Nevada
Mountain West
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+4.0#102
Expected Predictive Rating+4.1#121
Pace77.4#43
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+2.0#110
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+2.0#110
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.2% 0.4% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.2% 11.5% 5.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 2.5% 4.2% 1.1%
Average Seed 11.4 11.1 12.0
.500 or above 76.4% 87.4% 67.6%
.500 or above in Conference 78.5% 84.8% 73.4%
Conference Champion 6.4% 8.4% 4.8%
Last Place in Conference 0.6% 0.3% 0.9%
First Four1.5% 2.4% 0.8%
First Round7.4% 10.1% 5.3%
Second Round1.9% 2.9% 1.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.5% 0.8% 0.3%
Elite Eight0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Final Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: USC (Home) - 44.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b1 - 21 - 4
Quad 22 - 43 - 8
Quad 37 - 49 - 12
Quad 48 - 117 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 82   Utah L 74-79 52%     0 - 1 -1.5 -4.3 +3.1
  Nov 09, 2019 146   Loyola Marymount W 72-67 72%     1 - 1 +3.0 -0.6 +3.6
  Nov 12, 2019 116   Texas Arlington W 80-73 67%     2 - 1 +6.6 -1.3 +7.0
  Nov 16, 2019 60   USC L 77-79 44%    
  Nov 19, 2019 85   @ Davidson L 69-74 33%    
  Nov 22, 2019 229   Fordham W 71-63 76%    
  Dec 04, 2019 117   Santa Clara W 76-72 67%    
  Dec 07, 2019 178   @ Air Force W 75-73 58%    
  Dec 10, 2019 72   @ BYU L 79-85 28%    
  Dec 18, 2019 268   Texas Southern W 90-77 87%    
  Dec 21, 2019 37   St. Mary's L 65-72 26%    
  Jan 01, 2020 190   Colorado St. W 80-71 78%    
  Jan 04, 2020 103   Boise St. W 77-74 61%    
  Jan 08, 2020 320   @ San Jose St. W 81-70 84%    
  Jan 11, 2020 23   @ Utah St. L 70-82 15%    
  Jan 14, 2020 283   Wyoming W 70-56 88%    
  Jan 18, 2020 53   @ San Diego St. L 68-76 25%    
  Jan 22, 2020 138   UNLV W 77-72 68%    
  Jan 25, 2020 86   New Mexico W 85-84 53%    
  Jan 29, 2020 190   @ Colorado St. W 77-74 58%    
  Feb 01, 2020 103   @ Boise St. L 74-77 41%    
  Feb 04, 2020 178   Air Force W 78-70 75%    
  Feb 08, 2020 320   San Jose St. W 84-67 93%    
  Feb 12, 2020 138   @ UNLV L 74-75 49%    
  Feb 18, 2020 86   @ New Mexico L 82-87 34%    
  Feb 22, 2020 124   Fresno St. W 76-71 66%    
  Feb 25, 2020 283   @ Wyoming W 67-59 75%    
  Feb 29, 2020 53   San Diego St. L 71-73 44%    
Projected Record 16 - 12 11 - 7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Mountain West Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 1.5 2.3 1.5 0.5 0.1 6.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.7 4.7 4.8 2.4 0.4 0.1 14.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 3.3 6.7 4.9 1.6 0.1 17.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 4.1 7.0 4.3 0.8 0.0 17.2 4th
5th 0.6 3.9 6.1 3.3 0.5 0.0 14.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 3.1 5.2 2.6 0.3 11.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 2.5 3.6 1.6 0.1 8.3 7th
8th 0.1 0.6 1.7 2.4 1.2 0.1 6.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 1.3 0.5 0.1 3.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.1 1.1 10th
11th 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 11th
Total 0.1 0.4 0.9 2.1 3.6 5.8 8.6 11.7 13.4 14.2 13.2 10.8 7.9 4.8 1.9 0.6 0.1 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 89.7% 0.5    0.5 0.1
16-2 79.4% 1.5    1.1 0.4
15-3 48.5% 2.3    1.0 1.1 0.2 0.0
14-4 18.7% 1.5    0.5 0.6 0.4 0.1
13-5 4.3% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 6.4% 6.4 3.3 2.4 0.7 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.6% 63.8% 19.0% 44.8% 8.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 55.3%
16-2 1.9% 58.2% 24.3% 33.9% 9.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.5 0.1 0.8 44.8%
15-3 4.8% 35.3% 20.6% 14.7% 10.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.8 0.4 0.0 3.1 18.5%
14-4 7.9% 17.7% 12.6% 5.1% 11.7 0.1 0.5 0.8 0.1 0.0 6.5 5.8%
13-5 10.8% 13.9% 12.2% 1.8% 11.9 0.0 0.4 0.8 0.3 0.1 9.3 2.0%
12-6 13.2% 6.2% 5.9% 0.3% 12.4 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 12.3 0.3%
11-7 14.2% 4.0% 4.0% 12.6 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.1 13.7
10-8 13.4% 2.5% 2.5% 0.1% 13.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 13.0 0.1%
9-9 11.7% 1.9% 1.9% 13.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 11.5
8-10 8.6% 0.8% 0.8% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.5
7-11 5.8% 1.0% 1.0% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.8
6-12 3.6% 0.6% 0.6% 14.0 0.0 3.6
5-13 2.1% 2.1
4-14 0.9% 0.9
3-15 0.4% 0.4
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 8.2% 5.9% 2.3% 11.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.5 2.4 2.9 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.0 91.8 2.5%