Campbell
Big South
2019-20 - 2020-21 - 2021-22
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.0#274
Expected Predictive Rating-6.5#260
Pace65.7#273
Improvement+1.0#103

Offense
Total Offense-2.9#248
First Shot+1.9#127
After Offensive Rebound-4.8#344
Layup/Dunks-0.9#206
2 Pt Jumpshots+5.3#16
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#220
Freethrows-1.1#241
Improvement-0.8#233

Defense
Total Defense-4.1#288
First Shot-1.2#203
After Offensive Rebounds-2.9#329
Layups/Dunks-0.9#205
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#230
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#128
Freethrows-1.0#236
Improvement+1.8#54
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.9% 3.2% 1.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 34.8% 40.4% 9.3%
.500 or above in Conference 5.6% 6.8% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.2% 0.0% 0.9%
First Four2.2% 2.4% 1.2%
First Round1.6% 1.8% 0.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Charleston Southern (Home) - 82.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 00 - 3
Quad 32 - 42 - 7
Quad 49 - 511 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Dec 08, 2020 289   @ Jacksonville W 80-78 46%     1 - 0 -4.0 +6.7 -10.7
  Dec 09, 2020 292   New Orleans W 79-70 54%     2 - 0 +1.1 +0.7 +0.4
  Dec 16, 2020 246   @ Elon L 56-66 37%     2 - 1 -13.5 -12.9 -1.6
  Dec 19, 2020 68   @ North Carolina St. L 50-69 7%     2 - 2 -9.0 -20.4 +11.8
  Dec 21, 2020 205   UNC Wilmington L 59-78 42%     2 - 3 -23.8 -15.8 -8.5
  Dec 30, 2020 112   @ Winthrop L 83-84 12%     2 - 4 0 - 1 +5.0 +1.6 +3.5
  Dec 31, 2020 112   @ Winthrop L 76-94 12%     2 - 5 0 - 2 -12.0 -2.1 -8.0
  Jan 04, 2021 200   @ Gardner-Webb W 70-61 28%     3 - 5 1 - 2 +8.0 +2.1 +6.8
  Jan 05, 2021 200   @ Gardner-Webb L 70-85 28%     3 - 6 1 - 3 -16.0 -1.5 -15.3
  Jan 09, 2021 283   @ Longwood W 64-58 45%     4 - 6 2 - 3 +0.3 -7.3 +8.0
  Jan 10, 2021 283   @ Longwood L 69-78 45%     4 - 7 2 - 4 -14.7 +4.8 -20.9
  Jan 14, 2021 339   Presbyterian W 48-46 80%     5 - 7 3 - 4 -14.0 -24.4 +10.7
  Jan 15, 2021 339   Presbyterian W 73-51 80%     6 - 7 4 - 4 +6.0 +0.7 +7.5
  Jan 19, 2021 224   Radford L 91-97 3OT 46%     6 - 8 4 - 5 -11.9 -3.5 -7.1
  Jan 20, 2021 224   Radford L 61-67 46%     6 - 9 4 - 6 -11.9 -6.0 -6.7
  Jan 24, 2021 335   Charleston Southern W 71-63 82%    
  Jan 25, 2021 335   Charleston Southern W 71-63 82%    
  Feb 11, 2021 239   @ UNC Asheville L 71-75 32%    
  Feb 12, 2021 239   @ UNC Asheville L 71-75 32%    
  Feb 18, 2021 316   South Carolina Upstate W 73-68 73%    
  Feb 19, 2021 316   South Carolina Upstate W 73-68 73%    
Projected Record 10 - 11 8 - 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big South Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.1 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.3 3.6 6.0 3rd
4th 0.0 2.8 9.3 1.7 13.8 4th
5th 0.0 2.5 16.2 8.1 0.2 27.2 5th
6th 0.8 10.0 12.3 0.4 23.6 6th
7th 0.2 4.4 11.5 2.6 18.7 7th
8th 0.9 4.9 1.8 7.6 8th
9th 0.1 1.4 1.1 0.0 2.7 9th
10th 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 11th
Total 0.3 2.7 11.3 25.9 34.0 20.1 5.6 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 5.6% 6.6% 6.6% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 5.2
9-11 20.1% 4.6% 4.6% 15.9 0.1 0.9 19.2
8-12 34.0% 3.1% 3.1% 16.0 0.0 1.0 32.9
7-13 25.9% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.4 25.5
6-14 11.3% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 11.2
5-15 2.7% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 2.7
4-16 0.3% 2.8% 2.8% 16.0 0.0 0.3
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 2.9% 2.9% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.2 2.6 97.1 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.4% 100.0% 15.6 2.4 38.2 59.3
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 1.2%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 1.9%
Lose Out 0.2%