Richmond
Atlantic 10
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+3.7#105
Expected Predictive Rating+9.1#64
Pace65.5#292
Improvement+0.7#83

Offense
Total Offense+6.5#31
First Shot+8.6#14
After Offensive Rebound-2.1#281
Layup/Dunks+1.8#109
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#154
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.1#37
Freethrows+0.4#144
Improvement-0.5#264

Defense
Total Defense-2.7#259
First Shot-2.9#253
After Offensive Rebounds+0.1#172
Layups/Dunks-0.5#202
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#96
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.3#284
Freethrows-0.6#205
Improvement+1.2#22
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.2% 8.8% 1.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 3.1% 3.3% 0.1%
Average Seed 11.0 11.1 8.8
.500 or above 77.4% 79.6% 50.5%
.500 or above in Conference 66.9% 68.6% 46.3%
Conference Champion 5.7% 5.9% 2.5%
Last Place in Conference 2.0% 1.6% 6.5%
First Four1.5% 1.7% 0.1%
First Round7.5% 8.0% 1.0%
Second Round2.2% 2.3% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.5% 0.5% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: McNeese St. (Home) - 92.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b1 - 21 - 4
Quad 22 - 43 - 8
Quad 37 - 410 - 12
Quad 49 - 119 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2019 217   St. Francis (PA) W 100-98 OT 82%     1 - 0 -4.0 +8.3 -12.6
  Nov 14, 2019 120   Vanderbilt W 93-92 OT 66%     2 - 0 +0.6 +5.1 -4.6
  Nov 17, 2019 291   Cal St. Northridge W 90-62 90%     3 - 0 +17.5 +12.5 +6.4
  Nov 22, 2019 302   McNeese St. W 82-67 92%    
  Nov 25, 2019 26   Wisconsin L 62-71 21%    
  Nov 30, 2019 99   Boston College W 76-74 57%    
  Dec 03, 2019 261   @ Hampton W 81-75 69%    
  Dec 08, 2019 157   South Alabama W 78-71 74%    
  Dec 14, 2019 139   College of Charleston W 74-69 68%    
  Dec 18, 2019 114   @ Old Dominion L 65-67 42%    
  Dec 22, 2019 131   Radford W 72-70 56%    
  Dec 29, 2019 68   @ Alabama L 78-85 26%    
  Jan 02, 2020 188   Saint Joseph's W 87-79 77%    
  Jan 05, 2020 76   @ Rhode Island L 70-76 30%    
  Jan 11, 2020 116   Saint Louis W 73-69 63%    
  Jan 14, 2020 70   @ Davidson L 67-74 26%    
  Jan 18, 2020 142   @ George Mason L 73-74 50%    
  Jan 22, 2020 203   La Salle W 76-67 79%    
  Jan 25, 2020 64   Dayton L 72-74 45%    
  Jan 28, 2020 40   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 70-80 19%    
  Feb 01, 2020 258   George Washington W 76-64 85%    
  Feb 08, 2020 226   @ Fordham W 68-64 66%    
  Feb 12, 2020 203   @ La Salle W 73-70 61%    
  Feb 15, 2020 40   Virginia Commonwealth L 73-77 35%    
  Feb 19, 2020 142   George Mason W 76-71 70%    
  Feb 22, 2020 144   @ St. Bonaventure L 68-69 50%    
  Feb 26, 2020 258   @ George Washington W 73-67 69%    
  Feb 29, 2020 167   Massachusetts W 76-69 72%    
  Mar 03, 2020 70   Davidson L 70-71 48%    
  Mar 06, 2020 97   @ Duquesne L 71-75 35%    
Projected Record 18 - 12 10 - 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.9 1.5 1.3 1.5 0.4 0.0 5.7 1st
2nd 0.2 1.1 3.5 3.1 0.8 0.1 8.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.9 4.6 2.7 0.5 9.7 3rd
4th 0.1 0.9 5.1 3.6 0.8 10.5 4th
5th 0.8 3.8 6.0 1.4 0.0 12.0 5th
6th 0.5 3.1 4.4 1.8 0.1 9.9 6th
7th 0.2 1.8 4.8 1.9 0.2 8.9 7th
8th 0.0 1.5 5.3 2.8 0.7 10.3 8th
9th 0.5 3.0 3.5 0.3 7.4 9th
10th 0.3 1.3 2.9 0.4 0.0 4.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 1.4 2.6 0.5 0.0 4.7 11th
12th 0.1 1.0 1.6 1.1 0.1 4.0 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.3 0.6 0.1 2.2 13th
14th 0.0 0.0 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.0 1.0 14th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.4 2.7 3.9 5.7 8.2 11.5 11.9 11.8 15.1 10.9 7.9 5.1 2.1 1.6 0.4 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.4    0.4
16-2 95.1% 1.5    1.3 0.3
15-3 62.8% 1.3    0.8 0.5 0.1
14-4 28.7% 1.5    0.3 0.6 0.5 0.1
13-5 11.5% 0.9    0.1 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0
12-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 5.7% 5.7 2.9 1.7 0.9 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.4% 97.6% 31.0% 66.7% 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 96.6%
16-2 1.6% 75.4% 33.2% 42.2% 9.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.4 63.1%
15-3 2.1% 45.0% 18.5% 26.5% 9.8 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 1.2 32.6%
14-4 5.1% 29.6% 14.8% 14.7% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.9 0.2 0.1 3.6 17.3%
13-5 7.9% 16.0% 12.1% 3.9% 11.6 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.3 6.7 4.4%
12-6 10.9% 10.9% 9.3% 1.6% 12.2 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 9.7 1.7%
11-7 15.1% 6.9% 6.0% 0.9% 12.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.2 0.0 14.1 0.9%
10-8 11.8% 1.4% 1.4% 12.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 11.6
9-9 11.9% 1.7% 1.7% 12.4 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 11.7
8-10 11.5% 1.2% 1.2% 13.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 11.4
7-11 8.2% 1.6% 1.6% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 8.1
6-12 5.7% 5.7
5-13 3.9% 3.9
4-14 2.7% 2.7
3-15 0.4% 0.4
2-16 0.7% 0.7
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 8.2% 5.3% 2.9% 11.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.2 1.4 2.5 2.1 1.0 0.3 0.1 91.8 3.1%