Pacific
West Coast
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+0.3#164
Expected Predictive Rating+3.1#121
Pace62.5#329
Improvement+2.9#54

Offense
Total Offense-1.6#225
First Shot-2.9#269
After Offensive Rebound+1.4#83
Layup/Dunks+2.3#83
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#127
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.1#323
Freethrows-1.0#245
Improvement-0.6#216

Defense
Total Defense+1.9#110
First Shot+1.8#113
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#155
Layups/Dunks+3.7#52
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#177
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#191
Freethrows-2.0#290
Improvement+3.4#24
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.4% 0.6% 0.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.7 12.5 12.9
.500 or above 95.7% 99.2% 93.7%
.500 or above in Conference 67.5% 84.6% 58.0%
Conference Champion 0.2% 0.5% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.7% 0.2% 1.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.4% 0.6% 0.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Santa Clara (Away) - 35.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 22 - 32 - 5
Quad 34 - 66 - 11
Quad 413 - 219 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2019 203   South Dakota L 62-72 62%     0 - 1 -12.8 -7.3 -6.9
  Nov 10, 2019 304   Florida A&M W 76-54 81%     1 - 1 +13.3 +8.5 +6.6
  Nov 11, 2019 180   @ Hawaii L 67-72 43%     1 - 2 -2.8 +6.4 -10.0
  Nov 17, 2019 253   UC Riverside W 58-51 79%     2 - 2 -1.2 -9.3 +9.1
  Nov 19, 2019 334   Coppin St. W 64-60 91%     3 - 2 -10.3 -17.7 +7.2
  Nov 23, 2019 113   Boise St. L 76-82 3OT 48%     3 - 3 -5.0 -11.3 +7.3
  Nov 26, 2019 336   SIU Edwardsville W 78-50 92%     4 - 3 +12.8 -3.9 +16.6
  Nov 29, 2019 318   Longwood W 69-51 88%     5 - 3 +5.4 -3.2 +10.2
  Dec 04, 2019 281   Cal St. Fullerton W 62-59 83%     6 - 3 -6.6 -2.1 -4.0
  Dec 07, 2019 302   @ Long Beach St. W 65-46 71%     7 - 3 +13.5 -3.2 +18.8
  Dec 15, 2019 262   Cal St. Northridge W 79-73 80%     8 - 3 -2.6 -0.6 -1.9
  Dec 18, 2019 135   @ UNLV W 74-66 33%     9 - 3 +12.8 +9.6 +4.0
  Dec 21, 2019 313   Idaho St. W 77-66 88%     10 - 3 -1.2 +2.9 -3.4
  Dec 28, 2019 112   @ UC Irvine L 56-69 27%     10 - 4 -6.2 -8.8 +1.7
  Jan 02, 2020 149   @ Pepperdine W 59-56 36%     11 - 4 1 - 0 +7.0 -14.5 +21.6
  Jan 04, 2020 39   St. Mary's W 107-99 4OT 22%     12 - 4 2 - 0 +16.4 +4.3 +9.7
  Jan 11, 2020 103   San Francisco L 75-79 45%     12 - 5 2 - 1 -2.3 +0.4 -2.7
  Jan 16, 2020 266   @ Portland W 65-55 63%     13 - 5 3 - 1 +7.0 -10.7 +17.3
  Jan 18, 2020 146   @ Santa Clara L 64-68 35%    
  Jan 23, 2020 33   BYU L 63-72 21%    
  Jan 25, 2020 3   @ Gonzaga L 59-80 2%    
  Jan 30, 2020 201   Loyola Marymount W 63-57 71%    
  Feb 01, 2020 198   San Diego W 66-60 71%    
  Feb 06, 2020 103   @ San Francisco L 65-72 25%    
  Feb 08, 2020 149   Pepperdine W 71-69 59%    
  Feb 13, 2020 266   Portland W 67-58 81%    
  Feb 15, 2020 39   @ St. Mary's L 56-70 10%    
  Feb 22, 2020 146   Santa Clara W 67-65 56%    
  Feb 27, 2020 201   @ Loyola Marymount W 61-60 50%    
  Feb 29, 2020 198   @ San Diego L 63-64 50%    
Projected Record 18 - 12 8 - 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected West Coast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 1st
2nd 0.1 1.0 2.7 1.9 0.4 0.0 6.1 2nd
3rd 0.3 3.0 6.9 4.0 0.7 0.0 14.9 3rd
4th 0.6 6.4 12.2 6.3 0.8 0.0 26.2 4th
5th 0.3 5.5 11.4 4.8 0.3 22.3 5th
6th 0.1 3.4 8.7 3.7 0.3 0.0 16.1 6th
7th 0.0 1.5 5.3 2.7 0.2 9.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 2.0 1.1 0.0 3.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 0.4 0.0 0.9 9th
10th 0.1 0.1 0.2 10th
Total 0.1 1.0 4.1 10.0 17.5 22.0 20.3 14.6 7.4 2.6 0.5 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2 50.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-3 20.3% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0
12-4 1.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-5 0.0%
10-6 0.0%
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2 0.0% 0.0
13-3 0.5% 3.0% 3.0% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.5
12-4 2.6% 2.3% 2.3% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.5
11-5 7.4% 0.9% 0.9% 12.3 0.0 0.0 7.3
10-6 14.6% 0.7% 0.7% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 14.5
9-7 20.3% 0.4% 0.4% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 20.3
8-8 22.0% 0.1% 0.1% 12.8 0.0 0.0 22.0
7-9 17.5% 0.2% 0.2% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 17.4
6-10 10.0% 10.0
5-11 4.1% 4.1
4-12 1.0% 1.0
3-13 0.1% 0.1
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 12.7 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%