Wyoming
Mountain West
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating+5.8#91
Expected Predictive Rating+15.5#21
Pace70.4#148
Improvement-1.9#314

Offense
Total Offense+3.1#94
First Shot+5.8#31
After Offensive Rebound-2.7#313
Layup/Dunks+8.8#10
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#318
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#209
Freethrows+1.0#113
Improvement-0.5#250

Defense
Total Defense+2.7#95
First Shot+5.7#34
After Offensive Rebounds-3.0#325
Layups/Dunks+0.1#191
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#109
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#115
Freethrows+2.4#53
Improvement-1.4#307
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.4% 0.7% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 1.4% 2.0% 0.3%
NCAA Tourney Bid 19.2% 23.0% 11.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 10.6% 13.5% 5.4%
Average Seed 10.3 10.1 10.9
.500 or above 92.0% 96.0% 84.4%
.500 or above in Conference 76.9% 80.9% 69.4%
Conference Champion 11.1% 12.9% 7.7%
Last Place in Conference 0.9% 0.5% 1.6%
First Four4.3% 5.2% 2.4%
First Round16.9% 20.2% 10.8%
Second Round5.8% 7.2% 3.1%
Sweet Sixteen1.6% 2.0% 0.9%
Elite Eight0.5% 0.7% 0.2%
Final Four0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Cal St. Fullerton (Away) - 65.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b1 - 21 - 4
Quad 24 - 45 - 7
Quad 36 - 211 - 10
Quad 49 - 120 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2021 225   Detroit Mercy W 85-47 87%     1 - 0 +31.8 +11.1 +23.8
  Nov 14, 2021 357   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 85-45 99%     2 - 0 +17.4 +3.0 +14.7
  Nov 18, 2021 131   @ Washington W 77-72 OT 51%     3 - 0 +10.5 -3.8 +13.5
  Nov 22, 2021 126   @ Grand Canyon W 68-61 51%     4 - 0 +12.6 +6.3 +7.1
  Nov 29, 2021 192   @ Cal St. Fullerton W 72-68 65%    
  Dec 02, 2021 324   Denver W 80-61 96%    
  Dec 04, 2021 327   McNeese St. W 85-66 96%    
  Dec 08, 2021 6   @ Arizona L 67-82 9%    
  Dec 11, 2021 153   Utah Valley W 74-66 77%    
  Dec 22, 2021 97   Stanford W 71-70 53%    
  Jan 01, 2022 67   Boise St. W 67-66 56%    
  Jan 04, 2022 88   @ Nevada L 74-77 39%    
  Jan 08, 2022 121   @ Fresno St. L 67-68 49%    
  Jan 11, 2022 50   San Diego St. L 65-66 50%    
  Jan 15, 2022 47   @ Utah St. L 69-76 27%    
  Jan 18, 2022 289   San Jose St. W 81-65 92%    
  Jan 22, 2022 230   New Mexico W 83-71 86%    
  Jan 25, 2022 67   @ Boise St. L 64-69 35%    
  Jan 28, 2022 256   @ Air Force W 68-60 76%    
  Jan 31, 2022 41   Colorado St. L 75-76 45%    
  Feb 08, 2022 47   Utah St. L 72-73 47%    
  Feb 12, 2022 289   @ San Jose St. W 78-68 81%    
  Feb 15, 2022 230   @ New Mexico W 80-74 71%    
  Feb 19, 2022 256   Air Force W 71-57 89%    
  Feb 23, 2022 41   @ Colorado St. L 72-79 26%    
  Feb 26, 2022 88   Nevada W 77-74 60%    
  Mar 02, 2022 148   @ UNLV W 69-68 55%    
  Mar 05, 2022 121   Fresno St. W 71-65 70%    
Projected Record 19 - 9 11 - 7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Mountain West Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 1.5 3.2 3.6 2.0 0.6 0.1 11.1 1st
2nd 0.4 2.4 5.5 3.7 1.0 0.1 13.0 2nd
3rd 0.4 3.4 5.9 3.4 0.6 0.1 13.7 3rd
4th 0.5 3.6 6.3 3.2 0.4 14.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 3.2 6.5 3.4 0.3 0.0 13.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 3.2 5.8 2.8 0.2 12.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 2.5 4.3 2.3 0.3 10.0 7th
8th 0.1 0.6 2.1 2.4 1.4 0.2 6.7 8th
9th 0.1 0.5 1.1 1.3 0.4 0.1 3.4 9th
10th 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.1 1.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 11th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.0 2.1 4.2 5.8 9.5 12.0 13.6 13.7 12.0 10.9 7.4 4.6 2.0 0.6 0.1 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.6    0.6
16-2 97.0% 2.0    1.7 0.3
15-3 78.0% 3.6    2.4 1.1 0.1
14-4 42.9% 3.2    1.2 1.5 0.4 0.1
13-5 13.9% 1.5    0.3 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0
12-6 1.2% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 11.1% 11.1 6.3 3.6 1.0 0.3 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.6% 93.5% 46.8% 46.8% 5.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 87.9%
16-2 2.0% 91.1% 37.1% 54.0% 7.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.2 85.8%
15-3 4.6% 73.2% 23.7% 49.5% 9.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.8 0.8 0.2 0.0 1.2 64.9%
14-4 7.4% 53.6% 20.8% 32.7% 10.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.0 1.5 0.5 0.0 3.4 41.4%
13-5 10.9% 37.3% 17.7% 19.6% 11.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.7 1.3 0.1 6.8 23.8%
12-6 12.0% 18.2% 10.5% 7.7% 11.5 0.0 0.2 0.9 0.9 0.2 9.8 8.6%
11-7 13.7% 11.0% 8.5% 2.5% 11.9 0.0 0.4 0.8 0.3 0.0 12.2 2.7%
10-8 13.6% 6.2% 6.0% 0.2% 12.3 0.1 0.5 0.2 0.1 12.7 0.2%
9-9 12.0% 3.8% 3.6% 0.3% 12.6 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 11.5 0.3%
8-10 9.5% 1.8% 1.8% 13.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 9.3
7-11 5.8% 1.0% 1.0% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.7
6-12 4.2% 0.5% 0.5% 14.5 0.0 0.0 4.1
5-13 2.1% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 2.1
4-14 1.0% 1.0
3-15 0.4% 0.4
2-16 0.2% 0.2
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 19.2% 9.6% 9.6% 10.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.7 1.1 1.7 2.9 5.5 4.5 1.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 80.8 10.6%