Missouri
Southeastern
2019-20 - 2020-21 - 2021-22
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+11.6#36
Expected Predictive Rating+18.0#11
Pace70.3#172
Improvement-3.7#333

Offense
Total Offense+4.2#72
First Shot+2.5#110
After Offensive Rebound+1.6#84
Layup/Dunks+6.8#12
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#294
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.5#321
Freethrows+3.7#13
Improvement-3.3#336

Defense
Total Defense+7.4#15
First Shot+8.2#4
After Offensive Rebounds-0.8#233
Layups/Dunks+6.1#13
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.8#337
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.5#10
Freethrows-0.6#214
Improvement-0.5#214
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
#1 Seed 1.2% 1.6% 0.3%
Top 2 Seed 4.8% 6.3% 1.4%
Top 4 Seed 23.5% 28.3% 12.1%
Top 6 Seed 53.1% 60.3% 35.9%
NCAA Tourney Bid 90.0% 93.8% 81.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 89.4% 93.3% 80.5%
Average Seed 6.3 6.0 7.2
.500 or above 97.8% 98.8% 95.3%
.500 or above in Conference 54.1% 63.2% 32.5%
Conference Champion 0.5% 0.7% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 1.0% 0.4% 2.4%
First Four4.0% 2.8% 6.9%
First Round87.7% 92.3% 76.8%
Second Round51.7% 56.5% 40.5%
Sweet Sixteen21.0% 24.0% 13.8%
Elite Eight7.4% 8.6% 4.4%
Final Four2.7% 3.0% 1.8%
Championship Game0.8% 0.9% 0.4%
National Champion0.2% 0.2% 0.1%

Next Game: South Carolina (Home) - 70.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 6 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a3 - 33 - 3
Quad 1b3 - 26 - 5
Quad 25 - 211 - 8
Quad 35 - 116 - 8
Quad 41 - 017 - 8


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 159   Oral Roberts W 91-64 88%     1 - 0 +25.5 +6.9 +17.0
  Dec 02, 2020 21   Oregon W 83-75 39%     2 - 0 +22.3 +14.8 +7.4
  Dec 06, 2020 56   @ Wichita St. W 72-62 50%     3 - 0 +21.5 +6.3 +15.6
  Dec 09, 2020 119   Liberty W 69-60 82%     4 - 0 +11.0 +6.0 +6.1
  Dec 12, 2020 9   Illinois W 81-78 36%     5 - 0 +18.1 +7.5 +10.4
  Dec 22, 2020 99   Bradley W 54-53 78%     6 - 0 +4.3 -15.6 +20.0
  Dec 30, 2020 5   Tennessee L 53-73 33%     6 - 1 0 - 1 -4.0 -10.5 +6.6
  Jan 02, 2021 42   @ Arkansas W 81-68 44%     7 - 1 1 - 1 +26.0 +3.9 +20.4
  Jan 05, 2021 68   @ Mississippi St. L 63-78 56%     7 - 2 1 - 2 -5.1 -1.0 -5.4
  Jan 16, 2021 118   @ Texas A&M W 68-52 72%     8 - 2 2 - 2 +21.4 +6.1 +16.6
  Jan 19, 2021 62   South Carolina W 75-71 70%    
  Jan 23, 2021 5   @ Tennessee L 61-69 19%    
  Jan 26, 2021 67   @ Auburn W 72-71 51%    
  Jan 30, 2021 103   TCU W 71-63 81%    
  Feb 02, 2021 57   Kentucky W 69-65 67%    
  Feb 06, 2021 13   Alabama L 75-78 46%    
  Feb 10, 2021 70   @ Mississippi W 69-67 52%    
  Feb 13, 2021 42   Arkansas W 76-74 63%    
  Feb 16, 2021 96   @ Georgia W 78-73 62%    
  Feb 20, 2021 62   @ South Carolina W 74-73 48%    
  Feb 23, 2021 70   Mississippi W 70-65 71%    
  Feb 27, 2021 118   Texas A&M W 68-58 84%    
  Mar 03, 2021 33   @ Florida L 70-72 37%    
Projected Record 15 - 8 9 - 7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.4 0.9 0.1 2.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.8 3.4 2.9 0.4 0.0 7.6 3rd
4th 0.1 0.9 5.2 5.8 1.2 13.2 4th
5th 0.4 5.1 7.2 1.9 0.1 14.7 5th
6th 2.6 7.4 2.8 0.1 13.0 6th
7th 0.7 6.7 4.1 0.6 12.1 7th
8th 0.2 2.8 6.3 0.8 0.0 10.2 8th
9th 0.9 5.3 2.2 0.1 8.6 9th
10th 0.3 3.0 3.3 0.4 7.1 10th
11th 0.1 1.1 3.3 0.5 0.0 5.0 11th
12th 0.0 0.5 1.7 1.1 0.1 3.4 12th
13th 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.9 0.1 1.9 13th
14th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.3 14th
Total 0.0 0.3 1.4 4.1 8.6 12.7 18.7 18.5 16.6 11.6 5.6 1.5 0.4 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 60.5% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 14.3% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
12-6 1.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.5% 0.5 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.4% 100.0% 30.4% 69.6% 1.8 0.1 0.2 0.1 100.0%
13-5 1.5% 100.0% 22.0% 78.0% 2.1 0.4 0.7 0.4 0.1 100.0%
12-6 5.6% 100.0% 18.5% 81.5% 2.8 0.6 1.5 2.2 1.0 0.2 0.0 100.0%
11-7 11.6% 100.0% 10.5% 89.5% 3.9 0.1 0.8 3.4 3.9 2.4 0.8 0.1 100.0%
10-8 16.6% 100.0% 7.0% 93.0% 4.9 0.0 0.4 1.7 3.7 5.3 4.2 1.0 0.2 0.0 100.0%
9-9 18.5% 99.9% 3.9% 95.9% 6.0 0.0 0.2 1.6 4.3 6.3 4.1 1.5 0.4 0.0 0.0 99.9%
8-10 18.7% 98.5% 3.4% 95.2% 7.2 0.1 0.3 1.5 4.0 4.8 4.4 2.6 0.7 0.2 0.3 98.5%
7-11 12.7% 91.0% 1.8% 89.1% 9.4 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 1.7 2.8 2.9 2.1 0.9 0.1 1.2 90.8%
6-12 8.6% 61.3% 0.9% 60.3% 11.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.8 1.7 2.0 0.4 0.0 3.3 60.9%
5-13 4.1% 15.9% 0.5% 15.4% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 3.5 15.4%
4-14 1.4% 1.4% 1.4% 12.0 0.0 1.4 1.4%
3-15 0.3% 0.3
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 90.0% 5.6% 84.5% 6.3 1.2 3.6 8.1 10.5 13.8 15.7 10.6 8.0 6.1 4.3 4.1 3.2 0.6 0.1 10.0 89.4%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1% 100.0% 1.6 60.0 20.0 20.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.1% 100.0% 2.0 100.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.1% 100.0% 1.8 33.6 49.1 17.2