7 5.4 5.1 1.9 0.2 15.8 8th
9th 0.1 0.8 2.7 4.6 3.3 1.1 0.1 12.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.5 1.3 1.5 0.7 0.2 4.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.0 11th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.9 2.4 4.8 8.3 10.7 12.9 13.7 13.7 11.1 8.7 5.9 3.4 2.1 0.8 0.3 0.1 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 82.8% 0.3    0.2 0.1
15-3 57.9% 0.5    0.3 0.2 0.0
14-4 31.3% 0.6    0.2 0.4 0.1 0.0
13-5 3.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0
12-6 0.2% 0.0    0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.7% 1.7 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.1% 65.6% 21.9% 43.8% 9.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 56.0%
16-2 0.3% 43.6% 22.1% 21.5% 10.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 27.6%
15-3 0.8% 23.6% 8.4% 15.1% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.6 16.5%
14-4 2.1% 22.5% 16.4% 6.1% 11.5 0.3 0.2 0.0 1.6 7.3%
13-5 3.4% 13.7% 11.7% 2.1% 12.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.9 2.3%
12-6 5.9% 6.9% 6.9% 12.3 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 5.5
11-7 8.7% 4.4% 4.4% 12.7 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 8.3
10-8 11.1% 2.4% 2.4% 13.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 10.9
9-9 13.7% 1.5% 1.5% 13.7 0.1 0.1 0.0 13.5
8-10 13.7% 0.9% 0.9% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 13.5
7-11 12.9% 0.5% 0.5% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.8
6-12 10.7% 0.3% 0.3% 14.0 0.0 10.7
5-13 8.3% 0.3% 0.3% 15.0 0.0 0.0 8.3
4-14 4.8% 4.8
3-15 2.4% 2.4
2-16 0.9% 0.9
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 2.9% 2.4% 0.4% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.9 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.0 97.1 0.5%