Pepperdine
West Coast
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.7#235
Expected Predictive Rating-6.9#274
Pace71.9#109
Improvement+3.4#10

Offense
Total Offense-2.5#252
First Shot-1.2#211
After Offensive Rebound-1.3#260
Layup/Dunks-4.9#327
2 Pt Jumpshots+5.5#10
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#178
Freethrows-1.4#264
Improvement+1.9#27

Defense
Total Defense-1.2#215
First Shot-1.5#232
After Offensive Rebounds+0.4#150
Layups/Dunks-5.5#322
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#145
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#108
Freethrows+1.4#110
Improvement+1.5#51
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.0 n/a 15.0
.500 or above 0.5% 2.4% 0.3%
.500 or above in Conference 2.8% 5.3% 2.5%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 41.6% 32.9% 42.7%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Nevada (Away) - 11.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 40 - 4
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 8
Quad 21 - 61 - 14
Quad 32 - 63 - 20
Quad 46 - 38 - 23


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 169   @ Rice L 63-82 27%     0 - 1 -16.2 -16.4 +1.3
  Nov 12, 2021 308   Idaho St. W 65-60 76%     1 - 1 -6.1 -13.2 +7.0
  Nov 15, 2021 153   Utah Valley L 74-86 OT 44%     1 - 2 -14.1 -4.8 -8.6
  Nov 17, 2021 214   UC Davis W 72-67 56%     2 - 2 -0.2 -3.2 +2.9
  Nov 20, 2021 70   @ UC Irvine L 48-82 10%     2 - 3 -23.9 -14.0 -11.8
  Nov 22, 2021 121   Fresno St. L 63-70 26%     2 - 4 -4.1 -2.6 -2.1
  Nov 24, 2021 89   TCU L 64-73 18%     2 - 5 -3.1 -1.0 -2.7
  Nov 27, 2021 126   Grand Canyon L 56-59 37%     2 - 6 -3.4 -14.6 +11.2
  Nov 30, 2021 88   @ Nevada L 69-82 11%    
  Dec 03, 2021 95   @ UC Santa Barbara L 64-76 13%    
  Dec 06, 2021 289   San Jose St. W 76-70 72%    
  Dec 11, 2021 334   Alabama St. W 77-66 83%    
  Dec 18, 2021 307   Southeast Missouri St. W 79-72 75%    
  Dec 21, 2021 56   @ Oregon L 63-78 8%    
  Jan 01, 2022 188   @ Pacific L 66-71 31%    
  Jan 06, 2022 142   San Diego L 70-73 40%    
  Jan 08, 2022 1   @ Gonzaga L 65-95 0.3%   
  Jan 13, 2022 43   St. Mary's L 59-70 17%    
  Jan 15, 2022 254   Portland W 75-70 66%    
  Jan 20, 2022 108   @ Loyola Marymount L 65-76 16%    
  Jan 22, 2022 49   San Francisco L 65-75 19%    
  Jan 27, 2022 142   @ San Diego L 67-76 22%    
  Jan 29, 2022 43   @ St. Mary's L 56-73 7%    
  Feb 03, 2022 1   Gonzaga L 68-92 2%    
  Feb 05, 2022 188   Pacific W 69-68 52%    
  Feb 10, 2022 49   @ San Francisco L 62-78 8%    
  Feb 12, 2022 26   BYU L 65-79 12%    
  Feb 19, 2022 254   @ Portland L 72-73 44%    
  Feb 24, 2022 77   Santa Clara L 72-79 25%    
  Feb 26, 2022 26   @ BYU L 62-82 4%    
Projected Record 8 - 22 4 - 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected West Coast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 3rd
4th 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.1 1.0 4th
5th 0.2 1.0 0.9 0.2 0.0 2.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 2.4 2.4 0.4 0.0 5.7 6th
7th 0.0 1.2 5.2 4.6 0.8 0.0 11.8 7th
8th 0.1 3.4 9.7 7.3 1.3 0.1 21.9 8th
9th 0.6 6.4 12.7 8.3 1.5 0.0 29.5 9th
10th 2.7 8.8 10.6 4.7 0.6 0.0 27.5 10th
Total 2.7 9.4 17.1 20.8 19.8 14.5 8.5 4.4 1.8 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 0.0%
12-4 0.0%
11-5 0.0%
10-6 0.0%
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 0.0% 0.0
12-4 0.0% 0.0
11-5 0.1% 0.1
10-6 0.2% 0.2
9-7 0.7% 1.5% 1.5% 14.0 0.0 0.6
8-8 1.8% 1.8
7-9 4.4% 4.4
6-10 8.5% 8.5
5-11 14.5% 14.5
4-12 19.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 19.8
3-13 20.8% 20.8
2-14 17.1% 17.1
1-15 9.4% 9.4
0-16 2.7% 2.7
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%