Bucknell
Patriot League
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.7#223
Expected Predictive Rating-3.6#223
Pace73.1#82
Improvement-0.1#188

Offense
Total Offense-2.4#244
First Shot-1.3#220
After Offensive Rebound-1.0#259
Layup/Dunks-2.7#280
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#254
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.9#53
Freethrows-0.8#229
Improvement-4.3#340

Defense
Total Defense-1.3#207
First Shot-1.0#194
After Offensive Rebounds-0.3#193
Layups/Dunks-1.6#251
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#211
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#67
Freethrows-1.7#279
Improvement+4.2#10
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.9% 8.4% 6.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.6 15.5 15.8
.500 or above 22.2% 27.4% 9.8%
.500 or above in Conference 72.9% 80.9% 54.2%
Conference Champion 2.9% 3.8% 1.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.6% 0.2% 1.6%
First Four2.9% 2.7% 3.6%
First Round6.6% 7.3% 5.0%
Second Round0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Loyola Maryland (Home) - 70.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 33 - 83 - 12
Quad 411 - 615 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 264   @ Fairfield W 68-64 47%     1 - 0 +1.2 -1.6 +2.9
  Nov 10, 2019 89   Vermont L 63-66 26%     1 - 1 +0.0 -12.1 +12.4
  Nov 13, 2019 151   Hofstra W 86-71 44%     2 - 1 +13.0 +6.6 +5.8
  Nov 16, 2019 227   @ Canisius L 81-83 39%     2 - 2 -2.8 +8.4 -11.3
  Nov 19, 2019 25   @ Penn St. L 70-98 5%     2 - 3 -12.1 +1.3 -11.9
  Nov 23, 2019 50   @ Syracuse L 46-97 7%     2 - 4 -38.0 -25.0 -9.8
  Nov 25, 2019 196   Seattle W 77-70 46%     3 - 4 +4.5 +4.6 +0.0
  Nov 26, 2019 71   Yale L 61-81 15%     3 - 5 -12.6 -6.6 -5.8
  Nov 30, 2019 180   Princeton L 77-87 50%     3 - 6 -13.7 +1.3 -15.1
  Dec 03, 2019 191   @ Rider L 69-89 33%     3 - 7 -19.2 -7.9 -10.6
  Dec 07, 2019 205   Albany W 65-64 58%     4 - 7 -4.8 -10.5 +5.7
  Dec 21, 2019 229   @ Siena L 71-81 40%     4 - 8 -11.0 -7.5 -2.9
  Dec 28, 2019 183   @ La Salle L 59-71 29%     4 - 9 -9.8 -13.3 +4.0
  Jan 02, 2020 274   Army W 67-65 70%     5 - 9 1 - 0 -7.1 -10.4 +3.3
  Jan 05, 2020 195   @ Lafayette W 78-66 34%     6 - 9 2 - 0 +12.5 +3.2 +9.3
  Jan 08, 2020 212   Navy L 56-60 59%     6 - 10 2 - 1 -10.0 -16.0 +5.8
  Jan 11, 2020 340   Holy Cross W 75-60 86%     7 - 10 3 - 1 -0.4 -7.3 +7.1
  Jan 15, 2020 216   @ American L 60-61 37%     7 - 11 3 - 2 -1.3 -6.4 +5.0
  Jan 18, 2020 288   Lehigh W 72-56 74%     8 - 11 4 - 2 +5.7 -5.5 +11.7
  Jan 20, 2020 124   @ Colgate L 65-80 19%     8 - 12 4 - 3 -9.3 -3.8 -6.3
  Jan 25, 2020 275   Loyola Maryland W 77-71 70%    
  Jan 29, 2020 274   @ Army L 73-74 49%    
  Feb 01, 2020 187   Boston University W 71-70 52%    
  Feb 03, 2020 195   Lafayette W 73-71 57%    
  Feb 08, 2020 275   @ Loyola Maryland L 74-75 49%    
  Feb 12, 2020 212   @ Navy L 62-65 37%    
  Feb 15, 2020 216   American W 73-70 61%    
  Feb 17, 2020 340   @ Holy Cross W 77-71 71%    
  Feb 23, 2020 288   @ Lehigh W 75-74 52%    
  Feb 26, 2020 124   Colgate L 70-73 38%    
  Feb 29, 2020 187   @ Boston University L 68-74 30%    
Projected Record 14 - 17 10 - 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.7 1.2 0.8 0.2 2.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 3.5 6.0 2.9 0.6 0.0 13.2 2nd
3rd 0.2 3.7 8.0 3.6 0.3 0.0 15.9 3rd
4th 0.1 3.0 9.4 4.6 0.4 0.0 17.5 4th
5th 0.1 2.3 9.5 6.0 0.5 18.4 5th
6th 0.1 2.1 7.8 6.1 0.9 0.0 17.0 6th
7th 0.0 1.1 4.8 3.9 0.6 10.3 7th
8th 0.3 1.6 1.5 0.2 3.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 0.5 0.1 1.0 9th
10th 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 10th
Total 0.1 0.8 3.3 8.5 14.4 19.3 20.3 16.7 10.7 4.4 1.4 0.2 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 95.8% 0.2    0.1 0.1
14-4 57.7% 0.8    0.4 0.4 0.0
13-5 27.5% 1.2    0.3 0.7 0.2 0.0
12-6 6.1% 0.7    0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2
11-7 0.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.9% 2.9 0.9 1.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.2% 25.0% 25.0% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
14-4 1.4% 21.9% 21.9% 14.2 0.0 0.2 0.1 1.1
13-5 4.4% 18.3% 18.3% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.1 3.6
12-6 10.7% 13.7% 13.7% 15.3 0.0 0.9 0.5 9.2
11-7 16.7% 10.8% 10.8% 15.5 0.8 1.0 14.9
10-8 20.3% 6.3% 6.3% 15.9 0.1 1.1 19.0
9-9 19.3% 6.8% 6.8% 16.0 0.0 1.3 18.0
8-10 14.4% 4.0% 4.0% 16.0 0.0 0.6 13.8
7-11 8.5% 2.9% 2.9% 16.0 0.3 8.3
6-12 3.3% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.1 3.2
5-13 0.8% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.0 0.8
4-14 0.1% 0.1
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 7.9% 7.9% 0.0% 15.6 0.1 0.3 2.6 4.9 92.1 0.0%