USC
Pac-12
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+8.6#59
Expected Predictive Rating+5.1#106
Pace72.8#102
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+5.6#43
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+3.0#84
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Top 2 Seed 0.6% 0.9% 0.1%
Top 4 Seed 3.0% 4.3% 1.3%
Top 6 Seed 7.1% 9.6% 3.8%
NCAA Tourney Bid 35.4% 43.7% 24.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 31.8% 40.0% 21.3%
Average Seed 8.5 8.4 9.0
.500 or above 81.4% 88.6% 71.9%
.500 or above in Conference 59.3% 65.1% 51.7%
Conference Champion 4.7% 6.0% 3.0%
Last Place in Conference 4.3% 2.9% 6.2%
First Four6.8% 7.6% 5.8%
First Round31.6% 39.3% 21.5%
Second Round15.9% 20.6% 9.8%
Sweet Sixteen5.0% 6.6% 2.8%
Elite Eight1.8% 2.5% 0.8%
Final Four0.5% 0.8% 0.2%
Championship Game0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.1% 0.0%

Next Game: Nevada (Away) - 56.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 41 - 4
Quad 1b2 - 33 - 7
Quad 24 - 37 - 10
Quad 35 - 212 - 12
Quad 46 - 019 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 344   Florida A&M W 77-48 98%     1 - 0 +12.6 -7.3 +17.6
  Nov 08, 2019 257   Portland W 76-65 93%     2 - 0 +3.2 +1.7 +1.7
  Nov 12, 2019 202   South Dakota St. W 84-66 90%     3 - 0 +12.7 +0.2 +10.9
  Nov 16, 2019 104   @ Nevada W 79-77 57%    
  Nov 19, 2019 113   Pepperdine W 85-76 79%    
  Nov 22, 2019 93   Temple W 77-71 72%    
  Nov 28, 2019 281   Fairfield W 75-60 92%    
  Dec 06, 2019 53   @ TCU L 73-77 37%    
  Dec 15, 2019 260   Long Beach St. W 86-69 94%    
  Dec 21, 2019 27   LSU L 80-84 37%    
  Dec 29, 2019 279   Florida Gulf Coast W 82-64 94%    
  Jan 02, 2020 131   @ Washington St. W 79-75 62%    
  Jan 05, 2020 47   @ Washington L 66-71 34%    
  Jan 11, 2020 88   @ UCLA L 75-76 49%    
  Jan 16, 2020 135   California W 79-69 81%    
  Jan 18, 2020 94   Stanford W 77-71 70%    
  Jan 23, 2020 12   @ Oregon L 68-78 18%    
  Jan 25, 2020 68   @ Oregon St. L 73-75 42%    
  Jan 30, 2020 81   Utah W 81-76 66%    
  Feb 01, 2020 35   Colorado L 74-75 49%    
  Feb 06, 2020 14   @ Arizona L 70-79 22%    
  Feb 08, 2020 64   @ Arizona St. L 79-81 43%    
  Feb 13, 2020 47   Washington W 69-68 54%    
  Feb 15, 2020 131   Washington St. W 82-72 80%    
  Feb 20, 2020 35   @ Colorado L 72-78 30%    
  Feb 23, 2020 81   @ Utah L 78-79 48%    
  Feb 27, 2020 14   Arizona L 73-76 39%    
  Feb 29, 2020 64   Arizona St. W 82-78 62%    
  Mar 07, 2020 88   UCLA W 79-73 69%    
Projected Record 18 - 11 9 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Pac-12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 0.7 1.5 1.3 0.6 0.3 4.7 1st
2nd 0.1 0.3 2.1 2.8 2.4 0.6 0.1 8.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 3.4 4.1 2.2 0.5 0.0 10.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 3.9 4.8 2.5 0.4 12.2 4th
5th 0.5 3.3 5.6 2.5 0.2 12.0 5th
6th 0.3 3.0 5.6 2.5 0.3 11.6 6th
7th 0.2 1.9 5.1 2.7 0.4 10.4 7th
8th 0.1 1.5 4.0 3.0 0.4 9.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 1.1 3.4 2.8 0.5 0.0 7.9 9th
10th 0.1 0.9 2.6 2.3 0.5 0.0 6.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.8 1.4 0.2 0.0 4.6 11th
12th 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.0 2.2 12th
Total 0.2 0.7 1.8 3.4 5.3 7.8 9.5 12.0 12.6 12.9 11.3 9.2 6.1 4.3 1.9 0.7 0.3 Total



Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.3    0.3
16-2 92.0% 0.6    0.5 0.2
15-3 68.4% 1.3    0.8 0.4 0.1
14-4 35.2% 1.5    0.6 0.7 0.2 0.0
13-5 10.9% 0.7    0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0
12-6 2.7% 0.3    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 4.7% 4.7 2.4 1.6 0.5 0.1 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.3% 100.0% 33.8% 66.2% 2.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-2 0.7% 100.0% 20.2% 79.8% 3.5 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-3 1.9% 99.3% 22.6% 76.7% 4.8 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.0%
14-4 4.3% 96.8% 17.2% 79.6% 6.2 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.8 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.1 96.1%
13-5 6.1% 92.1% 15.4% 76.7% 7.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.7 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.5 90.6%
12-6 9.2% 81.8% 10.5% 71.4% 8.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.0 1.5 1.7 1.3 1.1 0.1 1.7 79.7%
11-7 11.3% 58.8% 6.0% 52.8% 9.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.3 1.8 2.3 0.3 4.7 56.2%
10-8 12.9% 41.3% 5.0% 36.3% 10.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 1.5 2.1 0.8 7.6 38.2%
9-9 12.6% 19.2% 2.8% 16.4% 10.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.3 0.4 10.2 16.9%
8-10 12.0% 5.5% 1.6% 3.8% 11.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 11.4 3.9%
7-11 9.5% 1.2% 0.6% 0.6% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 9.4 0.6%
6-12 7.8% 0.2% 0.2% 11.1 0.0 0.0 7.7
5-13 5.3% 0.3% 0.3% 12.0 0.0 5.3
4-14 3.4% 0.4% 0.4% 12.0 0.0 3.4
3-15 1.8% 1.8
2-16 0.7% 0.7
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18
Total 100% 35.4% 5.3% 30.1% 8.5 0.2 0.4 0.9 1.5 1.8 2.3 3.5 4.3 5.0 6.1 7.4 1.9 64.6 31.8%