SIU Edwardsville
Ohio Valley
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-11.7#338
Expected Predictive Rating-16.7#344
Pace71.0#128
Improvement+3.1#59

Offense
Total Offense-5.1#309
First Shot-1.7#232
After Offensive Rebound-3.4#343
Layup/Dunks-1.5#232
2 Pt Jumpshots+5.8#12
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.6#317
Freethrows-1.3#277
Improvement+2.5#62

Defense
Total Defense-6.6#334
First Shot-5.3#327
After Offensive Rebounds-1.3#286
Layups/Dunks-0.2#188
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#115
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#279
Freethrows-3.9#339
Improvement+0.6#149
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 n/a
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.6% 3.3% 0.4%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 37.3% 13.7% 39.1%
First Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Austin Peay (Away) - 7.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 21 - 21 - 3
Quad 30 - 81 - 11
Quad 44 - 136 - 24


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2019 15   @ Iowa L 60-87 1%     0 - 1 -9.9 -10.9 +2.1
  Nov 12, 2019 160   Valparaiso L 76-89 20%     0 - 2 -15.7 -3.3 -11.6
  Nov 16, 2019 347   @ Incarnate Word W 57-55 61%     1 - 2 -12.5 -19.8 +7.4
  Nov 18, 2019 173   @ South Dakota L 56-71 10%     1 - 3 -12.7 -18.4 +5.3
  Nov 23, 2019 172   Northern Illinois L 64-68 22%     1 - 4 -7.4 -8.0 +0.5
  Nov 26, 2019 162   @ Pacific L 50-78 9%     1 - 5 -24.9 -20.5 -4.2
  Nov 29, 2019 236   @ UC Riverside L 51-69 17%     1 - 6 -19.3 -14.0 -7.9
  Dec 04, 2019 353   Chicago St. L 81-89 88%     1 - 7 -32.5 -7.1 -25.3
  Dec 15, 2019 107   @ Northwestern L 54-72 5%     1 - 8 -10.6 -11.7 +0.0
  Dec 17, 2019 128   @ Winthrop L 73-93 7%     1 - 9 -14.8 -0.6 -13.3
  Dec 21, 2019 266   @ Detroit Mercy L 55-81 20%     1 - 10 -28.8 -16.6 -14.3
  Jan 02, 2020 99   @ Belmont W 79-69 4%     2 - 10 1 - 0 +17.9 +2.5 +14.6
  Jan 04, 2020 265   @ Tennessee St. L 74-79 20%     2 - 11 1 - 1 -7.7 -5.3 -2.2
  Jan 09, 2020 314   @ Morehead St. L 77-83 30%     2 - 12 1 - 2 -12.2 -1.3 -10.7
  Jan 11, 2020 301   @ Eastern Kentucky L 72-78 27%     2 - 13 1 - 3 -11.4 -4.3 -7.1
  Jan 16, 2020 339   Tennessee Tech L 69-72 64%     2 - 14 1 - 4 -18.4 -15.1 -3.0
  Jan 18, 2020 232   Jacksonville St. L 56-64 32%     2 - 15 1 - 5 -14.9 -18.8 +4.0
  Jan 23, 2020 332   Southeast Missouri St. W 84-65 58%     3 - 15 2 - 5 +5.3 +4.4 +1.1
  Jan 25, 2020 304   Tennessee Martin L 76-79 49%     3 - 16 2 - 6 -14.3 -2.5 -12.2
  Jan 30, 2020 149   @ Austin Peay L 68-84 7%    
  Feb 01, 2020 120   @ Murray St. L 65-83 5%    
  Feb 06, 2020 314   Morehead St. W 71-70 51%    
  Feb 08, 2020 301   Eastern Kentucky L 78-79 49%    
  Feb 13, 2020 230   @ Eastern Illinois L 67-78 16%    
  Feb 15, 2020 332   @ Southeast Missouri St. L 69-73 36%    
  Feb 20, 2020 149   Austin Peay L 71-81 18%    
  Feb 22, 2020 120   Murray St. L 68-80 14%    
  Feb 27, 2020 304   @ Tennessee Martin L 76-82 27%    
  Feb 29, 2020 230   Eastern Illinois L 70-75 32%    
Projected Record 6 - 23 5 - 13





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 4th
5th 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.3 5th
6th 0.2 0.6 0.2 0.0 1.0 6th
7th 0.2 1.5 0.9 0.1 0.0 2.7 7th
8th 0.3 3.2 3.3 0.5 7.2 8th
9th 0.4 4.7 7.4 1.7 0.1 14.2 9th
10th 0.7 7.9 13.0 4.2 0.1 25.9 10th
11th 0.9 8.6 14.9 5.5 0.3 30.2 11th
12th 5.0 9.6 3.7 0.3 18.5 12th
Total 5.9 18.9 26.8 23.7 15.3 6.8 2.0 0.5 0.1 0.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0% 0.0
10-8 0.1% 0.1
9-9 0.5% 0.5
8-10 2.0% 2.0
7-11 6.8% 6.8
6-12 15.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 15.3
5-13 23.7% 23.7
4-14 26.8% 26.8
3-15 18.9% 18.9
2-16 5.9% 5.9
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 5.9%