Georgetown
Big East
2019-20 - 2020-21 - 2021-22
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Overall
Predictive Rating+4.5#108
Expected Predictive Rating-1.4#181
Pace73.2#85
Improvement-1.2#237

Offense
Total Offense+2.0#114
First Shot-0.6#189
After Offensive Rebound+2.6#45
Layup/Dunks-4.5#311
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#90
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.3#71
Freethrows-0.8#231
Improvement-1.1#246

Defense
Total Defense+2.4#111
First Shot+3.3#78
After Offensive Rebounds-0.9#238
Layups/Dunks+3.4#68
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#267
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#208
Freethrows+1.8#63
Improvement-0.1#190
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.3% 0.5% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.4 13.1 14.3
.500 or above 0.5% 1.1% 0.1%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 63.4% 48.5% 73.3%
First Four0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
First Round0.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Providence (Home) - 39.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 40 - 4
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 8
Quad 22 - 52 - 13
Quad 33 - 25 - 15
Quad 41 - 06 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 173   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 70-62 75%     1 - 0 +5.5 -10.2 +14.7
  Dec 01, 2020 178   Navy L 71-78 76%     1 - 1 -9.9 -3.1 -6.9
  Dec 06, 2020 17   West Virginia L 71-80 19%     1 - 2 +4.6 +1.7 +3.2
  Dec 08, 2020 313   Coppin St. W 80-48 93%     2 - 2 +20.3 -2.3 +19.7
  Dec 11, 2020 5   Villanova L 63-76 14%     2 - 3 0 - 1 +3.2 +0.7 +1.5
  Dec 13, 2020 79   St. John's W 97-94 OT 46%     3 - 3 1 - 1 +8.5 +7.7 +0.3
  Dec 20, 2020 79   @ St. John's L 83-94 33%     3 - 4 1 - 2 -2.2 +6.0 -7.2
  Dec 23, 2020 40   @ Seton Hall L 67-78 20%     3 - 5 1 - 3 +2.1 -4.4 +7.2
  Jan 02, 2021 63   Marquette L 60-64 39%     3 - 6 1 - 4 +3.4 -11.3 +14.8
  Jan 06, 2021 85   @ Butler L 55-63 35%     3 - 7 1 - 5 +0.4 -7.6 +7.4
  Jan 09, 2021 46   @ Syracuse L 69-74 22%     3 - 8 +7.7 +5.2 +2.2
  Jan 30, 2021 58   Providence L 70-74 40%    
  Feb 03, 2021 12   @ Creighton L 69-82 8%    
  Feb 09, 2021 12   Creighton L 70-80 21%    
  Feb 13, 2021 85   Butler L 65-66 53%    
  Feb 17, 2021 5   @ Villanova L 65-80 6%    
  Feb 20, 2021 40   Seton Hall L 71-76 35%    
  Feb 23, 2021 23   Connecticut L 65-72 30%    
  Feb 27, 2021 93   @ DePaul L 70-73 35%    
  Mar 02, 2021 47   Xavier L 70-75 37%    
  Mar 06, 2021 23   @ Connecticut L 63-74 14%    
Projected Record 6 - 15 4 - 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 0.5 0.1 1.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 1.6 0.4 0.0 2.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.9 3.3 1.6 0.1 5.9 8th
9th 0.1 2.1 6.2 4.0 0.3 0.0 12.7 9th
10th 1.3 7.5 13.6 8.3 1.1 0.0 31.9 10th
11th 5.6 14.7 16.1 7.8 1.2 0.0 45.5 11th
Total 5.6 16.0 23.8 23.5 16.6 9.1 3.9 1.2 0.3 0.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

With games being cancelled frequently this season, the conference records below may not be accurate. The number of wins in the table below are based on games that are currently scheduled and appear in the schedule above.
Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 0.0% 68.1% 4.3% 63.8% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 66.7%
9-11 0.3% 15.1% 6.3% 8.9% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 9.4%
8-12 1.2% 3.9% 3.0% 0.8% 11.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.2 0.8%
7-13 3.9% 1.0% 1.0% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.9
6-14 9.1% 0.4% 0.4% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.0
5-15 16.6% 0.3% 0.3% 15.7 0.0 0.0 16.6
4-16 23.5% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 23.5
3-17 23.8% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 23.8
2-18 16.0% 16.0
1-19 5.6% 5.6
0-20
Total 100% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 99.7 0.1%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 5.6%