Bradley
Missouri Valley
2019-20 - 2020-21 - 2021-22
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Overall
Predictive Rating+3.7#114
Expected Predictive Rating+3.1#129
Pace66.1#267
Improvement-4.0#334

Offense
Total Offense+1.3#138
First Shot+0.1#172
After Offensive Rebound+1.2#106
Layup/Dunks-1.1#215
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.2#24
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#227
Freethrows-1.5#267
Improvement+1.3#81

Defense
Total Defense+2.4#109
First Shot+2.2#103
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#162
Layups/Dunks+6.5#10
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#224
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.2#326
Freethrows+1.3#103
Improvement-5.2#346
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.5% 7.0% 3.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.5 13.1 13.9
.500 or above 65.9% 83.7% 58.6%
.500 or above in Conference 63.7% 82.0% 56.3%
Conference Champion 0.2% 0.6% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 2.0% 0.5% 2.6%
First Four0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
First Round4.5% 6.9% 3.5%
Second Round0.7% 1.1% 0.5%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Loyola Chicago (Home) - 29.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b1 - 21 - 4
Quad 23 - 44 - 8
Quad 32 - 36 - 11
Quad 48 - 214 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 76   Toledo W 61-59 37%     1 - 0 +9.2 -8.1 +17.5
  Nov 26, 2020 45   @ Xavier L 50-51 20%     1 - 1 +11.8 -7.7 +19.3
  Nov 27, 2020 253   Oakland W 74-60 82%     2 - 1 +8.2 -8.0 +15.3
  Dec 04, 2020 102   South Dakota St. L 84-88 53%     2 - 2 -1.1 +5.2 -6.0
  Dec 17, 2020 311   Jackson St. W 83-60 92%     3 - 2 +11.5 +2.8 +7.1
  Dec 19, 2020 166   Miami (OH) W 69-68 72%     4 - 2 -1.4 +3.6 -4.8
  Dec 22, 2020 38   @ Missouri L 53-54 18%     4 - 3 +12.4 -10.4 +22.8
  Jan 10, 2021 148   @ Northern Iowa L 72-78 53%     4 - 4 0 - 1 -3.0 -1.9 -0.9
  Jan 11, 2021 148   @ Northern Iowa W 75-73 53%     5 - 4 1 - 1 +5.0 +3.2 +1.8
  Jan 16, 2021 241   Evansville W 69-60 84%     6 - 4 2 - 1 +2.1 +7.2 -3.1
  Jan 17, 2021 241   Evansville W 86-55 84%     7 - 4 3 - 1 +24.1 +17.9 +9.4
  Jan 20, 2021 208   @ Illinois St. L 56-71 69%     7 - 5 3 - 2 -16.3 -16.6 +0.2
  Jan 24, 2021 29   Loyola Chicago L 61-68 29%    
  Jan 25, 2021 29   Loyola Chicago L 61-68 29%    
  Jan 28, 2021 220   @ Valparaiso W 71-65 67%    
  Jan 30, 2021 125   @ Indiana St. L 67-68 42%    
  Jan 31, 2021 125   @ Indiana St. L 67-68 42%    
  Feb 06, 2021 174   Southern Illinois W 70-64 76%    
  Feb 07, 2021 174   Southern Illinois W 70-64 76%    
  Feb 10, 2021 220   @ Valparaiso W 71-65 67%    
  Feb 13, 2021 92   @ Missouri St. L 69-73 32%    
  Feb 14, 2021 92   @ Missouri St. L 69-73 32%    
  Feb 17, 2021 208   @ Illinois St. W 72-67 64%    
  Feb 26, 2021 46   Drake L 67-72 35%    
  Feb 27, 2021 46   Drake L 67-72 35%    
Projected Record 13 - 12 9 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 1st
2nd 0.1 0.7 1.6 1.1 0.4 0.0 3.9 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.1 4.5 5.2 2.3 0.3 0.0 13.5 3rd
4th 0.1 1.8 6.3 6.5 2.1 0.2 0.0 16.9 4th
5th 0.1 2.1 8.3 7.6 2.5 0.2 20.9 5th
6th 0.1 2.6 8.2 7.5 1.9 0.2 0.0 20.5 6th
7th 0.0 1.6 5.8 4.9 1.0 0.1 13.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.7 3.0 2.6 0.5 0.0 6.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.4 1.2 0.3 0.0 3.2 9th
10th 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.7 10th
Total 0.1 0.6 2.4 6.0 11.3 15.8 18.7 17.0 13.6 8.3 4.1 1.5 0.5 0.1 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 46.9% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-3 20.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 3.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 0.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.1% 40.6% 21.9% 18.8% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 24.0%
15-3 0.5% 27.4% 21.3% 6.1% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.3 7.7%
14-4 1.5% 18.7% 17.9% 0.8% 12.2 0.0 0.2 0.1 1.2 1.0%
13-5 4.1% 14.4% 14.4% 12.7 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 3.5
12-6 8.3% 9.6% 9.6% 13.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 7.5
11-7 13.6% 6.2% 6.2% 13.4 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.0 12.8
10-8 17.0% 4.5% 4.5% 13.8 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 16.3
9-9 18.7% 3.1% 3.1% 14.5 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.0 18.1
8-10 15.8% 1.8% 1.8% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 15.5
7-11 11.3% 1.5% 1.5% 15.8 0.0 0.1 11.2
6-12 6.0% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 6.0
5-13 2.4% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 2.4
4-14 0.6% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 0.6
3-15 0.1% 0.1
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 4.5% 4.5% 0.1% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.6 1.1 0.7 0.3 95.5 0.1%