Kansas
Big 12
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+21.1#1
Expected Predictive Rating+19.5#6
Pace68.9#196
Improvement-1.5#247

Offense
Total Offense+9.1#7
First Shot+7.5#13
After Offensive Rebound+1.7#64
Layup/Dunks+9.0#3
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#299
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#182
Freethrows+1.3#90
Improvement-0.9#231

Defense
Total Defense+11.9#1
First Shot+9.6#2
After Offensive Rebounds+2.3#23
Layups/Dunks+5.4#20
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#158
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#200
Freethrows+4.1#9
Improvement-0.6#207
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 30.7% 31.3% 19.5%
#1 Seed 76.6% 77.4% 61.0%
Top 2 Seed 96.4% 96.7% 89.6%
Top 4 Seed 99.8% 99.8% 98.6%
Top 6 Seed 100.0% 100.0% 99.8%
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Average Seed 1.3 1.3 1.6
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 99.3%
Conference Champion 59.1% 60.3% 35.2%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Second Round98.7% 98.8% 97.7%
Sweet Sixteen80.5% 80.8% 75.3%
Elite Eight61.1% 61.6% 53.1%
Final Four43.4% 44.0% 33.4%
Championship Game29.3% 29.7% 20.7%
National Champion19.1% 19.4% 12.7%

Next Game: Kansas St. (Home) - 94.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 1 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a6 - 56 - 5
Quad 1b6 - 112 - 5
Quad 29 - 121 - 6
Quad 33 - 024 - 6
Quad 43 - 027 - 6


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 2   Duke L 66-68 50%     0 - 1 +19.0 -5.2 +24.5
  Nov 08, 2019 86   UNC Greensboro W 74-62 94%     1 - 1 +15.5 +8.5 +7.6
  Nov 15, 2019 213   Monmouth W 112-57 99%     2 - 1 +49.0 +29.7 +15.0
  Nov 19, 2019 75   East Tennessee St. W 75-63 93%     3 - 1 +16.1 +2.3 +13.5
  Nov 26, 2019 33   BYU W 71-56 81%     4 - 1 +26.9 +1.2 +25.5
  Nov 27, 2019 9   Dayton W 90-84 OT 70%     5 - 1 +21.7 +13.2 +7.8
  Dec 07, 2019 26   Colorado W 72-58 85%     6 - 1 +23.7 +5.2 +18.5
  Dec 10, 2019 248   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 95-68 99%     7 - 1 +19.2 +19.0 +0.1
  Dec 14, 2019 243   UMKC W 98-57 99%     8 - 1 +33.7 +18.8 +13.6
  Dec 21, 2019 23   @ Villanova L 55-56 69%     8 - 2 +15.0 -4.7 +19.6
  Dec 29, 2019 41   @ Stanford W 72-56 76%     9 - 2 +29.7 +7.2 +22.0
  Jan 04, 2020 11   West Virginia W 60-53 80%     10 - 2 1 - 0 +19.1 +0.2 +19.4
  Jan 08, 2020 52   @ Iowa St. W 79-53 80%     11 - 2 2 - 0 +38.3 +18.0 +23.0
  Jan 11, 2020 5   Baylor L 55-67 73%     11 - 3 2 - 1 +2.7 -2.5 +3.6
  Jan 14, 2020 48   @ Oklahoma W 66-52 78%     12 - 3 3 - 1 +27.0 +6.2 +22.3
  Jan 18, 2020 54   @ Texas W 66-57 80%     13 - 3 4 - 1 +21.2 +9.4 +12.9
  Jan 21, 2020 85   Kansas St. W 72-55 95%    
  Jan 25, 2020 57   Tennessee W 72-57 92%    
  Jan 27, 2020 68   @ Oklahoma St. W 70-60 83%    
  Feb 01, 2020 22   Texas Tech W 70-59 84%    
  Feb 03, 2020 54   Texas W 71-56 92%    
  Feb 08, 2020 67   @ TCU W 69-59 83%    
  Feb 12, 2020 11   @ West Virginia W 69-66 61%    
  Feb 15, 2020 48   Oklahoma W 77-63 90%    
  Feb 17, 2020 52   Iowa St. W 79-64 91%    
  Feb 22, 2020 5   @ Baylor W 66-65 52%    
  Feb 24, 2020 68   Oklahoma St. W 73-57 94%    
  Feb 29, 2020 85   @ Kansas St. W 70-58 86%    
  Mar 04, 2020 67   TCU W 72-56 93%    
  Mar 07, 2020 22   @ Texas Tech W 67-62 67%    
Projected Record 25 - 5 15 - 3





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.2 1.9 8.5 18.6 20.7 9.2 59.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 2.9 8.5 12.1 8.6 2.3 34.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.0 1.4 0.3 0.0 4.9 3rd
4th 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.0 1.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.0 0.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.8 5.4 11.8 20.8 27.2 23.0 9.2 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 9.2    8.8 0.4
16-2 89.9% 20.7    16.8 3.9
15-3 68.3% 18.6    12.5 5.9 0.1
14-4 40.7% 8.5    3.9 3.9 0.6 0.0
13-5 16.0% 1.9    0.5 1.0 0.4 0.0
12-6 3.8% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 59.1% 59.1 42.6 15.2 1.2 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 9.2% 100.0% 61.4% 38.6% 1.1 8.7 0.5 0.0 100.0%
16-2 23.0% 100.0% 55.2% 44.8% 1.1 20.9 2.1 0.0 100.0%
15-3 27.2% 100.0% 49.7% 50.3% 1.1 23.2 4.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 20.8% 100.0% 44.3% 55.7% 1.3 15.4 5.2 0.2 0.0 100.0%
13-5 11.8% 100.0% 37.5% 62.5% 1.5 6.5 4.7 0.7 0.0 100.0%
12-6 5.4% 100.0% 32.6% 67.4% 1.9 1.7 2.5 1.0 0.2 0.0 100.0%
11-7 1.8% 100.0% 26.0% 74.0% 2.6 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.0 0.0 100.0%
10-8 0.6% 100.0% 25.0% 75.0% 3.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
9-9 0.2% 100.0% 19.4% 80.6% 4.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
8-10 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
7-11 0.0% 0.0
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 48.0% 52.0% 1.3 76.6 19.8 2.7 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 5.4% 100.0% 1.0 96.7 3.3
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 1.5% 100.0% 1.1 93.4 6.6
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 1.2% 100.0% 1.1 92.9 7.1