Samford
Southern
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.6#188
Expected Predictive Rating-8.5#284
Pace71.8#122
Improvement+0.3#139

Offense
Total Offense+0.1#171
First Shot-1.5#221
After Offensive Rebound+1.6#97
Layup/Dunks+2.2#96
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.8#23
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.5#326
Freethrows-2.0#283
Improvement-0.1#187

Defense
Total Defense-1.7#218
First Shot+0.3#163
After Offensive Rebounds-2.0#278
Layups/Dunks-2.0#241
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#230
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#166
Freethrows+2.8#47
Improvement+0.4#114
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.6% 2.9% 1.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.2 14.2 14.9
.500 or above 25.7% 29.4% 11.0%
.500 or above in Conference 46.5% 49.4% 34.8%
Conference Champion 2.0% 2.3% 0.9%
Last Place in Conference 4.4% 3.8% 6.8%
First Four0.2% 0.1% 0.3%
First Round2.6% 2.8% 1.5%
Second Round0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Troy (Home) - 79.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 21 - 51 - 8
Quad 33 - 64 - 14
Quad 48 - 413 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 211   @ Morehead St. L 86-90 2OT 43%     0 - 1 -3.7 -3.5 +0.6
  Nov 11, 2019 59   @ Belmont L 63-95 11%     0 - 2 -20.0 -14.0 -2.7
  Nov 16, 2019 297   @ North Alabama L 55-61 62%     0 - 3 -10.8 -15.8 +4.7
  Nov 19, 2019 263   Manhattan W 70-57 74%     1 - 3 +4.5 -0.5 +5.7
  Nov 23, 2019 295   Troy W 78-69 80%    
  Nov 27, 2019 230   @ South Dakota St. L 77-78 46%    
  Nov 30, 2019 88   @ Louisiana Tech L 66-76 17%    
  Dec 07, 2019 296   @ Houston Baptist W 87-84 61%    
  Dec 15, 2019 202   @ Hawaii L 70-72 42%    
  Dec 18, 2019 65   Alabama L 77-87 18%    
  Dec 21, 2019 77   @ Georgetown L 74-86 15%    
  Jan 01, 2020 313   The Citadel W 88-77 84%    
  Jan 04, 2020 322   @ VMI W 76-70 70%    
  Jan 08, 2020 126   Wofford L 74-75 46%    
  Jan 11, 2020 227   @ Chattanooga L 71-72 46%    
  Jan 15, 2020 71   @ East Tennessee St. L 66-78 15%    
  Jan 18, 2020 218   Mercer W 82-78 65%    
  Jan 22, 2020 67   @ Furman L 65-78 13%    
  Jan 25, 2020 90   UNC Greensboro L 66-70 36%    
  Jan 29, 2020 227   Chattanooga W 74-69 67%    
  Feb 01, 2020 126   @ Wofford L 71-78 27%    
  Feb 05, 2020 159   Western Carolina W 78-77 55%    
  Feb 09, 2020 90   @ UNC Greensboro L 63-73 19%    
  Feb 12, 2020 67   Furman L 68-75 27%    
  Feb 15, 2020 313   @ The Citadel W 85-80 66%    
  Feb 19, 2020 218   @ Mercer L 79-81 44%    
  Feb 22, 2020 71   East Tennessee St. L 69-75 31%    
  Feb 26, 2020 159   @ Western Carolina L 75-80 34%    
  Feb 29, 2020 322   VMI W 79-67 84%    
Projected Record 12 - 17 8 - 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.2 1.8 1.0 0.2 0.0 4.5 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.7 2.7 3.3 1.4 0.2 8.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 1.7 4.7 4.3 1.4 0.1 0.0 12.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 3.1 6.5 5.0 1.4 0.1 0.0 16.7 5th
6th 0.1 1.1 4.4 7.2 4.7 1.1 0.0 18.6 6th
7th 0.1 1.5 5.1 6.2 3.2 0.5 0.0 16.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.9 4.5 4.1 1.6 0.2 0.0 12.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.4 2.3 1.6 0.4 0.0 6.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.1 10th
Total 0.0 0.3 0.9 2.4 4.7 7.7 10.7 12.8 14.0 13.5 11.6 8.6 6.0 3.7 1.9 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 93.9% 0.3    0.2 0.0
15-3 69.4% 0.6    0.3 0.2 0.0
14-4 37.6% 0.7    0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
13-5 9.7% 0.4    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 1.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.0% 2.0 0.9 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 24.2% 24.2% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.3% 26.8% 26.8% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
15-3 0.8% 17.1% 17.1% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.7
14-4 1.9% 15.8% 15.8% 13.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.6
13-5 3.7% 10.7% 10.7% 13.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 3.3
12-6 6.0% 7.0% 7.0% 14.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 5.6
11-7 8.6% 4.0% 4.0% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 8.3
10-8 11.6% 3.1% 3.1% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 11.2
9-9 13.5% 2.0% 2.0% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 13.3
8-10 14.0% 1.2% 1.2% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 13.8
7-11 12.8% 0.7% 0.7% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 12.7
6-12 10.7% 0.4% 0.4% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.7
5-13 7.7% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 7.7
4-14 4.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 4.7
3-15 2.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 2.4
2-16 0.9% 0.9
1-17 0.3% 0.3
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 2.6% 2.6% 0.0% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.8 0.7 0.4 97.4 0.0%