Presbyterian
Big South
2019-20 - 2020-21 - 2021-22
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Overall
Predictive Rating-14.7#339
Expected Predictive Rating-13.0#321
Pace66.0#273
Improvement+0.6#139

Offense
Total Offense-8.4#332
First Shot-11.2#345
After Offensive Rebound+2.8#40
Layup/Dunks-5.7#333
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#191
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.0#323
Freethrows+1.0#119
Improvement-1.1#249

Defense
Total Defense-6.3#324
First Shot-6.4#329
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#163
Layups/Dunks-8.1#343
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.3#11
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#178
Freethrows-1.5#269
Improvement+1.6#68
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 1.9% 10.4% 1.3%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.3% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 49.4% 25.7% 51.0%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Winthrop (Home) - 6.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 30 - 30 - 5
Quad 45 - 85 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Dec 02, 2020 291   @ Jacksonville L 65-78 21%     0 - 1 -19.1 -15.3 -2.6
  Dec 18, 2020 345   South Carolina St. W 62-56 74%     1 - 1 -15.2 -17.2 +2.3
  Dec 22, 2020 269   @ The Citadel L 82-94 18%     1 - 2 -16.9 -4.2 -11.9
  Dec 30, 2020 243   Radford L 65-71 23%     1 - 3 0 - 1 -12.8 -1.3 -12.3
  Dec 31, 2020 243   Radford W 65-63 23%     2 - 3 1 - 1 -4.8 -3.5 -1.0
  Jan 14, 2021 270   @ Campbell L 46-48 18%     2 - 4 1 - 2 -6.9 -22.8 +15.6
  Jan 15, 2021 270   @ Campbell L 51-73 18%     2 - 5 1 - 3 -26.9 -19.5 -9.5
  Jan 19, 2021 109   Winthrop L 67-84 6%    
  Jan 20, 2021 109   Winthrop L 67-84 7%    
  Jan 24, 2021 278   @ High Point L 62-71 16%    
  Jan 25, 2021 278   @ High Point L 62-71 17%    
  Jan 29, 2021 304   Longwood L 62-66 41%    
  Jan 30, 2021 304   Longwood L 62-66 40%    
  Feb 11, 2021 311   @ Hampton L 67-74 23%    
  Feb 12, 2021 311   @ Hampton L 67-74 23%    
  Feb 18, 2021 336   Charleston Southern W 66-65 57%    
  Feb 19, 2021 336   Charleston Southern W 66-65 57%    
Projected Record 5 - 12 4 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.4 5th
6th 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 1.3 6th
7th 0.1 1.3 1.8 0.3 0.0 3.5 7th
8th 0.1 2.4 4.3 1.3 0.1 8.1 8th
9th 0.2 3.6 7.7 3.3 0.2 0.0 15.0 9th
10th 2.0 11.2 16.6 7.1 0.7 0.0 37.6 10th
11th 5.0 12.9 12.0 3.8 0.2 33.8 11th
Total 5.0 14.9 23.4 24.1 17.4 9.7 4.0 1.3 0.3 0.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 0.0% 0.0
9-11 0.3% 0.3
8-12 1.3% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.0 1.3
7-13 4.0% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 3.9
6-14 9.7% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 9.7
5-15 17.4% 17.4
4-16 24.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 24.1
3-17 23.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 23.4
2-18 14.9% 14.9
1-19 5.0% 5.0
0-20
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 16.0 0.1 99.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 4.2%