Northwestern
Big Ten
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+4.2#109
Expected Predictive Rating-0.3#177
Pace65.8#276
Improvement+1.9#96

Offense
Total Offense+0.7#160
First Shot+1.7#125
After Offensive Rebound-0.9#251
Layup/Dunks+2.8#74
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#87
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#234
Freethrows-1.2#259
Improvement+0.4#156

Defense
Total Defense+3.5#88
First Shot+0.3#145
After Offensive Rebounds+3.2#8
Layups/Dunks+0.5#148
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#67
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#285
Freethrows+0.8#138
Improvement+1.5#85
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.5% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Average Seed 11.2 11.4 11.0
.500 or above 0.2% 0.9% 0.1%
.500 or above in Conference 0.5% 1.6% 0.3%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 65.9% 46.5% 69.4%
First Four0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
First Round0.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Illinois (Away) - 15.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 91 - 9
Quad 1b1 - 62 - 15
Quad 23 - 45 - 19
Quad 33 - 17 - 20
Quad 42 - 210 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2019 282   Merrimack L 61-71 90%     0 - 1 -19.6 -13.0 -6.9
  Nov 13, 2019 67   Providence W 72-63 47%     1 - 1 +14.1 +2.8 +11.1
  Nov 19, 2019 140   Radford L 56-67 70%     1 - 2 -12.3 -17.6 +4.9
  Nov 22, 2019 280   Norfolk St. W 70-59 90%     2 - 2 +1.5 -0.2 +2.5
  Nov 25, 2019 90   Bradley W 78-51 44%     3 - 2 +32.7 +16.9 +18.7
  Nov 27, 2019 77   Pittsburgh L 59-72 39%     3 - 3 -6.0 -8.8 +2.6
  Dec 03, 2019 155   @ Boston College W 82-64 52%     4 - 3 +21.8 +16.9 +5.6
  Dec 08, 2019 17   @ Purdue L 44-58 12%     4 - 4 0 - 1 +2.9 -11.7 +12.6
  Dec 15, 2019 336   SIU Edwardsville W 72-54 95%     5 - 4 +2.8 -5.2 +9.1
  Dec 18, 2019 4   Michigan St. L 72-77 16%     5 - 5 0 - 2 +10.0 +4.1 +5.9
  Dec 21, 2019 73   @ DePaul L 78-83 28%     5 - 6 +5.2 +6.5 -1.0
  Dec 29, 2019 283   Hartford L 66-67 90%     5 - 7 -10.8 -7.9 -2.9
  Jan 05, 2020 35   @ Minnesota L 68-77 17%     5 - 8 0 - 3 +5.5 +4.5 +0.6
  Jan 08, 2020 43   @ Indiana L 62-66 19%     5 - 9 0 - 4 +9.6 -2.4 +12.1
  Jan 11, 2020 121   Nebraska W 62-57 65%     6 - 9 1 - 4 +5.1 -10.4 +15.6
  Jan 14, 2020 18   Iowa L 62-75 26%     6 - 10 1 - 5 -1.9 -2.8 -0.4
  Jan 18, 2020 29   @ Illinois L 61-72 15%    
  Jan 21, 2020 7   Maryland L 59-68 20%    
  Jan 26, 2020 11   Ohio St. L 60-68 22%    
  Jan 29, 2020 4   @ Michigan St. L 61-78 6%    
  Feb 01, 2020 17   Purdue L 57-64 26%    
  Feb 09, 2020 32   @ Rutgers L 57-68 16%    
  Feb 12, 2020 19   Michigan L 63-69 27%    
  Feb 15, 2020 37   @ Penn St. L 64-74 17%    
  Feb 18, 2020 7   @ Maryland L 56-71 8%    
  Feb 23, 2020 35   Minnesota L 65-70 34%    
  Feb 27, 2020 29   Illinois L 64-69 32%    
  Mar 01, 2020 121   @ Nebraska L 69-71 43%    
  Mar 04, 2020 25   @ Wisconsin L 54-66 14%    
  Mar 07, 2020 37   Penn St. L 67-71 35%    
Projected Record 9 - 21 4 - 16





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 0.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 5th
6th 0.1 0.0 0.1 6th
7th 0.1 0.1 0.2 7th
8th 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 0.9 0.2 0.0 1.5 10th
11th 0.1 0.5 1.7 1.0 0.0 3.2 11th
12th 0.2 1.6 3.6 2.8 0.4 8.6 12th
13th 0.3 4.0 10.8 11.7 6.8 1.2 0.0 35.0 13th
14th 4.6 13.2 17.0 10.6 4.1 0.7 0.0 50.2 14th
Total 4.6 13.6 21.0 21.7 17.5 11.6 6.0 2.7 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 33.3% 0.0    0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0% 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.1% 31.1% 31.1% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 31.1%
10-10 0.4% 5.1% 1.1% 4.0% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.3 4.0%
9-11 1.0% 0.4% 0.4% 11.0 0.0 1.0
8-12 2.7% 0.1% 0.1% 11.0 0.0 2.7
7-13 6.0% 0.3% 0.3% 11.8 0.0 0.0 6.0
6-14 11.6% 0.1% 0.1% 13.0 0.0 11.6
5-15 17.5% 0.0% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 17.5
4-16 21.7% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 21.6
3-17 21.0% 21.0
2-18 13.6% 13.6
1-19 4.6% 4.6
0-20
Total 100% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.9 0.1%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 3.7%