Texas St.
Sun Belt
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+0.9#149
Expected Predictive Rating-4.1#244
Pace63.6#320
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-1.1#215
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+2.1#108
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 12.8% 21.9% 12.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.6% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.7 12.8 13.8
.500 or above 72.2% 90.5% 71.0%
.500 or above in Conference 74.2% 87.2% 73.3%
Conference Champion 14.9% 25.4% 14.2%
Last Place in Conference 2.6% 0.8% 2.8%
First Four0.1% 0.3% 0.1%
First Round12.7% 21.8% 12.1%
Second Round1.5% 2.3% 1.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.4% 1.0% 0.3%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Baylor (Away) - 6.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 21 - 4
Quad 35 - 65 - 10
Quad 412 - 317 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2019 178   @ Air Force L 71-78 46%     0 - 1 -5.1 -0.7 -4.5
  Nov 12, 2019 288   Prairie View W 75-48 85%     1 - 1 +17.0 -4.2 +20.6
  Nov 15, 2019 16   @ Baylor L 61-78 6%    
  Nov 18, 2019 318   Jackson St. W 72-58 90%    
  Nov 20, 2019 138   @ UNLV L 64-68 37%    
  Nov 25, 2019 285   Abilene Christian W 68-57 84%    
  Nov 30, 2019 298   Hartford W 70-58 85%    
  Dec 04, 2019 32   @ Houston L 57-71 10%    
  Dec 07, 2019 203   Texas San Antonio W 75-69 71%    
  Dec 19, 2019 109   @ Georgia Southern L 69-74 33%    
  Dec 21, 2019 157   @ Georgia St. L 68-70 42%    
  Jan 02, 2020 200   @ Arkansas Little Rock W 69-68 50%    
  Jan 04, 2020 284   @ Arkansas St. W 70-65 65%    
  Jan 06, 2020 300   Troy W 73-61 85%    
  Jan 09, 2020 196   Coastal Carolina W 73-67 69%    
  Jan 11, 2020 187   Appalachian St. W 73-68 69%    
  Jan 16, 2020 224   @ Louisiana Monroe W 67-65 56%    
  Jan 18, 2020 240   @ Louisiana W 74-72 57%    
  Jan 25, 2020 116   Texas Arlington W 65-64 55%    
  Jan 30, 2020 224   Louisiana Monroe W 70-62 74%    
  Feb 01, 2020 240   Louisiana W 77-69 76%    
  Feb 06, 2020 196   @ Coastal Carolina L 69-70 49%    
  Feb 08, 2020 187   @ Appalachian St. L 70-71 48%    
  Feb 13, 2020 200   Arkansas Little Rock W 71-65 69%    
  Feb 15, 2020 284   Arkansas St. W 73-62 81%    
  Feb 20, 2020 109   Georgia Southern W 72-71 53%    
  Feb 22, 2020 157   Georgia St. W 71-67 63%    
  Feb 29, 2020 116   @ Texas Arlington L 62-67 34%    
  Mar 03, 2020 133   @ South Alabama L 65-69 38%    
Projected Record 17 - 12 12 - 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.3 3.1 4.0 3.2 2.0 0.8 0.2 14.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 2.4 4.5 3.9 1.9 0.6 0.1 14.0 2nd
3rd 0.4 2.8 4.8 3.8 1.3 0.2 13.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 2.7 4.9 2.8 0.6 0.1 11.5 4th
5th 0.2 2.2 4.7 2.6 0.6 0.0 10.2 5th
6th 0.2 1.8 4.3 2.4 0.4 0.0 9.1 6th
7th 0.1 1.3 3.2 2.5 0.5 0.0 7.6 7th
8th 0.1 1.1 2.6 2.3 0.5 0.0 6.5 8th
9th 0.1 0.8 1.9 1.9 0.5 0.0 5.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.4 1.2 0.3 0.0 3.9 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.9 0.8 0.3 0.0 2.7 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.3 0.1 1.4 12th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.2 2.1 3.1 4.5 6.3 8.0 9.8 10.7 11.3 10.9 10.2 8.4 6.1 3.8 2.0 0.8 0.2 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
19-1 100.0% 0.8    0.8 0.0
18-2 95.6% 2.0    1.8 0.2
17-3 84.4% 3.2    2.7 0.6 0.0
16-4 65.6% 4.0    2.4 1.5 0.2 0.0
15-5 37.3% 3.1    1.3 1.3 0.5 0.1
14-6 12.4% 1.3    0.2 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.0
13-7 3.0% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 14.9% 14.9 9.3 4.1 1.2 0.3 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.2% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
19-1 0.8% 55.4% 53.0% 2.4% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 5.1%
18-2 2.0% 43.6% 41.7% 2.0% 12.4 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.1 1.2 3.4%
17-3 3.8% 40.9% 40.9% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.8 0.3 0.1 2.3
16-4 6.1% 35.0% 35.0% 13.3 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.9 0.1 3.9
15-5 8.4% 27.7% 27.7% 13.7 0.2 0.8 1.0 0.4 0.0 6.1
14-6 10.2% 21.8% 21.8% 14.1 0.1 0.4 1.0 0.7 0.1 8.0
13-7 10.9% 13.3% 13.3% 14.4 0.2 0.7 0.5 0.1 9.4
12-8 11.3% 7.0% 7.0% 14.7 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.1 10.5
11-9 10.7% 4.9% 4.9% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 10.2
10-10 9.8% 2.2% 2.2% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 9.6
9-11 8.0% 0.7% 0.7% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.0
8-12 6.3% 0.3% 0.3% 15.5 0.0 0.0 6.2
7-13 4.5% 4.5
6-14 3.1% 3.1
5-15 2.1% 2.1
4-16 1.2% 1.2
3-17 0.5% 0.5
2-18 0.2% 0.2
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 12.8% 12.7% 0.1% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 1.6 3.5 4.2 2.6 0.5 87.3 0.1%