DePaul
Big East
2019-20 - 2020-21 - 2021-22
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Overall
Predictive Rating+5.7#93
Expected Predictive Rating+2.7#130
Pace74.1#67
Improvement+0.7#132

Offense
Total Offense+0.3#165
First Shot-0.5#187
After Offensive Rebound+0.8#130
Layup/Dunks+3.8#47
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#264
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#176
Freethrows-2.3#303
Improvement-1.4#267

Defense
Total Defense+5.4#47
First Shot+5.9#30
After Offensive Rebounds-0.5#208
Layups/Dunks+2.1#112
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#231
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.5#46
Freethrows+0.9#129
Improvement+2.1#49
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.8% 1.2% 0.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.3% 0.5% 0.1%
Average Seed 12.2 12.0 13.2
.500 or above 7.5% 11.7% 2.3%
.500 or above in Conference 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 45.4% 33.2% 60.5%
First Four0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
First Round0.7% 1.0% 0.3%
Second Round0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: St. John's (Home) - 55.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b1 - 31 - 6
Quad 21 - 43 - 10
Quad 32 - 25 - 12
Quad 42 - 07 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Dec 23, 2020 320   Western Illinois W 91-72 94%     1 - 0 +6.5 +0.8 +3.5
  Dec 27, 2020 58   @ Providence L 90-95 2OT 27%     1 - 1 0 - 1 +6.9 +1.7 +6.3
  Dec 30, 2020 23   @ Connecticut L 61-82 19%     1 - 2 0 - 2 -6.0 -5.1 -0.5
  Jan 09, 2021 40   Seton Hall L 68-76 34%     1 - 3 0 - 3 +1.8 -2.3 +4.2
  Jan 11, 2021 23   Connecticut L 53-60 28%     1 - 4 0 - 4 +4.6 -10.5 +14.8
  Jan 16, 2021 200   Valparaiso W 77-58 83%     2 - 4 +14.5 +0.3 +13.4
  Jan 19, 2021 85   Butler L 53-67 52%     2 - 5 0 - 5 -8.9 -13.3 +3.8
  Jan 23, 2021 63   @ Marquette W 68-61 31%     3 - 5 1 - 5 +17.7 -2.4 +20.0
  Jan 27, 2021 79   St. John's W 77-76 55%    
  Jan 30, 2021 12   Creighton L 69-78 25%    
  Feb 06, 2021 85   @ Butler L 62-65 35%    
  Feb 09, 2021 5   @ Villanova L 64-78 8%    
  Feb 11, 2021 47   @ Xavier L 67-74 22%    
  Feb 13, 2021 58   Providence L 69-72 44%    
  Feb 17, 2021 40   @ Seton Hall L 68-75 21%    
  Feb 24, 2021 12   @ Creighton L 67-79 11%    
  Feb 27, 2021 108   Georgetown W 73-70 65%    
  Mar 02, 2021 63   Marquette L 70-72 49%    
Projected Record 6 - 12 4 - 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 4th
5th 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.9 1.1 0.1 2.2 6th
7th 0.0 1.1 3.0 0.7 0.0 4.8 7th
8th 0.1 1.5 5.5 2.5 0.1 9.7 8th
9th 0.2 3.0 9.0 5.7 0.5 0.0 18.4 9th
10th 1.4 8.4 15.0 9.0 1.2 0.0 35.0 10th
11th 2.7 8.6 10.7 5.7 1.0 0.0 28.8 11th
Total 2.7 10.0 19.4 23.7 20.6 13.5 6.9 2.4 0.6 0.1 0.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

With games being cancelled frequently this season, the conference records below may not be accurate. The number of wins in the table below are based on games that are currently scheduled and appear in the schedule above.
Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-10 0.1% 61.0% 7.6% 53.4% 9.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 57.8%
9-11 0.6% 28.8% 6.1% 22.7% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.4 24.2%
8-12 2.4% 6.2% 2.3% 3.9% 11.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 2.3 4.0%
7-13 6.9% 1.5% 1.3% 0.2% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 6.8 0.2%
6-14 13.5% 0.8% 0.8% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 13.4
5-15 20.6% 0.5% 0.5% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 20.5
4-16 23.7% 0.1% 0.1% 15.6 0.0 0.0 23.7
3-17 19.4% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 19.4
2-18 10.0% 10.0
1-19 2.7% 2.7
0-20
Total 100% 0.8% 0.5% 0.3% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 99.2 0.3%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 2.7%