Auburn
Southeastern
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+11.9#33
Expected Predictive Rating+17.5#16
Pace70.9#149
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+6.9#27
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+5.1#57
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.5% 0.5% 0.0%
#1 Seed 2.6% 2.6% 0.5%
Top 2 Seed 7.1% 7.2% 1.0%
Top 4 Seed 21.0% 21.4% 5.2%
Top 6 Seed 36.7% 37.2% 16.2%
NCAA Tourney Bid 72.2% 72.8% 49.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 70.0% 70.6% 48.6%
Average Seed 6.5 6.4 7.6
.500 or above 90.3% 90.9% 69.1%
.500 or above in Conference 65.5% 66.1% 44.0%
Conference Champion 7.3% 7.5% 3.1%
Last Place in Conference 3.0% 2.9% 6.8%
First Four5.1% 5.0% 5.2%
First Round69.3% 69.9% 46.6%
Second Round43.5% 44.0% 26.3%
Sweet Sixteen19.2% 19.4% 8.9%
Elite Eight8.0% 8.1% 4.2%
Final Four3.2% 3.2% 2.1%
Championship Game1.3% 1.3% 1.0%
National Champion0.5% 0.5% 0.5%

Next Game: Cal St. Northridge (Home) - 97.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 8 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 42 - 4
Quad 1b3 - 34 - 7
Quad 26 - 311 - 10
Quad 36 - 117 - 11
Quad 44 - 021 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 112   Georgia Southern W 83-74 86%     1 - 0 +9.0 -0.2 +8.1
  Nov 08, 2019 86   Davidson W 76-66 72%     2 - 0 +16.0 +4.4 +11.4
  Nov 12, 2019 134   @ South Alabama W 70-69 75%     3 - 0 +5.8 +3.7 +2.1
  Nov 15, 2019 263   Cal St. Northridge W 89-69 97%    
  Nov 18, 2019 143   Colgate W 81-67 91%    
  Nov 25, 2019 82   New Mexico W 83-78 69%    
  Dec 05, 2019 57   Furman W 74-68 71%    
  Dec 14, 2019 108   Saint Louis W 74-66 77%    
  Dec 19, 2019 40   North Carolina St. W 81-77 64%    
  Dec 21, 2019 225   Lehigh W 86-68 95%    
  Dec 29, 2019 194   Lipscomb W 87-70 93%    
  Jan 04, 2020 56   @ Mississippi St. L 70-71 50%    
  Jan 08, 2020 120   Vanderbilt W 78-66 86%    
  Jan 11, 2020 66   Georgia W 81-74 73%    
  Jan 15, 2020 52   @ Alabama L 78-79 48%    
  Jan 18, 2020 22   @ Florida L 64-68 36%    
  Jan 22, 2020 63   South Carolina W 77-70 73%    
  Jan 25, 2020 41   Iowa St. W 77-73 63%    
  Jan 28, 2020 50   @ Mississippi L 73-74 48%    
  Feb 01, 2020 5   Kentucky L 69-73 38%    
  Feb 04, 2020 31   @ Arkansas L 74-77 37%    
  Feb 08, 2020 27   LSU W 81-79 58%    
  Feb 12, 2020 52   Alabama W 81-76 67%    
  Feb 15, 2020 44   @ Missouri L 69-70 44%    
  Feb 19, 2020 66   @ Georgia W 78-77 52%    
  Feb 22, 2020 28   Tennessee W 75-72 60%    
  Feb 25, 2020 50   Mississippi W 76-71 66%    
  Feb 29, 2020 5   @ Kentucky L 66-76 21%    
  Mar 04, 2020 74   Texas A&M W 76-68 74%    
  Mar 07, 2020 28   @ Tennessee L 72-75 38%    
Projected Record 20 - 10 10 - 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.1 2.4 1.9 1.1 0.4 0.1 7.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 2.0 3.9 2.7 0.7 0.1 9.7 2nd
3rd 0.2 2.1 4.5 2.8 0.5 0.0 10.1 3rd
4th 0.1 1.7 4.7 2.9 0.6 0.0 10.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.9 4.1 3.6 0.5 0.0 9.2 5th
6th 0.3 3.6 4.6 1.1 0.0 9.6 6th
7th 0.1 2.2 4.8 1.7 0.1 8.8 7th
8th 0.0 1.0 4.2 2.5 0.2 7.9 8th
9th 0.5 3.0 3.3 0.6 0.0 7.4 9th
10th 0.2 1.9 3.4 1.0 0.0 6.4 10th
11th 0.1 1.0 2.8 1.2 0.1 5.3 11th
12th 0.2 0.7 1.8 1.3 0.2 4.2 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.9 0.8 0.2 2.7 13th
14th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1 1.5 14th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.3 2.1 4.0 6.7 8.8 11.0 12.5 12.5 12.0 10.1 8.4 5.6 2.6 1.2 0.4 0.1 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.4    0.4 0.0
16-2 94.9% 1.1    0.9 0.2
15-3 72.0% 1.9    1.1 0.7 0.1
14-4 43.2% 2.4    1.0 1.0 0.4 0.0 0.0
13-5 13.6% 1.1    0.3 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0
12-6 2.2% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 7.3% 7.3 3.8 2.5 0.9 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 100.0% 33.3% 66.7% 1.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
17-1 0.4% 100.0% 31.3% 68.8% 1.5 0.3 0.2 0.0 100.0%
16-2 1.2% 100.0% 42.8% 57.2% 1.7 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.0 100.0%
15-3 2.6% 100.0% 25.7% 74.3% 2.2 0.8 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.0 100.0%
14-4 5.6% 100.0% 24.6% 75.4% 2.9 0.7 1.6 1.7 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 100.0%
13-5 8.4% 100.0% 15.3% 84.7% 4.1 0.2 1.0 1.9 2.6 1.6 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
12-6 10.1% 100.0% 12.3% 87.7% 5.1 0.1 0.4 1.4 1.9 2.5 1.9 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
11-7 12.0% 98.1% 8.0% 90.2% 6.4 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.2 2.3 2.3 2.3 1.5 0.9 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.2 98.0%
10-8 12.5% 94.4% 3.6% 90.8% 7.8 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.9 1.7 2.1 2.2 2.1 1.4 0.8 0.1 0.7 94.2%
9-9 12.5% 83.2% 2.4% 80.8% 9.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 1.1 1.6 2.2 2.3 1.8 0.3 2.1 82.8%
8-10 11.0% 59.3% 1.9% 57.3% 9.6 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.2 1.6 1.9 0.3 4.5 58.5%
7-11 8.8% 28.5% 1.4% 27.1% 10.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.6 1.0 0.3 6.3 27.5%
6-12 6.7% 9.3% 0.4% 8.9% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 6.0 8.9%
5-13 4.0% 0.4% 0.4% 11.0 0.0 4.0
4-14 2.1% 0.7% 0.7% 11.0 0.0 2.0 0.7%
3-15 1.3% 1.3
2-16 0.5% 0.5
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 72.2% 7.3% 64.8% 6.5 2.6 4.5 6.3 7.6 8.2 7.5 7.6 6.9 7.2 6.7 6.1 1.1 0.0 27.8 70.0%