Loyola Marymount
West Coast
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating+4.3#108
Expected Predictive Rating+3.0#133
Pace65.3#274
Improvement-0.3#209

Offense
Total Offense+3.3#86
First Shot+2.9#96
After Offensive Rebound+0.4#150
Layup/Dunks+5.1#36
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.0#323
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#108
Freethrows-1.5#268
Improvement-0.6#256

Defense
Total Defense+1.0#138
First Shot-1.4#224
After Offensive Rebounds+2.4#51
Layups/Dunks-5.9#328
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.8#27
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#140
Freethrows+0.5#163
Improvement+0.3#147
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.3% 0.3% 0.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.4% 5.9% 2.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 4.6% 5.0% 1.5%
Average Seed 10.3 10.3 10.5
.500 or above 50.4% 53.6% 25.3%
.500 or above in Conference 44.1% 45.7% 31.0%
Conference Champion 0.4% 0.5% 0.3%
Last Place in Conference 4.2% 3.8% 7.3%
First Four1.9% 2.0% 0.8%
First Round4.4% 4.8% 1.9%
Second Round1.6% 1.7% 0.7%
Sweet Sixteen0.3% 0.4% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Prairie View (Home) - 88.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 50 - 5
Quad 1b1 - 31 - 7
Quad 22 - 33 - 10
Quad 34 - 38 - 14
Quad 46 - 114 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 110   Chattanooga L 64-75 62%     0 - 1 -9.8 -2.2 -8.8
  Nov 17, 2021 283   Arkansas Little Rock W 82-63 90%     1 - 1 +9.3 -1.8 +9.3
  Nov 21, 2021 24   Florida St. L 45-73 19%     1 - 2 -14.5 -20.2 +5.6
  Nov 22, 2021 94   SMU W 76-70 45%     2 - 2 +11.5 +15.0 -2.6
  Nov 27, 2021 266   Prairie View W 79-66 89%    
  Nov 29, 2021 126   Grand Canyon W 68-63 67%    
  Dec 04, 2021 288   @ Long Beach St. W 80-72 79%    
  Dec 07, 2021 135   @ Tulsa L 67-68 45%    
  Dec 11, 2021 93   New Mexico St. W 68-66 55%    
  Dec 18, 2021 88   @ Nevada L 71-76 33%    
  Dec 21, 2021 175   @ Bellarmine W 70-68 56%    
  Jan 01, 2022 1   Gonzaga L 70-86 7%    
  Jan 06, 2022 254   Portland W 76-64 87%    
  Jan 08, 2022 188   @ Pacific W 68-66 58%    
  Jan 13, 2022 49   @ San Francisco L 65-73 25%    
  Jan 15, 2022 142   @ San Diego L 69-70 47%    
  Jan 20, 2022 235   Pepperdine W 76-65 84%    
  Jan 22, 2022 43   St. Mary's L 62-65 41%    
  Jan 27, 2022 1   @ Gonzaga L 67-89 3%    
  Jan 29, 2022 142   San Diego W 72-67 68%    
  Feb 03, 2022 77   @ Santa Clara L 71-76 31%    
  Feb 05, 2022 43   @ St. Mary's L 59-68 23%    
  Feb 10, 2022 26   BYU L 67-73 30%    
  Feb 12, 2022 254   @ Portland W 73-67 71%    
  Feb 17, 2022 77   Santa Clara W 74-73 52%    
  Feb 24, 2022 26   @ BYU L 64-76 15%    
  Feb 26, 2022 188   Pacific W 71-63 76%    
Projected Record 13 - 14 7 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected West Coast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.4 1st
2nd 0.1 0.9 1.9 1.4 0.6 0.1 4.9 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.9 3.9 2.4 0.6 0.0 8.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.9 6.5 3.2 0.4 0.0 13.3 4th
5th 0.4 3.7 7.8 3.7 0.4 16.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 5.5 8.8 4.4 0.3 19.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.9 5.7 7.9 3.2 0.3 18.0 7th
8th 0.0 1.0 4.2 4.7 1.6 0.1 11.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.6 2.1 2.3 0.6 0.0 5.5 9th
10th 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.5 0.2 1.6 10th
Total 0.1 0.3 1.3 3.5 7.5 11.6 15.5 16.2 15.5 12.4 8.4 4.7 2.1 0.8 0.2 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
14-2 71.4% 0.2    0.1 0.1
13-3 19.5% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
12-4 4.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-5 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-6 0.0%
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.4% 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1 0.0% 0.0
14-2 0.2% 90.5% 14.3% 76.2% 6.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 88.9%
13-3 0.8% 89.6% 10.4% 79.2% 8.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 88.4%
12-4 2.1% 55.5% 4.3% 51.2% 9.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.9 53.5%
11-5 4.7% 31.3% 2.3% 28.9% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.3 0.0 3.2 29.6%
10-6 8.4% 12.5% 2.1% 10.4% 11.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.3 0.0 7.3 10.6%
9-7 12.4% 5.0% 1.4% 3.6% 11.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.0 11.8 3.7%
8-8 15.5% 0.8% 0.4% 0.5% 12.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 15.3 0.5%
7-9 16.2% 0.2% 0.2% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 16.1
6-10 15.5% 0.3% 0.3% 14.5 0.0 0.0 15.5
5-11 11.6% 0.3% 0.3% 15.8 0.0 0.0 11.6
4-12 7.5% 7.5
3-13 3.5% 3.5
2-14 1.3% 1.3
1-15 0.3% 0.3
0-16 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 5.4% 0.8% 4.6% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.7 1.0 1.7 1.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 94.6 4.6%