South Alabama
Sun Belt
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+0.0#157
Expected Predictive Rating-4.0#227
Pace66.2#275
Improvement-1.3#320

Offense
Total Offense+3.1#88
First Shot+2.3#106
After Offensive Rebound+0.8#131
Layup/Dunks+0.9#137
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#153
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#244
Freethrows+3.6#37
Improvement-0.1#196

Defense
Total Defense-3.2#271
First Shot-0.1#171
After Offensive Rebounds-3.0#323
Layups/Dunks-1.9#241
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#125
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#244
Freethrows+2.6#56
Improvement-1.2#316
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 10.6% 13.0% 8.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.0 13.7 14.3
.500 or above 59.7% 73.2% 48.2%
.500 or above in Conference 67.5% 73.9% 61.9%
Conference Champion 11.8% 16.0% 8.3%
Last Place in Conference 3.6% 1.8% 5.0%
First Four0.1% 0.0% 0.2%
First Round10.5% 13.0% 8.4%
Second Round1.1% 1.6% 0.7%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Northeastern (Neutral) - 46.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 31 - 4
Quad 35 - 65 - 10
Quad 49 - 315 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2019 231   Southern Miss W 75-69 74%     1 - 0 -0.6 +2.3 -2.7
  Nov 12, 2019 24   Auburn L 69-70 18%     1 - 1 +8.7 +6.2 +2.5
  Nov 15, 2019 213   @ Chattanooga L 72-90 49%     1 - 2 -17.8 +0.3 -18.3
  Nov 25, 2019 147   Northeastern L 73-74 46%    
  Dec 08, 2019 105   @ Richmond L 71-78 26%    
  Dec 17, 2019 351   Alabama A&M W 83-61 98%    
  Dec 19, 2019 178   Appalachian St. W 76-72 65%    
  Dec 21, 2019 194   Coastal Carolina W 78-73 65%    
  Jan 02, 2020 224   @ Louisiana W 78-77 50%    
  Jan 04, 2020 237   @ Louisiana Monroe W 70-69 50%    
  Jan 06, 2020 125   @ Texas Arlington L 68-73 32%    
  Jan 09, 2020 260   Arkansas St. W 77-69 76%    
  Jan 11, 2020 171   @ Arkansas Little Rock L 71-73 41%    
  Jan 16, 2020 150   Georgia St. W 76-74 59%    
  Jan 18, 2020 112   Georgia Southern L 78-79 50%    
  Jan 23, 2020 260   @ Arkansas St. W 74-72 57%    
  Jan 25, 2020 171   Arkansas Little Rock W 74-70 61%    
  Jan 30, 2020 150   @ Georgia St. L 73-77 36%    
  Feb 01, 2020 112   @ Georgia Southern L 75-81 30%    
  Feb 08, 2020 304   @ Troy W 77-71 70%    
  Feb 13, 2020 224   Louisiana W 81-75 70%    
  Feb 15, 2020 237   Louisiana Monroe W 73-66 72%    
  Feb 20, 2020 178   @ Appalachian St. L 73-75 43%    
  Feb 22, 2020 194   @ Coastal Carolina L 75-76 46%    
  Feb 29, 2020 304   Troy W 80-68 82%    
  Mar 03, 2020 135   Texas St. W 68-67 53%    
Projected Record 14 - 12 11 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.3 1.3 2.8 3.2 2.2 1.3 0.5 0.1 11.8 1st
2nd 0.5 2.3 4.3 3.6 1.5 0.4 12.6 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.4 3.1 4.2 2.6 0.8 0.1 11.3 3rd
4th 0.5 2.5 4.9 2.4 0.2 0.0 10.6 4th
5th 0.3 2.7 4.2 3.2 0.6 0.0 11.0 5th
6th 0.1 1.7 3.7 2.4 0.1 8.1 6th
7th 0.3 1.5 3.8 2.7 0.7 0.1 9.0 7th
8th 0.2 1.0 3.0 2.6 0.8 7.6 8th
9th 0.1 1.4 2.1 2.6 0.8 7.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.7 1.6 1.6 1.1 0.1 5.1 10th
11th 0.3 0.8 1.7 0.8 0.6 4.1 11th
12th 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.3 1.9 12th
Total 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.3 2.7 4.2 5.6 8.3 9.4 10.4 10.4 11.9 9.7 8.5 7.2 4.7 2.7 1.3 0.5 0.1 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
19-1 100.0% 0.5    0.5
18-2 100.0% 1.3    1.2 0.1
17-3 82.1% 2.2    1.8 0.4
16-4 68.9% 3.2    2.1 1.0 0.1 0.0
15-5 39.1% 2.8    1.3 1.1 0.5
14-6 15.6% 1.3    0.5 0.6 0.2 0.0
13-7 2.9% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 11.8% 11.8 7.6 3.4 0.8 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.1% 50.0% 50.0% 13.0 0.1 0.1
19-1 0.5% 57.0% 57.0% 12.3 0.2 0.1 0.2
18-2 1.3% 29.0% 29.0% 12.6 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.9
17-3 2.7% 29.0% 29.0% 13.2 0.1 0.5 0.1 0.1 1.9
16-4 4.7% 42.1% 42.1% 13.8 0.2 0.4 1.1 0.3 2.7
15-5 7.2% 41.1% 41.1% 13.7 0.1 1.0 1.4 0.4 4.3
14-6 8.5% 17.2% 17.2% 14.4 0.2 0.5 0.7 7.0
13-7 9.7% 11.3% 11.3% 14.4 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.1 8.6
12-8 11.9% 7.6% 7.6% 15.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.3 11.0
11-9 10.4% 3.8% 3.8% 15.2 0.0 0.3 0.1 10.0
10-10 10.4% 1.4% 1.4% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 10.3
9-11 9.4% 1.3% 1.3% 15.5 0.1 0.1 9.2
8-12 8.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 8.3
7-13 5.6% 5.6
6-14 4.2% 4.2
5-15 2.7% 2.7
4-16 1.3% 1.3
3-17 0.7% 0.7
2-18 0.4% 0.4
1-19 0.1% 0.1
0-20
Total 100% 10.6% 10.6% 0.0% 14.0 0.9 2.7 3.5 3.0 0.5 89.4 0.0%