San Francisco
West Coast
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+9.3#49
Expected Predictive Rating+15.7#19
Pace69.4#174
Improvement-0.2#196

Offense
Total Offense+4.0#74
First Shot+5.2#39
After Offensive Rebound-1.2#252
Layup/Dunks+0.3#154
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#227
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.7#37
Freethrows+0.2#171
Improvement-1.0#278

Defense
Total Defense+5.3#48
First Shot+1.4#125
After Offensive Rebounds+3.9#14
Layups/Dunks-1.4#240
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#318
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.3#14
Freethrows-1.0#242
Improvement+0.7#105
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Top 2 Seed 0.4% 0.4% 0.3%
Top 4 Seed 2.6% 2.8% 1.4%
Top 6 Seed 7.7% 8.4% 3.4%
NCAA Tourney Bid 48.4% 51.3% 32.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 45.8% 48.6% 30.2%
Average Seed 9.2 9.1 9.6
.500 or above 99.7% 99.8% 98.7%
.500 or above in Conference 83.8% 85.0% 77.0%
Conference Champion 3.6% 3.7% 3.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.4% 0.4% 0.3%
First Four13.4% 13.9% 10.5%
First Round41.9% 44.5% 27.3%
Second Round20.4% 21.9% 11.9%
Sweet Sixteen6.3% 6.8% 3.5%
Elite Eight2.1% 2.3% 0.9%
Final Four0.7% 0.8% 0.1%
Championship Game0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UNLV (Home) - 85.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 11 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 41 - 4
Quad 1b1 - 12 - 5
Quad 23 - 25 - 6
Quad 38 - 214 - 8
Quad 49 - 023 - 9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 276   LIU Brooklyn W 98-64 95%     1 - 0 +24.8 +20.4 +3.9
  Nov 11, 2021 242   Prairie View W 92-76 93%     2 - 0 +8.8 +7.0 +0.4
  Nov 13, 2021 73   Davidson W 65-60 70%     3 - 0 +9.0 -7.2 +16.2
  Nov 15, 2021 239   Samford W 77-55 93%     4 - 0 +15.1 -5.0 +18.9
  Nov 18, 2021 92   Nevada W 73-70 73%     5 - 0 +5.9 +2.1 +3.9
  Nov 22, 2021 314   Morgan St. W 83-67 96%     6 - 0 +4.2 -1.9 +4.8
  Nov 25, 2021 164   Towson W 71-61 81%     7 - 0 +10.2 +7.2 +4.3
  Nov 26, 2021 51   UAB W 63-61 52%     8 - 0 +10.8 -3.3 +14.2
  Dec 04, 2021 147   UNLV W 72-61 85%    
  Dec 08, 2021 129   Fresno St. W 71-61 82%    
  Dec 18, 2021 110   Grand Canyon W 69-63 70%    
  Dec 19, 2021 96   @ Arizona St. W 73-72 54%    
  Dec 22, 2021 154   Southern Illinois W 70-59 86%    
  Jan 01, 2022 41   @ St. Mary's L 61-65 34%    
  Jan 06, 2022 1   @ Gonzaga L 70-85 8%    
  Jan 08, 2022 153   San Diego W 74-63 85%    
  Jan 13, 2022 130   Loyola Marymount W 75-65 81%    
  Jan 15, 2022 20   BYU L 70-72 43%    
  Jan 20, 2022 251   @ Portland W 77-66 85%    
  Jan 22, 2022 235   @ Pepperdine W 76-66 81%    
  Jan 27, 2022 41   St. Mary's W 64-62 56%    
  Jan 29, 2022 82   Santa Clara W 77-71 70%    
  Feb 03, 2022 20   @ BYU L 67-75 23%    
  Feb 05, 2022 251   Portland W 80-63 93%    
  Feb 10, 2022 235   Pepperdine W 79-63 93%    
  Feb 12, 2022 82   @ Santa Clara L 73-74 50%    
  Feb 17, 2022 187   @ Pacific W 71-63 73%    
  Feb 24, 2022 1   Gonzaga L 73-82 20%    
  Feb 26, 2022 153   @ San Diego W 71-66 68%    
Projected Record 21 - 8 10 - 6





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected West Coast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.3 1.2 1.4 0.6 0.1 3.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.7 3.4 7.1 4.0 0.8 16.1 2nd
3rd 0.2 2.4 8.3 10.4 3.4 0.3 25.0 3rd
4th 0.2 2.9 9.4 7.9 2.2 0.1 22.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 3.2 7.8 5.2 0.9 0.0 17.6 5th
6th 0.2 2.6 4.4 2.3 0.2 9.6 6th
7th 0.1 0.9 1.8 0.7 0.1 3.6 7th
8th 0.3 0.6 0.3 0.0 1.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 10th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.8 5.0 8.6 13.4 17.2 17.8 16.0 11.0 5.6 2.1 0.6 0.1 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
15-1 100.0% 0.6    0.5 0.1
14-2 63.7% 1.4    0.7 0.7 0.0
13-3 22.3% 1.2    0.3 0.7 0.2 0.0
12-4 3.0% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0
11-5 0.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-6 0.0%
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 3.6% 3.6 1.5 1.6 0.5 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.1% 100.0% 3.0% 97.0% 2.0 0.1 100.0%
15-1 0.6% 100.0% 22.3% 77.7% 2.9 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-2 2.1% 100.0% 23.5% 76.5% 4.8 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
13-3 5.6% 98.0% 10.9% 87.1% 6.5 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.9 1.1 1.1 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 97.8%
12-4 11.0% 91.6% 9.5% 82.1% 8.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.2 1.4 1.8 2.1 1.5 1.1 0.2 0.9 90.7%
11-5 16.0% 74.7% 6.1% 68.7% 9.7 0.0 0.3 0.5 1.3 2.6 3.1 3.2 0.8 0.0 4.0 73.1%
10-6 17.8% 54.4% 4.5% 49.9% 10.6 0.1 0.1 0.3 1.2 2.2 4.0 1.8 0.1 8.1 52.2%
9-7 17.2% 31.5% 2.8% 28.7% 11.0 0.0 0.3 0.8 2.5 1.7 0.1 11.8 29.5%
8-8 13.4% 19.3% 1.5% 17.8% 11.3 0.0 0.3 1.1 1.1 0.0 10.8 18.1%
7-9 8.6% 4.5% 0.5% 4.0% 11.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 8.2 4.0%
6-10 5.0% 1.2% 0.4% 0.8% 11.6 0.0 0.0 5.0 0.8%
5-11 1.8% 1.8
4-12 0.7% 0.7
3-13 0.2% 0.2
2-14 0.0% 0.0
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 48.4% 4.8% 43.6% 9.2 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.4 2.0 3.1 3.2 4.4 6.9 8.1 11.9 6.0 0.3 51.6 45.8%