South Dakota St.
Summit League
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.6#229
Expected Predictive Rating+2.1#151
Pace75.9#52
Improvement-0.6#253

Offense
Total Offense-0.2#186
First Shot-4.6#294
After Offensive Rebound+4.4#21
Layup/Dunks+6.0#28
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#279
3 Pt Jumpshots-10.1#350
Freethrows+1.8#81
Improvement+1.7#17

Defense
Total Defense-3.4#276
First Shot-2.7#258
After Offensive Rebounds-0.7#219
Layups/Dunks-3.1#267
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.7#19
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#260
Freethrows-0.7#214
Improvement-2.2#345
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.2% 13.6% 9.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.3 14.7 15.3
.500 or above 56.8% 84.1% 56.3%
.500 or above in Conference 59.1% 76.8% 58.8%
Conference Champion 9.9% 19.7% 9.7%
Last Place in Conference 7.6% 1.6% 7.7%
First Four2.1% 1.4% 2.2%
First Round8.1% 12.3% 8.0%
Second Round0.3% 0.1% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Arizona (Away) - 1.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 33 - 53 - 10
Quad 413 - 516 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 282   UT Rio Grande Valley W 70-57 72%     1 - 0 +3.4 -8.5 +11.5
  Nov 09, 2019 244   @ Cal St. Bakersfield W 93-91 2OT 42%     2 - 0 +0.5 +0.9 -0.7
  Nov 12, 2019 59   @ USC L 66-84 8%     2 - 1 -6.0 -8.4 +4.0
  Nov 15, 2019 139   @ Nebraska L 73-90 21%     2 - 2 -12.2 -4.4 -6.0
  Nov 19, 2019 296   North Alabama W 78-73 76%     3 - 2 -5.9 +1.6 -7.5
  Nov 21, 2019 13   @ Arizona L 65-88 2%    
  Nov 24, 2019 352   Mississippi Valley W 99-79 97%    
  Nov 27, 2019 189   Samford W 78-77 53%    
  Nov 30, 2019 41   @ Indiana L 69-87 5%    
  Dec 05, 2019 211   @ Montana St. L 73-77 37%    
  Dec 10, 2019 150   @ Colorado St. L 73-80 26%    
  Dec 18, 2019 292   Florida Gulf Coast W 78-71 74%    
  Dec 21, 2019 334   Idaho W 78-67 85%    
  Dec 29, 2019 208   @ Nebraska Omaha L 76-80 35%    
  Jan 02, 2020 181   Oral Roberts W 84-83 52%    
  Jan 04, 2020 313   Western Illinois W 82-73 79%    
  Jan 08, 2020 293   @ Denver W 76-75 53%    
  Jan 11, 2020 238   @ Purdue Fort Wayne L 81-83 42%    
  Jan 15, 2020 288   North Dakota W 81-75 71%    
  Jan 19, 2020 149   @ South Dakota L 74-81 26%    
  Jan 22, 2020 170   North Dakota St. L 73-74 49%    
  Jan 29, 2020 181   @ Oral Roberts L 81-86 32%    
  Feb 01, 2020 313   @ Western Illinois W 79-76 61%    
  Feb 08, 2020 208   Nebraska Omaha W 79-77 56%    
  Feb 14, 2020 293   Denver W 79-72 72%    
  Feb 16, 2020 238   Purdue Fort Wayne W 84-80 63%    
  Feb 19, 2020 288   @ North Dakota W 78-77 51%    
  Feb 23, 2020 149   South Dakota L 77-78 45%    
  Feb 27, 2020 170   @ North Dakota St. L 70-76 30%    
Projected Record 15 - 14 8 - 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Summit League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 1.8 3.0 2.6 1.5 0.5 0.1 9.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 3.7 4.6 2.5 0.6 0.0 12.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.9 4.9 5.8 2.4 0.2 0.0 14.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 5.0 6.2 1.9 0.1 13.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 5.1 6.0 2.0 0.1 13.9 5th
6th 0.1 0.9 4.3 6.1 1.4 0.0 12.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.9 3.9 4.4 1.5 0.0 10.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.2 3.1 3.0 0.9 0.0 8.3 8th
9th 0.1 0.2 0.9 1.5 1.0 0.4 0.0 4.0 9th
Total 0.1 0.2 1.0 2.7 5.1 8.1 10.4 13.4 13.4 13.9 11.9 8.9 5.7 3.2 1.5 0.5 0.1 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
15-1 100.0% 0.5    0.5 0.0
14-2 97.9% 1.5    1.3 0.2
13-3 80.7% 2.6    2.0 0.5 0.0
12-4 51.7% 3.0    1.3 1.4 0.3 0.0
11-5 20.5% 1.8    0.5 0.7 0.5 0.0 0.0
10-6 3.2% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
9-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 9.9% 9.9 5.8 3.0 1.0 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.1% 39.3% 39.3% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-1 0.5% 39.9% 39.9% 13.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3
14-2 1.5% 37.0% 37.0% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.0 1.0
13-3 3.2% 23.4% 23.4% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.1 2.5
12-4 5.7% 20.6% 20.6% 14.9 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.3 4.5
11-5 8.9% 18.6% 18.6% 15.2 0.0 0.2 0.9 0.6 7.2
10-6 11.9% 12.7% 12.7% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.8 10.4
9-7 13.9% 9.4% 9.4% 15.7 0.0 0.4 0.9 12.6
8-8 13.4% 7.0% 7.0% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.8 12.5
7-9 13.4% 4.3% 4.3% 15.9 0.0 0.5 12.8
6-10 10.4% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.0 0.3 10.1
5-11 8.1% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.1 8.0
4-12 5.1% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 5.0
3-13 2.7% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 2.7
2-14 1.0% 1.0
1-15 0.2% 0.2
0-16 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 9.2% 9.2% 0.0% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.1 3.3 4.4 90.9 0.0%